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Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC• Serie B, Brazil

#200.4:2.42-2FT24/10 · Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas1.6:1.0#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

113.0BFRX6.00BFR21.25WHMargin at best4.4%Books9Markets96Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle12.76.001.245.2%
Dafabet12.06.001.245.6%
Betano11.55.401.257.2%
Bet36512.05.751.227.7%
Betfair13.06.001.207.7%
1xBet12.05.651.228.0%
Marathonbet12.05.651.218.7%
William Hill11.05.001.259.1%
BetVictor11.55.251.2011.1%
Best of all books13.06.001.254.4%
Average12.05.631.237.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
Last 10#20Table position#40.43Points per game1.741Form pts · last 590.4Goals for · last 51.62.4Goals against · last 51.020Attack rating8029Defence rating7110Form rating9050H2H rating5023Goals model7730Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

Ponte Preta

1W 1D 8L · goals 3:24 · per match 0.3 for, 2.4 against

16 OctHAtletico Goianiense1-1D
12 OctANovorizontino1-5L
7 OctHJuventude0-2L
3 OctACuiaba0-2L
29 SepABotafogo SP0-2L
20 SepHCRB1-0W
15 SepALondrina0-6L
11 SepASport Recife0-2L
6 SepHSão Bernardo0-2L
30 AugAAmerica Mineiro0-2L

Fortaleza EC

5W 5D 0L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

16 OctASport Recife2-0W
12 OctHCRB2-2D
7 OctAAmerica Mineiro1-0W
3 OctHNautico Recife1-1D
27 SepHAthletic Club2-2D
20 SepALondrina2-1W
13 SepHCeara1-1D
9 SepHAvai1-0W
5 SepAGoias1-0W
31 AugHOperario-PR1-1D

Head to head

1Ponte Preta wins
1draws
1Fortaleza EC wins

3 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for Ponte Preta

3 Jul 2026Serie BSerie BFortaleza EC2-0Ponte Preta
26 Oct 2018Serie BSerie BFortaleza EC1-1Ponte Preta
8 Jul 2018Serie BSerie BPonte Preta2-0Fortaleza EC

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 26 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ponte Preta sit 20th with 15 points from 35 games, while Fortaleza EC are 4th with 61 points from 35.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Novorizontino351810762:30+3264
2Vila Nova35188950:36+1462
3Juventude341710741:23+1861
4Fortaleza EC351613643:31+1261
5Criciuma351781036:30+659
6CRB351671253:49+455
7Sport Recife351412947:38+954
8Atletico Goianiense351412942:33+954
9Operario-PR351491245:46-151
10Goias341471334:40-649
11São Bernardo3513101249:39+1049
12Botafogo SP351381440:38+247
13Cuiaba341114932:27+547
14Athletic Club3510141140:40044
15Nautico Recife3411101339:42-343
16Ceara3411101337:42-543
17Avai351071833:45-1237
18Londrina35881944:51-732
19America Mineiro34552422:54-3220
20Ponte Preta35362621:76-5515

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg18%12.2X17%5.61276%1.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 19:101 12.0X 5.632 1.23
110.8 → 12.0 +11.2%X5.27 → 5.63 +6.8%21.26 → 1.23 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.164.4%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.722.076.4%
1xBet1.682.097.4%
Marathonbet1.682.097.4%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.722.164.4%
Average1.692.106.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.451.536.2%
Bet3652.381.537.4%
1xBet2.351.537.9%
Betano2.371.528.0%
William Hill2.151.628.2%
BetVictor2.381.508.7%
Marathonbet2.351.518.8%
Best of all books2.451.622.5%
Average2.351.537.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ponte Preta 10%Draw 45%Fortaleza EC 45%

The statistical model rated Ponte Preta at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza EC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 12.24 | 5.61 | 1.23, which imply roughly 17.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ponte Preta are 20th (15 pts, 21-76 goals), Fortaleza EC 4th (61 pts, 43-31).

