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Avai vs São Bernardo• Serie B, Brazil

#170.6:0.819:0007/11 · Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis1.6:1.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.44PINX3.30BFR23.00B365Margin at best4.6%Books10Markets77Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.433.303.004.8%
Pinnacle2.443.182.986.0%
Betfair2.403.302.886.7%
Betano2.423.152.957.0%
1xBet2.373.122.968.0%
Bet3652.353.103.008.1%
Marathonbet2.353.122.938.7%
William Hill2.403.002.909.5%
BetVictor2.303.102.8011.5%
SBO2.122.982.9115.1%
Best of all books2.443.303.004.6%
Average2.363.142.938.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvaiSão Bernardo
Last 10#17Table position#101.03Points per game1.447Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.60.8Goals against · last 51.627Attack rating7367Defence rating3350Form rating5050H2H rating5032Goals model6846Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

Avai

2W 2D 6L · goals 5:12 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against

31 OctANautico Recife0-1L
24 OctHBotafogo SP0-2L
18 OctHAthletic Club0-0D
11 OctACuiaba1-0W
7 OctHLondrina2-1W
3 OctHCeara0-1L
27 SepACriciuma0-3L
20 SepAGoias1-2L
15 SepHVila Nova1-1D
9 SepAFortaleza EC0-1L

São Bernardo

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

1 NovACuiaba2-1W
24 OctHVila Nova3-2W
18 OctHCriciuma0-1L
11 OctAJuventude2-2D
6 OctASport Recife1-2L
2 OctHCRB3-1W
25 SepANovorizontino0-0D
19 SepHAtletico Goianiense1-0W
14 SepAAmerica Mineiro2-0W
10 SepHLondrina1-2L

Head to head

0Avai wins
1draws
0São Bernardo wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Avai

17 Jul 2026Serie BSerie BSão Bernardo1-1Avai

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 5 Nov 03:30 UTC

In the Serie B table, Avai sit 17th with 37 points from 36 games, while São Bernardo are 10th with 52 points from 36.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Novorizontino361910764:31+3367
2Juventude361811747:25+2265
3Vila Nova36189952:38+1463
4Criciuma361881038:30+862
5Fortaleza EC361614643:31+1262
6CRB361671354:51+355
7Goias361671338:41-355
8Sport Recife361413948:39+955
9Atletico Goianiense361413942:33+955
10São Bernardo3614101251:40+1152
11Operario-PR361491346:48-251
12Botafogo SP361391441:39+248
13Cuiaba3611141133:30+347
14Athletic Club3611141142:41+147
15Nautico Recife3612101440:46-646
16Ceara3611101538:46-843
17Avai361071933:46-1337
18Londrina36882045:54-932
19America Mineiro36752426:55-2926
20Ponte Preta36362721:78-5715

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.36X29%3.14231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:015 Nov 03:001 2.36X 3.142 2.93
12.10 → 2.36 +12.4%X3.22 → 3.14 -2.5%23.45 → 2.93 -15.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.171.676.0%
Betano2.121.706.0%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
1xBet2.121.667.4%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
BetVictor2.071.658.9%
Best of all books2.171.704.9%
Average2.131.676.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.821.907.6%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.831.878.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.851.906.7%
Average1.831.868.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avai 10%Draw 45%São Bernardo 45%

The statistical model rates Avai at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and São Bernardo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.36 | 3.14 | 2.93, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Avai are 17th (37 pts, 33-46 goals), São Bernardo 10th (52 pts, 51-40).

Over their last five matches, Avai averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; São Bernardo averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or São Bernardo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.363.142.93

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.551.32

Draw no bet

12
1.682.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.86

1st half

1X2
2.952.033.65

2nd half

1X2
2.712.313.29

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6914.136.5
HT X5.524.656.69
HT 230.214.65.02

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.868.402.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.20
1.51.352.93
2.52.131.67
3.53.801.22
4.57.961.05
5.516.11.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.50
11.046.80
1.251.193.89
1.751.442.55
21.582.22
2.251.871.86
2.752.441.48
33.041.29
3.253.441.23
3.754.861.12
47.001.04
4.257.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.811.38
-0.52.351.56
-0.252.001.76
01.682.10
+0.251.472.49
+0.51.382.97
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.471.02
-2.259.001.01
-28.751.03
-1.756.451.07
-1.54.701.16
-1.254.381.17
-13.591.26
+0.751.233.68
+11.105.58
+1.251.086.12
+1.51.086.50
+1.751.018.80
+2.51.0212.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.104.80
8.51.273.31
9.51.512.41
10.51.831.89
11.52.331.54
12.53.101.31
13.54.351.13
14.56.511.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.114.58
81.134.36
8.251.203.63
8.751.303.00
91.342.84
9.251.432.54
9.751.582.20
101.662.08
10.251.761.94
10.751.971.75
112.101.65
11.252.221.57
11.752.531.43
122.801.35
12.252.951.31
12.753.461.22
134.001.16
13.254.181.14
13.755.041.09
146.111.04
14.256.311.04

Next Serie B matches

5 NovBotafogo SP – Londrina
6 NovOperario-PR – Sport Recife
7 NovNovorizontino – Fortaleza EC
7 NovVila Nova – Criciuma
7 NovCuiaba – Juventude
8 NovNautico Recife – CRB

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

2 NovGoias 2-1 CRB
2 NovAthletic Club 2-1 Ceara
2 NovFortaleza EC 0-0 Atletico Goianiense
1 NovNovorizontino 2-1 Operario-PR
1 NovCuiaba 1-2 São Bernardo
1 NovLondrina 1-3 America Mineiro