NAC Breda vs Emmen• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#41.2:0.24-2FTToday · Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda1.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.56DAFX4.83PIN26.25B365Margin at best0.8%Books10Markets74Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	4.85	5.82	4.9%
Dafabet	1.56	4.60	5.20	5.1%
Bet365	1.50	4.33	6.00	6.4%
Betano	1.55	4.30	5.30	6.6%
1xBet	1.48	4.55	5.46	7.9%
Betfair	1.47	4.60	5.50	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.47	4.55	5.40	8.5%
BetVictor	1.45	4.50	5.75	8.6%
William Hill	1.44	4.40	5.50	10.4%
SBO	1.43	4.28	5.22	12.5%
Best of all books	1.56	4.85	6.00	1.4%
Average	1.48	4.50	5.51	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NAC BredaEmmen

Last 10#4Table position#61.87Points per game1.6711Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.40.2Goals against · last 51.646Attack rating5489Defence rating1155Form rating4550H2H rating5047Goals model5356Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

NAC Breda

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against

6 Nov	A	Dordrecht	0-0	D
2 Nov	A	Jong PSV U21	2-0	W
28 Oct	A	JOS Watergraafsmeer	3-1	W
23 Oct	H	Heracles	1-1	D
16 Oct	A	Helmond Sport	2-0	W
9 Oct	H	MVV	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Vitesse	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	FC Eindhoven	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	De Graafschap	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Jong Utrecht	2-3	L

Emmen

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	H	MVV	0-2	L
1 Nov	H	Den Bosch	0-5	L
29 Oct	A	Groningen	2-0	W
23 Oct	A	Vitesse	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Almere City FC	2-1	W
9 Oct	A	Dordrecht	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Waalwijk	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	FC OSS	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	FC Eindhoven	1-3	L
11 Sep	H	De Graafschap	1-2	L

Head to head

4NAC Breda wins

4draws

6Emmen wins

14 meetings · goals 18:21 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for NAC Breda

25 May 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Emmen0-3NAC Breda
21 May 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda1-1Emmen
13 Jan 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen2-3NAC Breda
22 Sep 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda1-3Emmen
3 Jun 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Emmen2-0NAC Breda
31 May 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	NAC Breda1-2Emmen
22 Jan 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Emmen2-0NAC Breda
17 Sep 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda1-2Emmen
20 May 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Emmen1-1NAC Breda
29 Oct 2019KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	NAC Breda3-2Emmen

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 14 Nov 21:40 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, NAC Breda sit 4th with 28 points from 15 games, while Emmen are 6th with 25 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	14	11	2	1	44:15	+29	35
2	VVV Venlo	14	9	2	3	37:22	+15	29
3	Almere City FC	14	9	1	4	30:14	+16	28
4	NAC Breda	15	8	4	3	29:22	+7	28
5	Roda	14	7	4	3	18:17	+1	25
6	Emmen	15	8	1	6	28:30	-2	25
7	FC Volendam	14	7	1	6	33:24	+9	22
8	MVV	14	6	2	6	19:29	-10	20
9	Den Bosch	14	5	4	5	24:22	+2	19
10	Vitesse	13	5	3	5	17:18	-1	18
11	Waalwijk	14	3	8	3	23:20	+3	17
12	Jong AZ	14	5	2	7	33:31	+2	17
13	Jong PSV U21	14	4	5	5	18:22	-4	17
14	Jong Ajax	14	4	4	6	22:30	-8	16
15	De Graafschap	13	4	3	6	17:27	-10	15
16	FC OSS	14	4	2	8	20:23	-3	14
17	Helmond Sport	14	3	3	8	25:31	-6	12
18	Dordrecht	14	3	3	8	18:34	-16	12
19	Jong Utrecht	14	3	2	9	23:34	-11	11
20	FC Eindhoven	14	3	2	9	18:31	-13	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.48X21%4.50217%5.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.49 -2.0%X4.35 → 4.48 +3.0%25.12 → 5.48 +7.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.44	2.78	5.4%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.45	2.62	7.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.45	2.88	3.7%
Average	1.42	2.69	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.52	2.37	8.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.32	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.28	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.45	4.5%
Average	1.54	2.34	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NAC Breda 45%Draw 45%Emmen 10%

The statistical model rated NAC Breda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Emmen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.50 | 5.52, which imply roughly 67.6% for a NAC Breda win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: NAC Breda are 4th (28 pts, 29-22 goals), Emmen 6th (25 pts, 28-30).

