Avai vs Botafogo SP• Serie B, Brazil

#170.6:1.00-2FT24/10 · Estádio da Ressacada, Florianopolis1.2:0.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.36PINX3.15PIN23.40B365Margin at best3.5%Books9Markets79Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 12:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.36	3.15	3.35	4.0%
Dafabet	2.34	3.15	3.30	4.8%
Bet365	2.35	3.00	3.40	5.3%
Betano	2.32	3.05	3.25	6.7%
Betfair	2.30	3.10	3.20	7.0%
1xBet	2.29	3.06	3.16	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.06	3.14	8.6%
William Hill	2.30	2.90	3.20	9.2%
BetVictor	2.25	2.90	3.13	10.9%
Best of all books	2.36	3.15	3.40	3.5%
Average	2.31	3.04	3.24	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvaiBotafogo SP

Last 10#17Table position#121.06Points per game1.347Form pts · last 5120.6Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 50.433Attack rating6729Defence rating7137Form rating6362H2H rating3852Goals model4847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

Avai

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Cuiaba	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Londrina	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Ceara	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Criciuma	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Goias	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Vila Nova	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Fortaleza EC	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Novorizontino	1-3	L
30 Aug	H	Atletico Goianiense	0-1	L

Botafogo SP

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	CRB	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Ceara	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	Operario-PR	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Vila Nova	0-1	L
29 Sep	H	Ponte Preta	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Athletic Club	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Goias	1-3	L
9 Sep	H	Novorizontino	1-3	L
3 Sep	A	Nautico Recife	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Cuiaba	1-2	L

Head to head

4Avai wins

3draws

2Botafogo SP wins

9 meetings · goals 13:7 · last 9: 4W 3D 2L for Avai

6 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP3-1Avai
23 Nov 2025Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP0-0Avai
28 Jul 2025Serie B	Serie B	Avai5-0Botafogo SP
19 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP1-3Avai
31 Jul 2024Serie B	Serie B	Avai1-1Botafogo SP
7 Oct 2023Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP0-1Avai
11 Jun 2023Serie B	Serie B	Avai1-1Botafogo SP
23 Nov 2020Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP0-1Avai
18 Aug 2020Serie B	Serie B	Avai0-1Botafogo SP

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 26 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Avai sit 17th with 37 points from 35 games, while Botafogo SP are 12th with 47 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	35	18	10	7	62:30	+32	64
2	Vila Nova	35	18	8	9	50:36	+14	62
3	Juventude	34	17	10	7	41:23	+18	61
4	Fortaleza EC	35	16	13	6	43:31	+12	61
5	Criciuma	35	17	8	10	36:30	+6	59
6	CRB	35	16	7	12	53:49	+4	55
7	Sport Recife	35	14	12	9	47:38	+9	54
8	Atletico Goianiense	35	14	12	9	42:33	+9	54
9	Operario-PR	35	14	9	12	45:46	-1	51
10	Goias	34	14	7	13	34:40	-6	49
11	São Bernardo	35	13	10	12	49:39	+10	49
12	Botafogo SP	35	13	8	14	40:38	+2	47
13	Cuiaba	34	11	14	9	32:27	+5	47
14	Athletic Club	35	10	14	11	40:40	0	44
15	Nautico Recife	34	11	10	13	39:42	-3	43
16	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37:42	-5	43
17	Avai	35	10	7	18	33:45	-12	37
18	Londrina	35	8	8	19	44:51	-7	32
19	America Mineiro	34	5	5	24	22:54	-32	20
20	Ponte Preta	35	3	6	26	21:76	-55	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.31X31%3.01229%3.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.28 → 2.31 +1.3%X3.01 → 3.04 +1.0%23.18 → 3.24 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.54	1.55	3.9%
Betfair	2.55	1.50	5.9%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betano	2.40	1.53	7.0%
1xBet	2.40	1.52	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.52	7.5%
BetVictor	2.32	1.52	8.9%
Best of all books	2.55	1.55	3.7%
Average	2.44	1.52	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.05	1.75	5.9%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.01	1.72	7.9%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.70	8.6%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.02	1.72	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avai 10%Draw 45%Botafogo SP 45%

The statistical model rated Avai at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Botafogo SP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.01 | 3.25, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Avai are 17th (37 pts, 33-45 goals), Botafogo SP 12th (47 pts, 40-38).

