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Yelimay Semey vs Ulytau• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#61.4:1.82-1FT18/10 · Stadion Spartak, Semey1.6:1.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.621XBX3.911XB25.251XBMargin at best6.4%Books5Markets55Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:42 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.623.915.256.4%
Pinnacle1.543.835.1310.5%
Marathonbet1.543.725.0011.8%
William Hill1.603.504.8011.9%
Bet3651.603.804.2012.6%
Best of all books1.623.915.256.4%
Average1.583.754.8810.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Yelimay SemeyUlytau
Last 10#6Table position#81.57Points per game1.259Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5347Defence rating5356Form rating4464H2H rating3659Goals model4159Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Yelimay Semey

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

14 OctAAtyrau2-1W
10 OctHAktobe1-3L
17 SepAFK Tobol Kostanay2-0W
12 SepHZhetysu2-1W
6 SepAFC Astana0-4L
31 AugHKairat Almaty0-2L
16 AugAKaspiy2-2D
9 AugHIrtysh3-1W
2 AugAZhenys0-0D
26 JulHKaisar1-1D

Ulytau

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

18 OctAYelimay Semey1-2L
11 OctHOkzhetpes2-0W
18 SepAAktobe2-2D
13 SepHAltay0-3L
6 SepAFK Tobol Kostanay1-3L
29 AugHZhetysu3-0W
15 AugAKairat Almaty1-3L
8 AugAKaspiy1-1D
2 AugHFC Astana0-2L
25 JulHIrtysh1-2L

Head to head

2Yelimay Semey wins
1draws
1Ulytau wins

4 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Yelimay Semey

3 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUlytau1-0Yelimay Semey
12 Jul 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueUlytau1-1Yelimay Semey
12 Apr 2025CupCupUlytau0-3Yelimay Semey
6 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueYelimay Semey3-0Ulytau

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Yelimay Semey sit 6th with 44 points from 28 games, while Ulytau are 8th with 35 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ordabasy27204355:20+3564
2Kairat Almaty27196257:19+3863
3FC Astana27147645:29+1649
4Okzhetpes28146842:37+548
5Aktobe28136942:35+745
6Yelimay Semey28128840:38+244
7FK Tobol Kostanay281241239:38+140
8Ulytau28981127:34-735
9Kaspiy28961331:39-833
10Zhenys28881229:38-932
11Kyzyl-Zhar28771430:40-1028
12Atyrau275121022:29-727
13Irtysh28681426:42-1626
14Zhetysu28671528:46-1825
15Altay28591427:41-1424
16Kaisar284121224:39-1524

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.58X24%3.75219%4.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0117 Oct 18:501 1.59X 3.732 4.84
11.79 → 1.59 -11.2%X3.45 → 3.73 +8.1%24.21 → 4.84 +15.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.732.066.3%
Pinnacle1.682.097.4%
Marathonbet1.692.018.9%
Best of all books1.752.095.0%
Average1.712.057.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.731.988.3%
Marathonbet1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.732.007.8%
Average1.731.988.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Yelimay Semey 45%Draw 45%Ulytau 10%

The statistical model rated Yelimay Semey at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulytau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.75 | 4.88, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Yelimay Semey win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Yelimay Semey are 6th (44 pts, 40-38 goals), Ulytau 8th (35 pts, 27-34).

Over their last five matches, Yelimay Semey averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Ulytau averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Yelimay Semey or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Yelimay Semey

3-5-2

Goalkeeper

  • 32Ivan Konovalov

Defence

  • 26Strahinja Tanasijević
  • 15Maj Mittendorfer
  • 4Adilbek Zhumakhanov

Midfield

  • 20Arsen Ashirbek
  • 18Ramazan Orazov
  • 44Almas Tyulyubay
  • 89China
  • 17Akmal Bakhtiyarov

Attack

  • 9Roger Murillo
  • 19Aybar Zhaksylykov
Substitutes (10)
  • 1Egor Tsuprikov
  • 5Marin Belančić
  • 8Miras Omatay
  • 10Zhan-Ali Payruz
  • 23Hrvoje Ilić
  • 88Asan Baygaliev
  • 7Roman Murtazaev
  • 11Ivan Sviridov
  • 14Duban Felipe Palacio Mosquera
  • 77Euloge Fessou Placca

Ulytau

4-1-4-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Dmytro Nepohodov

Defence

  • 2David Carmona
  • 4Maksim Chalkin
  • 25Glib Bukhal

Midfield

  • 13Aslan Akhmedov
  • 18Arthur Bougnone
  • 90David Martin Anane
  • 8Beka Vachiberadze
  • 14Hiroki Harada
  • 17Bagdat Daniyarov

Attack

  • 45Bakdaulet Zulfikarov
Substitutes (10)
  • 40Stanislav Shcherbakov
  • 78Timurbek Zakirov
  • 69Daniel Maulenov
  • 6Kuandyk Nursultanov
  • 9Rinat Serikkul
  • 22Ilya Chernyak
  • 10Abzal Taubay
  • 7Kotaro Kishi
  • 11Ariagner Smith
  • 21Orken Nurali

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.583.754.88

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.171.21

Draw no bet

12
1.253.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.731.98

1st half

1X2
2.152.264.96

2nd half

1X2
1.902.624.77

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3616.042.3
HT X4.335.9710.8
HT 221.716.48.57

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4911.92.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0110.2
1.51.193.76
2.51.712.05
3.52.661.38
4.54.701.12
5.58.501.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.93
11.018.70
1.251.105.10
1.751.243.34
21.303.01
2.251.512.37
2.751.871.84
32.141.59
3.252.411.47
3.753.141.27
44.101.16
4.254.391.14
58.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.521.46
-1.252.221.56
-11.961.77
-0.751.722.00
-0.51.672.17
-0.251.372.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.801.01
-38.201.02
-2.755.801.07
-2.54.601.13
-2.254.251.15
-23.901.18
-1.753.041.32
01.213.65
+0.251.154.25
+0.751.066.15
+11.028.95
+1.251.027.68
+1.51.029.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.951.85

Next Premier League matches

24 OctZhetysu – FK Tobol Kostanay
24 OctOkzhetpes – Kaspiy
24 OctKyzyl-Zhar – Ulytau
24 OctOrdabasy – Zhenys
25 OctAtyrau – Irtysh
25 OctAktobe – Kairat Almaty

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

18 OctFC Astana 2-2 Kaspiy
18 OctKairat Almaty 5-0 Irtysh
18 OctAltay 1-1 Atyrau
17 OctAktobe 1-3 Ordabasy
17 OctFK Tobol Kostanay 4-2 Zhenys
17 OctZhetysu 2-1 Kaisar