Over their last five matches, NAC Breda averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Emmen averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : NAC Breda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NAC Breda

4-3-3

Coach: R. Kruijs

Goalkeeper

1M. Verrips

Defence

2B. Lucassen
4L. Greiml
22R. Hillen
12J. Van den Bergh

Midfield

8F. Oldrup Jensen
10M. Nassoh
6M. Balard

Attack

78J. Van Hecke
9M. Soumano
14K. Sowah

Substitutes (11)

23R. Kortsmit
33E. Ikpia
19P. Gladon
5J. Candelaria
17M. Bouchouari
31K. Lamprou
34I. Nazih
11G. Misehouy
26P. Reulen
20M. Seuntjens
24Jort Nelis

Emmen

4-3-3

Coach: M. van Dam

Goalkeeper

1S. Karssies

Defence

24L. Everink
25R. Kongolo
2J. Mukeh
17B. Van Hove

Midfield

21A. Hojabrpour
22M. Breij
7T. Rhein

Attack

10Mustafa Abdullatif
9J. Cooper
40S. Veldhuis

Substitutes (9)

4C. Østergaard
14Stan van Manen
33K. Roos
12F. Quispel
38Kevin Norder
23D. Lambers
27J. Huijzer
8L. Denk
18V. Carus

Match Statistics

NAC BredaEmmen

2.65Expected Goals1.61

382Passes accurate299

18Shots insidebox9

13Shots outsidebox3

7Blocked Shots5

11Free Kicks10

15Shots on Goal3

1Goalkeeper Saves11

9Shots off Goal4

1Offsides3

472Total passes404

31Total Shots12

1Yellow Cards3

8Corner Kicks7

10Fouls11

0Red Cards0

54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	4.50	5.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.53	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.34

1st half

1	X	2
1.92	2.59	5.21

2nd half

1	X	2
1.78	2.99	4.77

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.11	15.1	39.2
HT X	4.54	7.74	12.4
HT 2	17.7	16.0	9.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	21.0	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.2
1.5	1.11	5.68
2.5	1.42	2.69
3.5	2.09	1.70
4.5	3.43	1.27
5.5	6.21	1.09
6.5	11.7	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.11	4.85
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.52	2.36
3	1.66	2.11
3.25	1.88	1.86
3.75	2.34	1.53
4	2.76	1.35
4.25	2.99	1.31
4.75	3.97	1.17
5	5.20	1.10
5.25	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.54	1.45
-1.5	2.22	1.59
-1.25	1.97	1.77
-1	1.75	2.02
-0.75	1.55	2.30
-0.5	1.48	2.57

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.13	1.06
-3.25	7.00	1.10
-3	6.30	1.08
-2.75	4.58	1.15
-2.5	3.73	1.22
-2.25	3.46	1.27
-2	3.13	1.31
-0.25	1.31	3.14
0	1.18	4.30
+0.25	1.14	4.83
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.07	6.60
+1	1.03	8.60
+1.5	1.02	9.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.18	3.90
8.5	1.33	2.94
9.5	1.59	2.20
10.5	1.97	1.76
11.5	2.49	1.46
12.5	3.32	1.26
13.5	4.30	1.15

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.45	2.60
9.25	1.48	2.33
9.75	1.66	2.03
10	1.81	1.95
10.25	1.88	1.82
10.75	2.13	1.62
11	2.34	1.55
11.25	2.42	1.47

Next Eerste Divisie matches

15 Nov

MVV – Vitesse

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

14 Nov	Dordrecht 1-2 Heracles
14 Nov	Waalwijk 4-0 Den Bosch
14 Nov	VVV Venlo 1-2 FC Eindhoven
14 Nov	Roda 3-1 FC Volendam
14 Nov	De Graafschap 1-2 FC OSS
14 Nov	Almere City FC 6-1 Helmond Sport