Panevėžys vs Banga• A Lyga, Lithuania

#71.6:0.82-1FT17/10 · Aukstaitijos Stadium0.8:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.45WHX3.27PIN22.80PINMargin at best7.1%Books6Markets50Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.45	3.27	2.75	7.8%
William Hill	2.45	3.00	2.70	11.2%
1xBet	2.40	3.10	2.62	12.1%
Bet365	2.40	3.10	2.62	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.40	3.10	2.62	12.1%
BetVictor	2.25	2.90	2.45	19.7%
Best of all books	2.45	3.27	2.75	7.8%
Average	2.39	3.08	2.63	12.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PanevėžysBanga

Last 10#7Table position#51.21Points per game1.4112Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.467Attack rating3364Defence rating3664Form rating3693H2H rating733Goals model6767Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

Panevėžys

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

3 Oct	A	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	BFA	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Hegelmann Litauen	3-1	W
3 Sep	A	Banga	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Suduva Marijampole	0-2	L
17 Aug	A	Šiauliai	0-1	L
10 Aug	A	TransINVEST Vilnius	2-0	W
3 Aug	H	Džiugas Telšiai	1-1	D

Banga

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

19 Sep	H	Džiugas Telšiai	2-0	W
14 Sep	H	TransINVEST Vilnius	1-3	L
3 Sep	H	Panevėžys	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Kauno Žalgiris	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Hegelmann Litauen	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	3-2	W
9 Aug	H	Suduva Marijampole	0-3	L
3 Aug	A	Šiauliai	3-1	W
19 Jul	A	Džiugas Telšiai	0-1	L
12 Jul	A	TransINVEST Vilnius	3-1	W

Head to head

17Panevėžys wins

8draws

8Banga wins

33 meetings · goals 54:36 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Panevėžys

3 Sep 2026A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga0-3Panevėžys
24 May 2026A Lyga	A Lyga	Panevėžys1-0Banga
21 Mar 2026A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga0-1Panevėžys
18 Oct 2025A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga2-2Panevėžys
20 Aug 2025A Lyga	A Lyga	Panevėžys1-0Banga
23 May 2025A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga1-1Panevėžys
30 Mar 2025A Lyga	A Lyga	Panevėžys1-1Banga
15 Sep 2024A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga2-3Panevėžys
29 Jun 2024A Lyga	A Lyga	Panevėžys0-1Banga
11 May 2024A Lyga	A Lyga	Banga2-0Panevėžys

A Lyga tableA Lygaupdated 18 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the A Lyga table, Panevėžys sit 7th with 35 points from 29 games, while Banga are 5th with 41 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kauno Žalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	+36	51
2	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	30	15	5	10	49:35	+14	50
3	Suduva Marijampole	29	13	11	5	39:29	+10	50
4	TransINVEST Vilnius	29	13	7	9	46:38	+8	46
5	Banga	29	11	8	10	33:30	+3	41
6	Džiugas Telšiai	29	10	9	10	39:43	-4	39
7	Panevėžys	29	10	5	14	31:44	-13	35
8	Hegelmann Litauen	30	4	14	12	32:52	-20	26
9	Šiauliai	29	3	8	18	24:58	-34	17
10	FK Trakai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.39X29%3.08234%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.10 → 2.39 -22.9%X3.35 → 3.08 -8.1%22.12 → 2.64 +24.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.98	1.83	5.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.73	1.61	19.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.90	1.76	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.69	1.94	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Panevėžys 45%Draw 45%Banga 10%

The statistical model rated Panevėžys at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Banga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.08 | 2.63, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Panevėžys win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the A Lyga table: Panevėžys are 7th (35 pts, 31-44 goals), Banga 5th (41 pts, 33-30).

Over their last five matches, Panevėžys averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Banga averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Panevėžys or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.39	3.08	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.45	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	1.94

1st half

1	X	2
2.98	2.07	3.26

2nd half

1	X	2
2.76	2.35	2.99

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.93	13.7	31.0
HT X	5.87	4.93	6.33
HT 2	29.7	14.5	4.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	9.35	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.50
1.5	1.25	3.13
2.5	1.90	1.76
3.5	3.14	1.25
4.5	5.60	1.07
5.5	11.3	1.03
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.15	4.34
1.75	1.35	2.87
2	1.45	2.49
2.25	1.66	1.97
2.75	2.11	1.57
3	2.60	1.41
3.25	2.93	1.33
3.75	3.96	1.17
4	5.45	1.08
4.25	5.80	1.07
4.75	6.00	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.94	1.35
-0.5	2.46	1.52
-0.25	2.11	1.65
0	1.75	1.91
+0.25	1.56	2.30
+0.5	1.46	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.80	1.01
-2	8.70	1.02
-1.75	6.53	1.07
-1.5	5.02	1.13
-1.25	4.47	1.16
-1	4.05	1.19
+0.75	1.29	3.24
+1	1.15	4.53
+1.25	1.13	4.97
+1.5	1.10	5.50
+1.75	1.05	7.13
+2	1.06	8.47

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.88	1.92

Next A Lyga matches

19 Oct

Suduva Marijampole – Kauno Žalgiris

All A Lyga fixtures and the table

Latest A Lyga results

18 Oct	FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 Hegelmann Litauen
17 Oct	Džiugas Telšiai 3-3 TransINVEST Vilnius
10 Oct	FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 Suduva Marijampole
20 Sep	Šiauliai 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris
20 Sep	Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Suduva Marijampole
19 Sep	TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius