FC Astana vs Kaspiy• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#31.4:0.614:00Tomorrow · Astana Arena, Astana1.0:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.35WHX5.391XB28.751XBMargin at best4.1%Books5Markets57Rating70 · 30Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.31	5.39	8.75	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.31	4.90	7.38	10.3%
William Hill	1.35	4.50	7.00	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.28	4.80	7.80	11.8%
Bet365	1.30	5.00	6.25	12.9%
Best of all books	1.35	5.39	8.75	4.1%
Average	1.31	4.92	7.44	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC AstanaKaspiy

Last 10#3Table position#91.85Points per game1.199Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 51.258Attack rating4267Defence rating3350Form rating5080H2H rating2084Goals model1670Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

FC Astana

7W 1D 2L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

14 Oct	A	Irtysh	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	FK Tobol Kostanay	1-2	L
17 Sep	H	Kairat Almaty	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Ordabasy	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Yelimay Semey	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Atyrau	3-2	W
16 Aug	A	Kyzyl-Zhar	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Okzhetpes	2-1	W
2 Aug	A	Ulytau	2-0	W
26 Jul	H	Altay	4-1	W

Kaspiy

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

11 Oct	H	Altay	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Zhetysu	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Aktobe	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Kairat Almaty	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	FK Tobol Kostanay	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Yelimay Semey	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Ulytau	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Irtysh	2-3	L
26 Jul	H	Zhenys	3-2	W
18 Jul	A	Kaisar	1-1	D

Head to head

7FC Astana wins

2draws

2Kaspiy wins

11 meetings · goals 24:12 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for FC Astana

3 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Kaspiy1-0FC Astana
2 Jul 2023Premier League	Premier League	Kaspiy1-2FC Astana
24 Jun 2023Premier League	Premier League	FC Astana3-1Kaspiy
10 Sep 2022Premier League	Premier League	Kaspiy0-3FC Astana
22 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	FC Astana4-0Kaspiy
22 Sep 2021Cup	Cup	Kaspiy0-1FC Astana
21 Aug 2021Cup	Cup	FC Astana3-3Kaspiy
29 May 2021Premier League	Premier League	Kaspiy2-2FC Astana
19 Mar 2021Premier League	Premier League	FC Astana2-0Kaspiy
1 Oct 2020Premier League	Premier League	FC Astana1-2Kaspiy

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, FC Astana sit 3rd with 48 points from 26 games, while Kaspiy are 9th with 32 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	27	20	4	3	55:20	+35	64
2	Kairat Almaty	26	18	6	2	52:19	+33	60
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	+16	48
4	Okzhetpes	28	14	6	8	42:37	+5	48
5	Aktobe	28	13	6	9	42:35	+7	45
6	Yelimay Semey	27	11	8	8	38:37	+1	41
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	28	12	4	12	39:38	+1	40
8	Ulytau	27	9	8	10	26:32	-6	35
9	Kaspiy	27	9	5	13	29:37	-8	32
10	Zhenys	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	28	7	7	14	30:40	-10	28
12	Atyrau	26	5	11	10	21:28	-7	26
13	Irtysh	27	6	8	13	26:37	-11	26
14	Zhetysu	28	6	7	15	28:46	-18	25
15	Kaisar	28	4	12	12	24:39	-15	24
16	Altay	27	5	8	14	26:40	-14	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.31X18%4.92212%7.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.31 -9.0%X3.99 → 4.92 +23.3%26.87 → 7.44 +8.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.28	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.28	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.28	5.6%
Average	1.58	2.26	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.86	1.83	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.80	9.3%
Best of all books	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Average	1.82	1.86	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Astana 45%Draw 45%Kaspiy 10%

The statistical model rates FC Astana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kaspiy at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 4.92 | 7.44, which imply roughly 76.3% for a FC Astana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: FC Astana are 3rd (48 pts, 43-27 goals), Kaspiy 9th (32 pts, 29-37).

Over their last five matches, FC Astana averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Kaspiy averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Astana or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	4.92	7.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.94	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	5.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
1.73	2.52	7.07

2nd half

1	X	2
1.61	2.94	6.40

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.86	19.1	50.7
HT X	4.06	7.50	16.0
HT 2	21.7	20.5	13.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	14.5	3.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.14	4.30
2.5	1.59	2.26
3.5	2.36	1.48
4.5	4.05	1.17
5.5	7.20	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.50
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.18	3.92
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.40	2.70
2.75	1.68	2.01
3	1.88	1.78
3.25	2.15	1.62
3.75	2.75	1.36
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.74	1.19
4.75	4.95	1.11
5	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.52	1.43
-1.75	2.14	1.63
-1.5	1.90	1.84
-1.25	1.72	2.04
-1	1.46	2.47
-0.75	1.35	2.78

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.70	1.08
-3.25	5.40	1.09
-3	5.10	1.10
-2.75	3.78	1.19
-2.5	3.08	1.28
-2.25	2.81	1.34
-0.5	1.35	2.91
-0.25	1.17	3.95
0	1.06	6.05
+0.25	1.07	5.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.92	1.88