Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC• Serie B, Brazil

#12.4:0.819:1007/11 · Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte1.4:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.85WHX3.55DAF24.74PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets84Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.85	3.55	4.40	5.0%
Betfair	1.85	3.40	4.33	6.6%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.51	4.69	6.6%
Betano	1.85	3.40	4.25	7.0%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	4.33	7.2%
1xBet	1.77	3.44	4.46	8.0%
William Hill	1.85	3.25	4.20	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.44	4.45	8.7%
BetVictor	1.75	3.30	4.20	11.3%
SBO	1.84	3.02	3.63	15.0%
Best of all books	1.85	3.55	4.69	3.5%
Average	1.81	3.37	4.29	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NovorizontinoFortaleza EC

Last 10#1Table position#51.86Points per game1.7213Form pts · last 592.4Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.863Attack rating3750Defence rating5059Form rating410H2H rating10059Goals model4158Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

Novorizontino

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:8 · per match 2.0 for, 0.8 against

1 Nov	H	Operario-PR	2-1	W
24 Oct	A	Atletico Goianiense	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	Vila Nova	2-2	D
12 Oct	H	Ponte Preta	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Nautico Recife	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Goias	3-0	W
25 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Ceara	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Cuiaba	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Botafogo SP	3-1	W

Fortaleza EC

4W 6D 0L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

2 Nov	H	Atletico Goianiense	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Ponte Preta	2-2	D
16 Oct	A	Sport Recife	2-0	W
12 Oct	H	CRB	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	America Mineiro	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Nautico Recife	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Athletic Club	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Londrina	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Ceara	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Avai	1-0	W

Head to head

0Novorizontino wins

0draws

1Fortaleza EC wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Novorizontino

18 Jul 2026Serie B

Serie B

Fortaleza EC1-0Novorizontino

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 5 Nov 03:30 UTC

In the Serie B table, Novorizontino sit 1st with 67 points from 36 games, while Fortaleza EC are 5th with 62 points from 36.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	36	19	10	7	64:31	+33	67
2	Juventude	36	18	11	7	47:25	+22	65
3	Vila Nova	36	18	9	9	52:38	+14	63
4	Criciuma	36	18	8	10	38:30	+8	62
5	Fortaleza EC	36	16	14	6	43:31	+12	62
6	CRB	36	16	7	13	54:51	+3	55
7	Goias	36	16	7	13	38:41	-3	55
8	Sport Recife	36	14	13	9	48:39	+9	55
9	Atletico Goianiense	36	14	13	9	42:33	+9	55
10	São Bernardo	36	14	10	12	51:40	+11	52
11	Operario-PR	36	14	9	13	46:48	-2	51
12	Botafogo SP	36	13	9	14	41:39	+2	48
13	Cuiaba	36	11	14	11	33:30	+3	47
14	Athletic Club	36	11	14	11	42:41	+1	47
15	Nautico Recife	36	12	10	14	40:46	-6	46
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38:46	-8	43
17	Avai	36	10	7	19	33:46	-13	37
18	Londrina	36	8	8	20	45:54	-9	32
19	America Mineiro	36	7	5	24	26:55	-29	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21:78	-57	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.81X27%3.37222%4.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.79 → 1.81 +1.1%X3.40 → 3.37 -0.9%24.44 → 4.29 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Betano	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.75	6.2%
1xBet	2.03	1.72	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.72	7.4%
BetVictor	2.00	1.69	9.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.05	1.73	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	1.91	1.85	6.4%
Average	1.89	1.81	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Novorizontino 45%Draw 45%Fortaleza EC 10%

The statistical model rates Novorizontino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza EC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.37 | 4.29, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Novorizontino win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Novorizontino are 1st (67 pts, 64-31 goals), Fortaleza EC 5th (62 pts, 43-31).

Over their last five matches, Novorizontino averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Fortaleza EC averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Novorizontino or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.37	4.29

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.92	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
2.38	2.09	4.81

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.39	4.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.78	14.9	42.9
HT X	4.60	4.92	8.97
HT 2	26.4	15.8	7.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	8.65	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.54
1.5	1.32	3.08
2.5	2.05	1.73
3.5	3.62	1.24
4.5	7.18	1.06
5.5	14.7	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.60
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.17	4.01
1.75	1.40	2.66
2	1.53	2.33
2.25	1.80	1.93
2.75	2.32	1.54
3	2.83	1.33
3.25	3.16	1.28
3.75	4.41	1.15
4	6.15	1.06
4.25	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.18	1.30
-1.25	2.78	1.38
-1	2.48	1.50
-0.75	1.99	1.73
-0.5	1.80	1.98
-0.25	1.52	2.35

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.75	8.40	1.01
-2.5	6.82	1.07
-2.25	6.17	1.08
-2	5.70	1.09
-1.75	3.98	1.21
0	1.29	3.24
+0.25	1.22	3.78
+0.5	1.21	4.43
+0.75	1.10	5.65
+1.5	1.02	9.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.30
7.5	1.13	4.34
8.5	1.32	3.06
9.5	1.58	2.27
10.5	1.93	1.79
11.5	2.50	1.47
12.5	3.37	1.27
13.5	4.86	1.10
14.5	6.92	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.02	6.75
7.25	1.08	5.22
7.75	1.15	4.14
8	1.17	3.92
8.25	1.24	3.32
8.75	1.36	2.77
9	1.40	2.62
9.25	1.50	2.36
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.76	1.96
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.66
11	2.25	1.56
11.25	2.38	1.50
11.75	2.74	1.37
12	3.07	1.29
12.25	3.22	1.26
12.75	3.82	1.18
13	4.49	1.12
13.25	4.68	1.11
13.75	5.69	1.06
14	7.01	1.02

Next Serie B matches

5 Nov	Botafogo SP – Londrina
6 Nov	Operario-PR – Sport Recife
7 Nov	Avai – São Bernardo
7 Nov	Vila Nova – Criciuma
7 Nov	Cuiaba – Juventude
8 Nov	Nautico Recife – CRB

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

2 Nov	Goias 2-1 CRB
2 Nov	Athletic Club 2-1 Ceara
2 Nov	Fortaleza EC 0-0 Atletico Goianiense
1 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 São Bernardo
1 Nov	Novorizontino 2-1 Operario-PR
1 Nov	Londrina 1-3 America Mineiro