Real Santander vs Leones FC• Primera B, Colombia

#160.8:1.019:00Tomorrow · Estadio Villa Concha, Piedecuesta1.0:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.021XBX3.50B36523.60BVCMargin at best5.9%Books6Markets48Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 20:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	3.34	3.56	7.8%
BetVictor	1.95	3.30	3.60	9.4%
Bet365	1.95	3.50	3.30	10.2%
1xBet	2.02	3.20	3.36	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.20	3.28	11.7%
William Hill	2.00	3.00	3.30	13.6%
Best of all books	2.02	3.50	3.60	5.9%
Average	1.99	3.26	3.40	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real SantanderLeones FC

Last 10#16Table position#150.82Points per game0.866Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5655Defence rating4555Form rating4538H2H rating6261Goals model3948Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

Real Santander

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	A	Envigado	1-1	D
9 Oct	A	Real Cundinamarca	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Union Magdalena	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Tigres FC	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Orsomarso	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Popayan	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Quindio	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Internacional Palmira	3-1	W
24 Aug	H	Ind. Yumbo	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	Barranquilla	2-2	D

Leones FC

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

15 Oct	H	Patriotas	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Union Magdalena	2-2	D
7 Oct	H	Barranquilla	1-1	D
28 Sep	A	Internacional Palmira	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Popayan	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Envigado	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Ind. Yumbo	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Real Cartagena	1-6	L
20 Aug	H	Real Cundinamarca	1-1	D

Head to head

7Real Santander wins

5draws

12Leones FC wins

24 meetings · goals 20:33 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Real Santander

12 Apr 2026Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-0Real Santander
25 Aug 2025Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-1Real Santander
17 Mar 2025Primera B	Primera B	Real Santander1-0Leones FC
22 Jul 2024Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC2-0Real Santander
3 Feb 2024Primera B	Primera B	Real Santander0-0Leones FC
9 Sep 2023Primera B	Primera B	Real Santander2-1Leones FC
2 Apr 2023Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-1Real Santander
4 Aug 2022Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-1Real Santander
21 Mar 2022Primera B	Primera B	Real Santander0-4Leones FC
20 Aug 2021Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC2-1Real Santander

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 18 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the Primera B table, Real Santander sit 16th with 23 points from 28 games, while Leones FC are 15th with 24 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	34	17	10	7	42:30	+12	61
2	Envigado	36	15	13	8	48:33	+15	58
3	Quindio	34	16	10	8	35:26	+9	58
4	Real Cartagena	36	15	12	9	56:42	+14	57
5	Union Magdalena	34	15	10	9	48:34	+14	55
6	Tigres FC	34	12	11	11	35:29	+6	47
7	Ind. Yumbo	28	11	11	6	30:22	+8	44
8	Bogota FC	34	9	13	12	28:35	-7	40
9	Barranquilla	34	10	9	15	43:46	-3	39
10	Real Cundinamarca	28	9	10	9	33:30	+3	37
11	Patriotas	28	9	8	11	30:35	-5	35
12	Popayan	28	7	10	11	33:36	-3	31
13	Orsomarso	28	7	10	11	22:29	-7	31
14	Depor FC	28	6	9	13	28:42	-14	27
15	Leones FC	28	5	9	14	19:43	-24	24
16	Real Santander	28	4	11	13	24:42	-18	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.99X28%3.26227%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Average	1.97	1.76	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.77	1.92	8.6%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.89	9.4%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.76	1.92	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Santander 10%Draw 45%Leones FC 45%

The statistical model rates Real Santander at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leones FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.26 | 3.40, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Real Santander are 16th (23 pts, 24-42 goals), Leones FC 15th (24 pts, 19-43).

Over their last five matches, Real Santander averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Leones FC averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Leones FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.99	3.26	3.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.67	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.64	2.07	4.07

2nd half

1	X	2
2.39	2.35	3.69

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.13	15.5	38.7
HT X	4.97	4.93	7.50
HT 2	27.0	15.7	5.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	8.30	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	9.10
1.5	1.28	3.18
2.5	1.97	1.76
3.5	3.48	1.24
4.5	6.95	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.40
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.38	2.74
2	1.48	2.41
2.25	1.72	1.98
2.75	2.23	1.56
3	2.75	1.37
3.25	3.15	1.29
3.75	4.30	1.14
4	6.10	1.06
4.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.04	1.31
-0.75	2.33	1.52
-0.5	1.97	1.80
-0.25	1.77	1.96
0	1.46	2.50
+0.25	1.36	2.80

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.00	1.01
-2.25	8.48	1.01
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.20	1.10
-1.5	3.96	1.17
-1.25	3.52	1.24
+0.75	1.15	4.25
+1	1.05	6.65
+1.25	1.03	7.20
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	2.00	1.73

Next Primera B matches

19 Oct	Internacional Palmira – Union Magdalena
19 Oct	Orsomarso – Bogota FC

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

16 Oct	Popayan 0-1 Depor FC
16 Oct	Quindio 1-1 Real Cartagena
15 Oct	Internacional Palmira 1-1 Orsomarso
15 Oct	Leones FC 1-0 Patriotas
15 Oct	Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo
15 Oct	Barranquilla 2-2 Tigres FC