Over their last five matches, Avai averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Botafogo SP averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Botafogo SP and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Avai

4-2-3-1

Coach: Allan Aal

Goalkeeper

94Bruno Ferreira

Defence

2Wallison
3Allyson
38Jefferson Maciel
36DG

Midfield

77Zé Ricardo
8Luiz Henrique
14Daniel Penha
37Rildo
10Jean Lucas

Attack

19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira

Substitutes (12)

18Hyan
1Igor Bohn
23Gabriel Cipriano
9Léo Gamalho
70Gaspar
35Pedrão
25Paulo Vitor
20IsaÃas Pereira
66Quaresma
56William
11Felipe Vizeu
15Guilherme Vargas

Botafogo SP

5-4-1

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Goalkeeper

1Victor Souza

Defence

22Gabriel Inocêncio
2Jonathan
27Darlan
4Vilar
6Patrick Brey

Midfield

30Zé Hugo
8Everton Morelli
10Rafael Gava
5L. Maciel

Attack

9Hygor

Substitutes (10)

18Arthur Caíke
16Matheus Sales
28Marco Antônio
12Jordan
26Felipe Vieira
31Pedro Henrique
23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
29Thiago Henrique
7Kelvin
34Badaró

Match Statistics

AvaiBotafogo SP

1.29Expected Goals0.66

395Passes accurate260

14Shots insidebox2

13Shots outsidebox4

5Blocked Shots0

15Free Kicks13

8Shots on Goal3

1Goalkeeper Saves7

14Shots off Goal3

1Offsides0

484Total passes367

27Total Shots6

2Yellow Cards1

14Corner Kicks2

13Fouls16

0Red Cards0

58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.31	3.04	3.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.57	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
3.02	1.95	3.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.73	2.19	3.53

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.68	14.6	41.0
HT X	5.38	4.23	6.98
HT 2	32.8	14.9	5.36

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	6.85	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	7.10
1.5	1.45	2.57
2.5	2.44	1.52
3.5	4.78	1.16
4.5	9.98	1.04
5.5	20.2	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.45
1	1.08	5.70
1.25	1.25	3.35
1.75	1.58	2.25
2	1.79	1.92
2.25	2.10	1.67
2.75	2.81	1.36
3	3.74	1.20
3.25	4.17	1.16
3.75	5.95	1.07
4	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.76	1.40
-0.5	2.28	1.61
-0.25	1.94	1.80
0	1.60	2.27
+0.25	1.41	2.71
+0.5	1.34	3.31

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.3	1.02
-2	8.90	1.02
-1.75	6.50	1.07
-1.5	4.84	1.14
-1.25	4.39	1.18
-1	3.85	1.23
+0.75	1.20	4.13
+1	1.07	6.50
+1.25	1.04	6.95
+1.5	1.04	7.57

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.67	2.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.19
7.5	1.11	4.66
8.5	1.29	3.13
9.5	1.55	2.30
10.5	1.92	1.82
11.5	2.41	1.51
12.5	3.22	1.28
13.5	4.48	1.12
14.5	6.74	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.91
7	1.01	7.23
7.25	1.06	5.54
7.75	1.12	4.46
8	1.14	4.24
8.25	1.21	3.54
8.75	1.32	2.94
9	1.36	2.78
9.25	1.45	2.49
9.75	1.61	2.16
10	1.71	2.06
10.25	1.79	1.92
10.75	2.00	1.72
11	2.16	1.65
11.25	2.26	1.55
11.75	2.58	1.41
12	2.87	1.33
12.25	3.02	1.30
12.75	3.56	1.21
13	4.13	1.15
13.25	4.30	1.13
13.75	5.21	1.08
14	6.33	1.03
14.25	6.54	1.03

Next Serie B matches

26 Oct	America Mineiro – Cuiaba
26 Oct	Juventude – Nautico Recife
27 Oct	Ceara – Goias

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

24 Oct	Ponte Preta 2-2 Fortaleza EC
24 Oct	CRB 2-1 Londrina
24 Oct	Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Novorizontino
24 Oct	São Bernardo 3-2 Vila Nova
24 Oct	Sport Recife 2-1 Criciuma
23 Oct	Operario-PR 1-0 Athletic Club