Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso• Primera B, Colombia

#11.0:0.61-1FT15/10 · Francisco Rivera Escobar, Palmira0.8:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15B365X3.15DAF23.88PINMargin at best4.0%Books10Markets80Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 20:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	2.15	3.10	3.60	6.5%
Dafabet	2.10	3.15	3.65	6.8%
Pinnacle	2.05	3.01	3.88	7.8%
Betano	2.10	3.05	3.50	9.0%
BetVictor	2.00	3.10	3.70	9.3%
1xBet	1.98	2.96	3.80	10.6%
Betfair	1.95	3.10	3.60	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.96	2.96	3.70	11.8%
William Hill	2.00	2.90	3.50	13.1%
SBO	1.89	2.97	3.52	15.0%
Best of all books	2.15	3.15	3.88	4.0%
Average	2.02	3.03	3.65	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Internacional PalmiraOrsomarso

Last 10#1Table position#131.79Points per game1.118Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.056Attack rating4463Defence rating3867Form rating3375H2H rating2567Goals model3366Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

Internacional Palmira

4W 2D 4L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

15 Oct	H	Orsomarso	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Envigado	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	Tigres FC	0-1	L
28 Sep	H	Leones FC	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Ind. Yumbo	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Real Cartagena	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Real Cundinamarca	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Real Santander	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Barranquilla	1-0	W

Orsomarso

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:11 · per match 0.7 for, 1.1 against

15 Oct	A	Internacional Palmira	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Popayan	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Quindio	0-1	L
1 Oct	A	Envigado	0-0	D
28 Sep	A	Ind. Yumbo	3-4	L
22 Sep	A	Real Santander	0-0	D
14 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-2	L
10 Sep	H	Tigres FC	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Real Cartagena	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Real Cundinamarca	2-0	W

Head to head

2Internacional Palmira wins

4draws

3Orsomarso wins

9 meetings · goals 9:10 · last 9: 2W 4D 3L for Internacional Palmira

31 Mar 2026Primera B	Primera B	Orsomarso1-2Internacional Palmira
13 Oct 2025Primera B	Primera B	Orsomarso0-0Internacional Palmira
6 Sep 2025Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira1-1Orsomarso
4 May 2025Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira1-1Orsomarso
29 Mar 2025Primera B	Primera B	Orsomarso0-2Internacional Palmira
5 Sep 2024Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira0-0Orsomarso
27 Jul 2024Primera B	Primera B	Orsomarso2-1Internacional Palmira
25 Mar 2024Primera B	Primera B	Orsomarso4-2Internacional Palmira
11 Feb 2024Primera B	Primera B	Internacional Palmira0-1Orsomarso

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 18 Oct 09:40 UTC

In the Primera B table, Internacional Palmira sit 1st with 61 points from 34 games, while Orsomarso are 13th with 31 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	34	17	10	7	42:30	+12	61
2	Envigado	36	15	13	8	48:33	+15	58
3	Quindio	34	16	10	8	35:26	+9	58
4	Real Cartagena	36	15	12	9	56:42	+14	57
5	Union Magdalena	34	15	10	9	48:34	+14	55
6	Tigres FC	34	12	11	11	35:29	+6	47
7	Ind. Yumbo	28	11	11	6	30:22	+8	44
8	Bogota FC	34	9	13	12	28:35	-7	40
9	Barranquilla	34	10	9	15	43:46	-3	39
10	Real Cundinamarca	28	9	10	9	33:30	+3	37
11	Patriotas	28	9	8	11	30:35	-5	35
12	Popayan	28	7	10	11	33:36	-3	31
13	Orsomarso	28	7	10	11	22:29	-7	31
14	Depor FC	28	6	9	13	28:42	-14	27
15	Leones FC	28	5	9	14	19:43	-24	24
16	Real Santander	28	4	11	13	24:42	-18	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X30%3.03225%3.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.03 +2.5%X3.20 → 3.02 -5.6%23.59 → 3.61 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.37	1.54	7.1%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.27	1.55	8.6%
BetVictor	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Best of all books	2.37	1.57	5.9%
Average	2.29	1.55	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.00	1.71	8.5%
Betano	1.98	1.72	8.6%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
William Hill	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.00	1.69	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Average	2.00	1.71	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Internacional Palmira 45%Draw 45%Orsomarso 10%

The statistical model rated Internacional Palmira at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Orsomarso at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.03 | 3.64, which imply roughly 49.5% for a Internacional Palmira win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Internacional Palmira are 1st (61 pts, 42-30 goals), Orsomarso 13th (31 pts, 22-29).

Over their last five matches, Internacional Palmira averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Orsomarso averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Internacional Palmira or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.03	3.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.69	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.51

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.00	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.68	1.94	4.37

2nd half

1	X	2
2.42	2.22	3.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.23	14.8	42.1
HT X	4.73	4.35	7.67
HT 2	28.8	15.0	6.21

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	6.63	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.78
1.5	1.41	2.64
2.5	2.29	1.55
3.5	4.32	1.16
4.5	8.18	1.03
5.5	20.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.10
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.25	3.38
1.75	1.53	2.30
2	1.74	1.98
2.25	2.01	1.70
2.75	2.68	1.39
3	3.45	1.24
3.25	3.82	1.19
3.75	5.35	1.09
4	7.80	1.02
4.25	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.06	1.32
-0.75	2.35	1.52
-0.5	2.05	1.73
-0.25	1.72	2.02
0	1.43	2.61
+0.25	1.31	3.12

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	8.75	1.01
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2.25	7.73	1.05
-2	7.33	1.06
-1.75	5.00	1.12
-1.5	3.65	1.23
-1.25	3.35	1.27
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.14	4.67
+1	1.05	7.47
+1.25	1.01	8.30
+1.5	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.22
6.5	1.15	4.13
7.5	1.36	2.75
8.5	1.79	1.93
9.5	2.11	1.62
10.5	2.81	1.35
11.5	3.93	1.17
12.5	5.97	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.91
6	1.03	6.61
6.25	1.09	5.03
6.75	1.17	3.94
7	1.19	3.72
7.25	1.28	3.13
7.75	1.41	2.61
8	1.46	2.45
8.25	1.57	2.22
8.75	1.76	1.94
9	1.88	1.83
9.25	1.99	1.73
9.75	2.27	1.55
10	2.49	1.45
10.25	2.64	1.40
10.75	3.10	1.28
11	3.58	1.21
11.25	3.76	1.18
11.75	4.56	1.12
12	5.54	1.06
12.25	5.75	1.06

Next Primera B matches

18 Oct	Envigado – Barranquilla
19 Oct	Real Santander – Leones FC
19 Oct	Internacional Palmira – Union Magdalena
19 Oct	Orsomarso – Bogota FC

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

16 Oct	Popayan 0-1 Depor FC
16 Oct	Quindio 1-1 Real Cartagena
15 Oct	Leones FC 1-0 Patriotas
15 Oct	Union Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo
15 Oct	Barranquilla 2-2 Tigres FC
15 Oct	Envigado 1-1 Real Santander