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Real Cartagena vs Popayan• Primera B, Colombia

#40.6:1.22-3FT04/10 · Cartagena2.2:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X4.971XB27.50BVCMargin at best3.9%Books7Markets82Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.414.977.204.9%
Pinnacle1.404.596.877.8%
Betano1.404.356.809.1%
Bet3651.404.506.259.7%
Betfair1.334.607.0011.2%
William Hill1.334.507.0011.7%
Marathonbet1.354.356.7511.9%
Best of all books1.414.977.204.9%
Average1.374.556.849.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real CartagenaPopayan
Last 10#4Table position#121.58Points per game1.114Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 51.221Attack rating7950Defence rating5033Form rating6764H2H rating3664Goals model3648Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 09:30 UTC

Real Cartagena

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

16 OctAQuindio1-1D
8 OctADepor FC2-2D
4 OctHPopayan2-3L
29 SepAUnion Magdalena1-1D
22 SepHEnvigado0-0D
12 SepAInternacional Palmira1-2L
5 SepAOrsomarso1-0W
29 AugHTigres FC0-3L
24 AugALeones FC6-1W
20 AugHBogota FC2-0W

Popayan

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

16 OctHDepor FC0-1L
12 OctAOrsomarso0-1L
7 OctHUnion Magdalena1-1D
4 OctAReal Cartagena3-2W
26 SepHPatriotas4-1W
19 SepALeones FC2-1W
13 SepHReal Santander2-0W
6 SepHEnvigado2-2D
1 SepABarranquilla1-2L
25 AugHBogota FC1-2L

Head to head

15Real Cartagena wins
8draws
3Popayan wins

26 meetings · goals 42:26 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Real Cartagena

27 Mar 2026Primera BPrimera BPopayan1-1Real Cartagena
24 Nov 2025Primera BPrimera BPopayan0-0Real Cartagena
1 Nov 2025Primera BPrimera BReal Cartagena1-1Popayan
8 Aug 2025Primera BPrimera BPopayan2-2Real Cartagena
2 Mar 2025Primera BPrimera BReal Cartagena3-2Popayan
21 Aug 2024Primera BPrimera BPopayan1-4Real Cartagena
3 Mar 2024Primera BPrimera BReal Cartagena2-0Popayan
4 Nov 2023Primera BPrimera BPopayan2-1Real Cartagena
22 Oct 2023Primera BPrimera BReal Cartagena1-0Popayan
6 Aug 2023Primera BPrimera BReal Cartagena3-2Popayan

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 19 Oct 00:40 UTC

In the Primera B table, Real Cartagena sit 4th with 57 points from 36 games, while Popayan are 12th with 31 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Envigado371613849:33+1661
2Internacional Palmira341710742:30+1261
3Quindio341610835:26+958
4Real Cartagena361512956:42+1457
5Union Magdalena341510948:34+1455
6Tigres FC3412111135:29+647
7Ind. Yumbo281111630:22+844
8Bogota FC349131228:35-740
9Barranquilla351091643:47-439
10Real Cundinamarca28910933:30+337
11Patriotas28981130:35-535
12Popayan287101133:36-331
13Orsomarso287101122:29-731
14Depor FC28691328:42-1427
15Leones FC28591419:43-2424
16Real Santander284111324:42-1823

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X20%4.50214%6.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 16:313 Oct 10:311 1.38X 4.502 6.74
11.37 → 1.38 +0.7%X4.55 → 4.50 -1.1%26.84 → 6.74 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.712.135.4%
Pinnacle1.732.085.9%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Betano1.651.9811.1%
Best of all books1.752.153.7%
Average1.702.077.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.891.808.5%
Marathonbet1.891.779.4%
William Hill1.911.759.5%
Betano1.881.7211.3%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.911.759.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Cartagena 35%Draw 35%Popayan 30%

The statistical model rated Real Cartagena at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Popayan at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.50 | 6.68, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Real Cartagena win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Real Cartagena are 4th (57 pts, 56-42 goals), Popayan 12th (31 pts, 33-36).

Over their last five matches, Real Cartagena averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Popayan averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Cartagena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.374.556.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.731.15

Draw no bet

12
1.174.39

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.911.75

1st half

1X2
1.872.406.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3313.53.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.7
1.51.203.90
2.51.702.07
3.52.721.40
4.54.771.14
5.58.301.04
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.80
1–9.20
1.251.115.38
1.751.243.34
21.323.04
2.251.522.39
2.751.871.82
32.201.60
3.252.471.48
3.753.141.27
44.151.16
4.254.551.15
4.755.951.07
58.201.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.441.47
-1.52.101.63
-1.251.871.86
-11.672.11
-0.751.452.47
-0.51.392.90
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.001.04
-36.351.06
-2.754.601.13
-2.53.581.21
-2.253.261.27
-23.021.31
-0.251.233.42
01.105.20
+0.251.085.70
+0.751.028.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.075.38
7.51.233.41
8.51.462.42
9.51.811.88
10.52.291.52
11.53.071.29
12.54.421.12
13.56.761.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.14
71.094.89
7.251.163.96
7.751.263.21
81.303.03
8.251.392.66
8.751.542.28
91.622.15
9.251.731.99
9.751.931.77
102.071.67
10.252.191.59
10.752.511.44
112.791.35
11.252.941.32
11.753.481.22
124.061.15
12.254.241.14
12.755.161.08
136.331.03
13.256.551.03

Next Primera B matches

19 OctInternacional Palmira – Union Magdalena
19 OctOrsomarso – Bogota FC
19 OctReal Cartagena – Patriotas
20 OctTigres FC – Real Cundinamarca
20 OctInd. Yumbo – Popayan
20 OctDepor FC – Quindio

All Primera B fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B results

18 OctEnvigado 1-0 Barranquilla
16 OctPopayan 0-1 Depor FC
16 OctQuindio 1-1 Real Cartagena
15 OctInternacional Palmira 1-1 Orsomarso
15 OctLeones FC 1-0 Patriotas
15 OctUnion Magdalena 1-1 Ind. Yumbo