Suduva Marijampole vs
Kauno Žalgiris• A Lyga, Lithuania
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 12:20 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 7.8% |
| Pinnacle | 3.88 | 3.27 | 1.94 | 7.9% |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 10.0% |
| 1xBet | 3.90 | 3.16 | 1.89 | 10.2% |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.25 | 1.87 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 3.82 | 3.16 | 1.87 | 11.3% |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.91 | 12.0% |
| SBO | 3.32 | 3.01 | 1.94 | 14.9% |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.80 | 19.7% |
| Best of all books | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 6.4% |
| Average | 3.73 | 3.16 | 1.89 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC
Suduva Marijampole
5W 2D 3L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against
| 10 Oct | A | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-4 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Jagiellonia | 0-5 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep | A | Kauno Žalgiris | 1-5 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | TransINVEST Vilnius | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Šiauliai | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Panevėžys | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Džiugas Telšiai | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | Banga | 3-0 | W |
Kauno Žalgiris
7W 1D 2L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against
| 19 Oct | A | Suduva Marijampole | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Brighton | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Minija | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Šiauliai | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Panevėžys | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | Suduva Marijampole | 5-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Džiugas Telšiai | 5-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Šiauliai | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Banga | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
52 meetings · goals 92:60 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Suduva Marijampole
| 9 Sep 2026A Lyga | A Lyga | Kauno Žalgiris5-1Suduva Marijampole |
| 23 May 2026A Lyga | A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole2-1Kauno Žalgiris |
| 21 Mar 2026A Lyga | A Lyga | Kauno Žalgiris1-1Suduva Marijampole |
| 17 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Suduva Marijampole0-4Kauno Žalgiris |
| 27 Oct 2025A Lyga | A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole1-0Kauno Žalgiris |
| 24 Sep 2025A Lyga | A Lyga | Kauno Žalgiris1-1Suduva Marijampole |
| 10 Aug 2025Cup | Cup | Kauno Žalgiris0-2Suduva Marijampole |
| 13 Jun 2025A Lyga | A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole0-0Kauno Žalgiris |
| 12 Apr 2025A Lyga | A Lyga | Kauno Žalgiris0-0Suduva Marijampole |
| 9 Nov 2024A Lyga | A Lyga | Kauno Žalgiris2-4Suduva Marijampole |
A Lyga tableA Lygaupdated 18 Oct 18:10 UTC
In the A Lyga table, Suduva Marijampole sit 3rd with 50 points from 29 games, while Kauno Žalgiris are 1st with 51 points from 28.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Žalgiris | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 56:20 | +36 | 51 |
| 2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 49:35 | +14 | 50 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 39:29 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46:38 | +8 | 46 |
| 5 | Banga | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:30 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 39:43 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 29 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 1.68 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| SBO | 2.13 | 1.66 | 7.2% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 1.65 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.65 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.67 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.84 | 1.52 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.16 | 1.68 | 5.8% |
| Average | 2.06 | 1.64 | 9.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.83 | 7.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 1.80 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 1.81 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 1.78 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 1.62 | 19.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.83 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.88 | 1.76 | 10.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Suduva Marijampole at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kauno Žalgiris at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.73 | 3.16 | 1.89, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the A Lyga table: Suduva Marijampole are 3rd (50 pts, 39-29 goals), Kauno Žalgiris 1st (51 pts, 56-20).
Over their last five matches, Suduva Marijampole averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Kauno Žalgiris averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kauno Žalgiris.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.73 | 3.16 | 1.89 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.77 | 1.18 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.63 | 1.36 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.88 | 1.76 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.33 | 2.03 | 2.49 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 2.32 | 2.26 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.43 | 15.0 | 26.7 |
| HT X | 8.12 | 4.77 | 4.65 |
| HT 2 | 40.1 | 14.5 | 2.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.53 | 8.20 | 1.66 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.23 |
| 1.5 | 1.34 | 2.87 |
| 2.5 | 2.06 | 1.64 |
| 3.5 | 3.64 | 1.20 |
| 4.5 | 6.79 | 1.05 |
| 5.5 | 15.7 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| 1 | 1.05 | 6.55 |
| 1.25 | 1.19 | 3.85 |
| 1.75 | 1.43 | 2.56 |
| 2 | 1.54 | 2.14 |
| 2.25 | 1.82 | 1.82 |
| 2.75 | 2.40 | 1.48 |
| 3 | 3.02 | 1.31 |
| 3.25 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.65 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.95 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.77 | 1.39 |
| +0.25 | 2.12 | 1.66 |
| +0.5 | 1.80 | 1.87 |
| +0.75 | 1.61 | 2.19 |
| +1 | 1.38 | 2.76 |
| +1.25 | 1.31 | 3.14 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.70 | 1.01 |
| -1.25 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 7.40 | 1.05 |
| -0.75 | 4.87 | 1.14 |
| -0.5 | 3.70 | 1.26 |
| -0.25 | 3.22 | 1.30 |
| +1.5 | 1.24 | 3.52 |
| +1.75 | 1.15 | 4.53 |
| +2 | 1.06 | 6.77 |
| +2.25 | 1.05 | 7.13 |
| +2.5 | 1.05 | 7.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
| 9 | 1.70 | 2.09 |
| 9.5 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| 10 | 2.09 | 1.63 |
| 10.5 | 2.39 | 1.48 |
| 11 | 3.00 | 1.32 |
| 11.5 | 2.88 | 1.34 |