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Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris• A Lyga, Lithuania

#30.8:2.20-1FTToday · Marijampole Football Arena, Marijampole3.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.901XBX3.26PIN21.95PINMargin at best7.6%Books10Markets55Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 12:20 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.703.301.987.8%
Pinnacle3.883.271.947.9%
Betfair3.903.301.8510.0%
1xBet3.903.161.8910.2%
Betano3.753.251.8710.9%
Bet3653.803.251.8511.1%
Marathonbet3.823.161.8711.3%
William Hill3.803.001.9112.0%
SBO3.323.011.9414.9%
BetVictor3.402.881.8019.7%
Best of all books3.903.301.986.4%
Average3.733.161.8911.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Suduva MarijampoleKauno Žalgiris
Last 10#3Table position#11.72Points per game1.822Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 53.02.2Goals against · last 50.821Attack rating7927Defence rating7329Form rating7150H2H rating5061Goals model3937Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Suduva Marijampole

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

10 OctAFK Zalgiris Vilnius0-4L
29 SepAJagiellonia0-5L
20 SepAHegelmann Litauen1-1D
13 SepHFK Zalgiris Vilnius0-0D
9 SepAKauno Žalgiris1-5L
6 SepATransINVEST Vilnius2-1W
30 AugAŠiauliai2-1W
23 AugHPanevėžys2-0W
17 AugADžiugas Telšiai2-0W
9 AugABanga3-0W

Kauno Žalgiris

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against

19 OctASuduva Marijampole1-0W
15 OctABrighton0-4L
11 OctAMinija3-0W
20 SepAŠiauliai2-0W
16 SepAFK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3L
13 SepAPanevėžys1-0W
9 SepHSuduva Marijampole5-1W
6 SepHDžiugas Telšiai5-0W
3 SepAŠiauliai1-0W
30 AugABanga0-0D

Head to head

27Suduva Marijampole wins
13draws
12Kauno Žalgiris wins

52 meetings · goals 92:60 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Suduva Marijampole

9 Sep 2026A LygaA LygaKauno Žalgiris5-1Suduva Marijampole
23 May 2026A LygaA LygaSuduva Marijampole2-1Kauno Žalgiris
21 Mar 2026A LygaA LygaKauno Žalgiris1-1Suduva Marijampole
17 Jan 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsSuduva Marijampole0-4Kauno Žalgiris
27 Oct 2025A LygaA LygaSuduva Marijampole1-0Kauno Žalgiris
24 Sep 2025A LygaA LygaKauno Žalgiris1-1Suduva Marijampole
10 Aug 2025CupCupKauno Žalgiris0-2Suduva Marijampole
13 Jun 2025A LygaA LygaSuduva Marijampole0-0Kauno Žalgiris
12 Apr 2025A LygaA LygaKauno Žalgiris0-0Suduva Marijampole
9 Nov 2024A LygaA LygaKauno Žalgiris2-4Suduva Marijampole

A Lyga tableA Lygaupdated 18 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the A Lyga table, Suduva Marijampole sit 3rd with 50 points from 29 games, while Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 51 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Kauno Žalgiris28149556:20+3651
2FK Zalgiris Vilnius301551049:35+1450
3Suduva Marijampole291311539:29+1050
4TransINVEST Vilnius29137946:38+846
5Banga291181033:30+341
6Džiugas Telšiai291091039:43-439
7Panevėžys291051431:44-1335
8Hegelmann Litauen304141232:52-2026
9Šiauliai29381824:58-3417
10FK Trakai00000:000

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.73X28%3.16248%1.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16 Oct 00:0118 Oct 18:101 3.75X 3.122 1.88
13.39 → 3.75 +10.6%X3.28 → 3.12 -4.9%21.94 → 1.88 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.161.685.8%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
SBO2.131.667.2%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
1xBet2.061.659.1%
Marathonbet2.061.659.1%
Betano2.001.679.9%
BetVictor1.841.5220.1%
Best of all books2.161.685.8%
Average2.061.649.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.911.837.0%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
William Hill1.911.807.9%
1xBet1.861.819.0%
Marathonbet1.861.789.9%
BetVictor1.731.6219.5%
Best of all books2.001.834.6%
Average1.881.7610.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Suduva Marijampole 10%Draw 45%Kauno Žalgiris 45%

The statistical model rated Suduva Marijampole at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kauno Žalgiris at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.73 | 3.16 | 1.89, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A Lyga table: Suduva Marijampole are 3rd (50 pts, 39-29 goals), Kauno Žalgiris 1st (51 pts, 56-20).

Over their last five matches, Suduva Marijampole averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Kauno Žalgiris averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kauno Žalgiris.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.733.161.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.771.181.24

Draw no bet

12
2.631.36

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.881.76

1st half

1X2
4.332.032.49

2nd half

1X2
4.052.322.26

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.4315.026.7
HT X8.124.774.65
HT 240.114.52.98

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.538.201.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.23
1.51.342.87
2.52.061.64
3.53.641.20
4.56.791.05
5.515.71.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.55
1.251.193.85
1.751.432.56
21.542.14
2.251.821.82
2.752.401.48
33.021.31
3.253.291.25
3.754.651.12
46.551.05
4.256.951.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.771.39
+0.252.121.66
+0.51.801.87
+0.751.612.19
+11.382.76
+1.251.313.14
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.701.01
-1.258.301.02
-17.401.05
-0.754.871.14
-0.53.701.26
-0.253.221.30
+1.51.243.52
+1.751.154.53
+21.066.77
+2.251.057.13
+2.51.057.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.432.53
91.702.09
9.51.941.78
102.091.63
10.52.391.48
113.001.32
11.52.881.34

Latest A Lyga results

18 OctFK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 Hegelmann Litauen
17 OctDžiugas Telšiai 3-3 TransINVEST Vilnius
17 OctPanevėžys 2-1 Banga
10 OctFK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 Suduva Marijampole
20 SepŠiauliai 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris
20 SepHegelmann Litauen 1-1 Suduva Marijampole