Over their last five matches, Ponte Preta averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Fortaleza EC averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ponte Preta

4-1-4-1

Coach: Gilson Kleina

Goalkeeper

  • 30Vinicius

Defence

  • 32Felipe Di Mauro
  • 15Gabriel Caran
  • 44Gustavo Almeida
  • 14Danilo Barcelos

Midfield

  • 8Karl
  • 18David da Hora
  • 35Gustavo Lopes
  • 5Rodrigo Souza
  • 19Danilo

Attack

  • 9Brandão
Substitutes (12)
  • 23Nicolas Silva
  • 2Guilherme Martins Ferreira
  • 4Diego Monteiro Leao
  • 17Miguel
  • 21Vitor Ribeiro Fernandes
  • 6Juan
  • 16Kawann
  • 7Emanuell Silva Ferreira
  • 1Guilherme Viana
  • 3Lucas Cunha
  • 20Thevyn Dos Anjos Souza
  • 22Denis

Fortaleza EC

4-3-3

Coach: Paulo Autuori

Goalkeeper

  • 1João Ricardo

Defence

  • 22Maílton
  • 23Neris
  • 15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
  • 13Maurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues

Midfield

  • 8Ronald
  • 5Pierre
  • 75Rodriguinho

Attack

  • 11Vitinho
  • 91Francisco da Costa
  • 16Pedro Henrique
Substitutes (12)
  • 17Nathan Fogaça
  • 12Kaio Henrique
  • 3Lucas Gazal
  • 29Rodrigo
  • 38Lucca
  • 77Paulo Baya
  • 31Welliton
  • 25Vinícius Silvestre
  • 19Lucas Emanoel
  • 4Luan
  • 37Ryan Gustavo
  • 28Paulinho

Match Statistics

Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
0.89Expected Goals1.94
126Passes accurate550
4Shots insidebox11
10Shots outsidebox12
3Blocked Shots8
13Free Kicks9
6Shots on Goal8
6Goalkeeper Saves4
5Shots off Goal7
190Total passes629
14Total Shots23
4Yellow Cards1
4Corner Kicks9
0Offsides1
10Fouls13
0Red Cards0
24%Ball Possession76%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
12.05.631.23

Double chance

1XX212
3.981.041.13

Draw no bet

12
9.201.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.351.53

1st half

1X2
10.12.591.65

2nd half

1X2
9.093.041.50

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 121.824.824.4
HT X22.87.843.77
HT 284.623.21.68

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
4.4713.11.22

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0411.3
1.51.214.03
2.51.692.10
3.52.721.41
4.55.011.15
5.59.331.03
6.517.81.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.30
1.251.095.30
1.751.233.43
21.283.08
2.251.502.43
2.751.861.87
32.141.64
3.252.391.51
3.753.071.29
43.951.17
4.254.311.15
4.755.701.08
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+1.252.411.51
+1.52.061.71
+1.751.831.90
+21.602.23
+2.251.472.52
+2.51.382.82
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
08.801.01
+0.255.331.11
+0.53.801.25
+0.753.561.26
+13.131.32
+2.751.283.40
+31.164.35
+3.251.144.78
+3.51.125.24
+3.751.086.17
+41.018.50
+4.51.019.00

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.672.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.104.74
8.51.293.14
9.51.542.33
10.51.901.83
11.52.401.51
12.53.191.28
13.54.401.13
14.56.601.03
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.026.86
7.251.075.29
7.751.124.53
81.134.31
8.251.203.60
8.751.312.98
91.342.82
9.251.442.52
9.751.592.19
101.672.10
10.251.771.93
10.751.981.74
112.121.67
11.252.241.56
11.752.551.42
122.831.34
12.252.981.31
12.753.501.22
134.061.16
13.254.231.14
13.755.111.08
146.201.04
14.256.401.03

Next Serie B matches

26 OctAmerica Mineiro – Cuiaba
26 OctJuventude – Nautico Recife
27 OctCeara – Goias

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

24 OctCRB 2-1 Londrina
24 OctAtletico Goianiense 0-1 Novorizontino
24 OctSão Bernardo 3-2 Vila Nova
24 OctAvai 0-2 Botafogo SP
24 OctSport Recife 2-1 Criciuma
23 OctOperario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club