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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen• A Lyga, Lithuania

#21.6:1.04-1FT18/10 · LFF stadionas, Vilnius1.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.38PINX5.08PIN27.15PINMargin at best6.1%Books6Markets67Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.385.087.156.1%
1xBet1.344.557.0010.9%
William Hill1.364.506.5011.1%
Marathonbet1.334.556.6512.2%
Bet3651.364.506.0012.4%
BetVictor1.303.905.7520.0%
Best of all books1.385.087.156.1%
Average1.344.516.5111.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
Last 10#2Table position#81.67Points per game0.877Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3858Defence rating4271Form rating2971H2H rating2973Goals model2765Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

10 OctHSuduva Marijampole4-0W
3 OctHPanevėžys0-2L
19 SepATransINVEST Vilnius0-3L
16 SepHKauno Žalgiris3-2W
13 SepASuduva Marijampole0-0D
6 SepHŠiauliai1-0W
30 AugAPanevėžys0-2L
23 AugHDžiugas Telšiai2-0W
16 AugHBanga2-3L
13 AugAHNK Hajduk Split0-4L

Hegelmann Litauen

1W 4D 5L · goals 11:19 · per match 1.1 for, 1.9 against

20 SepHSuduva Marijampole1-1D
13 SepAŠiauliai0-0D
7 SepHPanevėžys1-3L
31 AugADžiugas Telšiai2-2D
23 AugHBanga1-1D
8 AugAKauno Žalgiris0-2L
2 AugHTransINVEST Vilnius1-2L
27 JulHFK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3L
24 JulAŠiauliai2-0W
20 JulASuduva Marijampole1-5L

Head to head

14FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins
6draws
9Hegelmann Litauen wins

29 meetings · goals 48:38 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for FK Zalgiris Vilnius

27 Jul 2026A LygaA LygaHegelmann Litauen2-3FK Zalgiris Vilnius
24 May 2026A LygaA LygaFK Zalgiris Vilnius1-3Hegelmann Litauen
22 Mar 2026A LygaA LygaHegelmann Litauen0-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius
8 Feb 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFK Zalgiris Vilnius1-0Hegelmann Litauen
2 Nov 2025A LygaA LygaFK Zalgiris Vilnius3-1Hegelmann Litauen
24 Aug 2025A LygaA LygaHegelmann Litauen2-2FK Zalgiris Vilnius
24 Jun 2025A LygaA LygaFK Zalgiris Vilnius0-1Hegelmann Litauen
20 Apr 2025A LygaA LygaHegelmann Litauen2-1FK Zalgiris Vilnius
30 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsFK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3Hegelmann Litauen
14 Sep 2024A LygaA LygaFK Zalgiris Vilnius1-1Hegelmann Litauen

A Lyga tableA Lygaupdated 18 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the A Lyga table, FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 2nd with 50 points from 30 games, while Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 26 points from 30.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris28149556:20+3651
2FK Zalgiris Vilnius301551049:35+1450
3Suduva Marijampole291311539:29+1050
4TransINVEST Vilnius29137946:38+846
5Banga291181033:30+341
6Džiugas Telšiai291091039:43-439
7Panevėžys291051431:44-1335
8Hegelmann Litauen304141232:52-2026
9Šiauliai29381824:58-3417
10FK Trakai00000:000

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.35X20%4.51214%6.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 12:401 1.35X 4.512 6.51
11.32 → 1.35 +2.3%X4.76 → 4.51 -5.3%26.91 → 6.51 -5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.522.476.3%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
1xBet1.482.3310.5%
Marathonbet1.482.3310.5%
BetVictor1.402.0520.2%
Best of all books1.532.475.8%
Average1.482.3110.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.917.9%
William Hill1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.701.999.1%
Marathonbet1.701.969.8%
BetVictor1.551.8020.1%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.691.9310.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 45%Draw 45%Hegelmann Litauen 10%

The statistical model rated FK Zalgiris Vilnius at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hegelmann Litauen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 4.51 | 6.51, which imply roughly 74.1% for a FK Zalgiris Vilnius win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A Lyga table: FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 2nd (50 pts, 49-35 goals), Hegelmann Litauen 8th (26 pts, 32-52).

Over their last five matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Hegelmann Litauen averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.354.516.51

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.731.11

Draw no bet

12
1.114.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.691.93

1st half

1X2
1.762.536.35

2nd half

1X2
1.662.955.81

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8918.345.7
HT X4.217.4315.3
HT 221.719.012.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3417.53.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.1
1.51.134.35
2.51.482.31
3.52.221.53
4.53.661.19
5.56.331.05
6.510.51.02
7.517.0–
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.751.144.33
21.183.88
2.251.342.89
2.751.592.08
31.761.84
3.251.981.66
3.752.611.42
43.141.27
4.253.511.23
4.754.701.12
56.351.06
5.256.701.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.771.38
-1.752.291.56
-1.52.011.74
-1.251.761.90
-11.562.29
-0.751.432.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-49.901.01
-3.56.271.07
-3.256.031.08
-35.721.10
-2.754.181.18
-2.53.381.26
-2.253.071.31
-0.51.373.05
-0.251.233.57
01.115.40
+0.251.095.87
+0.51.126.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
91.382.73
9.51.562.20
101.771.97
10.52.001.71
112.371.49
11.52.691.39

Next A Lyga matches

19 OctSuduva Marijampole – Kauno Žalgiris

All A Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest A Lyga results

17 OctDžiugas Telšiai 3-3 TransINVEST Vilnius
17 OctPanevėžys 2-1 Banga
10 OctFK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 Suduva Marijampole
20 SepŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris
20 SepHegelmann Litauen 1-1 Suduva Marijampole
19 SepTransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius