Aktobe vs 
Ordabasy• Premier League, Kazakhstan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 08:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.22 | 3.22 | 2.26 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 9.6% |
| Best of all books | 3.22 | 3.25 | 2.26 | 6.1% |
| Average | 3.11 | 3.24 | 2.23 | 7.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 18:31 UTC
Aktobe
6W 2D 2L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against
| 10 Oct | A | Yelimay Semey | 3-1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Ulytau | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Kaspiy | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Zhenys | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Irtysh | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Kaisar | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | Atyrau | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Kyzyl-Zhar | 1-3 | L |
| 25 Jul | H | Okzhetpes | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Jul | A | Altay | 4-2 | W |
Ordabasy
8W 0D 2L · goals 24:7 · per match 2.4 for, 0.7 against
| 11 Oct | A | Kaisar | 4-1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Atyrau | 3-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | FC Astana | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Okzhetpes | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Kyzyl-Zhar | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Aug | A | Altay | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Altay | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Zhetysu | 4-0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | FK Tobol Kostanay | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Jul | A | Kairat Almaty | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
39 meetings · goals 49:50 · last 10: 3W 6D 1L for Aktobe
| 3 May 2026Premier League | Premier League | Ordabasy2-0Aktobe |
| 26 Oct 2025Premier League | Premier League | Aktobe2-2Ordabasy |
| 1 Mar 2025Premier League | Premier League | Ordabasy0-0Aktobe |
| 25 Aug 2024Premier League | Premier League | Ordabasy1-1Aktobe |
| 18 May 2024Premier League | Premier League | Aktobe0-0Ordabasy |
| 8 May 2024Cup | Cup | Ordabasy1-2Aktobe |
| 16 Sep 2023Premier League | Premier League | Aktobe2-1Ordabasy |
| 9 Apr 2023Premier League | Premier League | Ordabasy1-1Aktobe |
| 29 Oct 2022Premier League | Premier League | Ordabasy2-2Aktobe |
| 21 Aug 2022Premier League | Premier League | Aktobe3-1Ordabasy |
Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC
In the Premier League table, Aktobe sit 4th with 45 points from 27 games, while Ordabasy are 1st with 61 points from 26.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | +33 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 52:19 | +33 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | +16 | 48 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:32 | +9 | 45 |
| 5 | Okzhetpes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 41:37 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:37 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Kaisar | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Altay | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 22 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 1.77 | 6.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.77 | 6.5% |
| Average | 2.00 | 1.77 | 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.79 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
| Average | 1.79 | 1.92 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Aktobe at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ordabasy at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.11 | 3.24 | 2.23, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Aktobe are 4th (45 pts, 41-32 goals), Ordabasy 1st (61 pts, 52-19).
Over their last five matches, Aktobe averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Ordabasy averaged 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ordabasy.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.11 | 3.24 | 2.23 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.79 | 1.92 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 2.09 | 2.83 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | 2.37 | 2.55 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.20 | 16.0 | 25.0 |
| HT X | 7.30 | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| HT 2 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 3.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 8.80 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
| 2.5 | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.30 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.80 | 1.06 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 6.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.19 | 4.11 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
| 2 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.77 | 2.00 |
| 2.75 | 2.19 | 1.58 |
| 3 | 2.65 | 1.41 |
| 3.25 | 2.97 | 1.33 |
| 3.75 | 3.99 | 1.20 |
| 4 | 5.40 | 1.11 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.75 | 1.43 |
| 0 | 2.31 | 1.59 |
| +0.25 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| +0.75 | 1.45 | 2.54 |
| +1 | 1.28 | 3.30 |
| +1.25 | 1.22 | 3.67 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.40 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 5.40 | 1.10 |
| -0.75 | 3.80 | 1.22 |
| +1.5 | 1.18 | 4.10 |
| +1.75 | 1.11 | 5.25 |
| +2 | 1.04 | 7.70 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 8.80 |