Surkhon vs Nasaf• Super League, Uzbekistan

#120.4:0.412:00Today · Stadion Surkhon, Termez2.2:0.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.051XBX3.441XB21.881XBMargin at best7.0%Books10Markets47Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 04:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.05	3.44	1.88	7.0%
Pinnacle	4.21	3.35	1.87	7.1%
Betano	3.95	3.30	1.87	9.1%
BetVictor	4.10	3.40	1.80	9.4%
Dafabet	3.90	3.35	1.83	10.1%
Betfair	4.00	3.30	1.80	10.9%
Bet365	3.70	3.40	1.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	3.86	3.28	1.79	12.3%
William Hill	3.90	3.00	1.83	13.6%
SBO	3.49	3.02	1.82	16.7%
Best of all books	4.21	3.44	1.88	6.0%
Average	3.92	3.28	1.83	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SurkhonNasaf

Last 10#12Table position#61.16Points per game1.646Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 52.20.4Goals against · last 50.615Attack rating8560Defence rating4032Form rating6829H2H rating7130Goals model7034Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 19:01 UTC

Surkhon

2W 5D 3L · goals 4:6 · per match 0.4 for, 0.6 against

23 Oct	A	Buxoro	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Xorazm	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Qizilqum	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Kokand-1912	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Neftchi	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Bunyodkor	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	PFK Guliston	0-1	L
25 Aug	H	Olmaliq	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Pakhtakor	0-0	D
13 Aug	H	Sogdiana	1-3	L

Nasaf

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

28 Oct	H	Al Kuwait	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Sogdiana	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Lokomotiv	0-0	D
14 Oct	H	Al Wahda FC	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Dinamo Samarqand	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Andijan	4-1	W
16 Sep	A	Khalidiya	0-0	D
9 Sep	H	Bunyodkor	3-0	W
4 Sep	H	Neftchi	6-2	W
30 Aug	A	Navbahor	0-1	L

Head to head

1Surkhon wins

2draws

14Nasaf wins

17 meetings · goals 11:37 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Surkhon

20 Mar 2026Super League	Super League	Nasaf0-1Surkhon
23 Aug 2025Super League	Super League	Surkhon1-2Nasaf
13 Apr 2025Super League	Super League	Nasaf1-0Surkhon
18 Oct 2024Super League	Super League	Nasaf1-1Surkhon
20 May 2024Super League	Super League	Surkhon0-1Nasaf
29 Aug 2023Super League	Super League	Surkhon1-2Nasaf
3 May 2023Cup	Cup	Nasaf1-0Surkhon
9 Apr 2023Super League	Super League	Nasaf3-2Surkhon
10 Sep 2022Super League	Super League	Surkhon0-2Nasaf
23 Aug 2022Cup	Cup	Surkhon1-2Nasaf

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 30 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the Super League table, Surkhon sit 12th with 29 points from 25 games, while Nasaf are 6th with 41 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi	25	18	4	3	59:22	+37	58
2	Pakhtakor	26	16	8	2	45:25	+20	56
3	Navbahor	25	14	7	4	44:25	+19	49
4	Buxoro	26	12	6	8	38:33	+5	42
5	Olmaliq	25	12	6	7	36:32	+4	42
6	Nasaf	25	11	8	6	37:23	+14	41
7	Lokomotiv	25	11	7	7	40:31	+9	40
8	Qizilqum	26	10	5	11	25:31	-6	35
9	Andijan	25	9	4	12	30:33	-3	31
10	Dinamo Samarqand	25	8	7	10	36:39	-3	31
11	Sogdiana	26	8	6	12	43:50	-7	30
12	Surkhon	25	7	8	10	19:28	-9	29
13	Bunyodkor	25	8	2	15	26:41	-15	26
14	Kokand-1912	26	5	9	12	25:36	-11	24
15	Xorazm	26	5	8	13	21:37	-16	23
16	Mash'al	25	1	1	23	12:50	-38	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%3.94X27%3.30250%1.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.76	6.3%
SBO	2.00	1.76	6.8%
1xBet	1.99	1.76	7.1%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Average	1.98	1.75	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.85	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.82	1.86	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Surkhon 10%Draw 45%Nasaf 45%

The statistical model rates Surkhon at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Nasaf at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.94 | 3.30 | 1.82, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Surkhon are 12th (29 pts, 19-28 goals), Nasaf 6th (41 pts, 37-23).

Over their last five matches, Surkhon averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Nasaf averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nasaf and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.92	3.28	1.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.85	1.19	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.86	1.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
4.46	2.10	2.40

2nd half

1	X	2
4.01	2.38	2.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.66	14.9	23.9
HT X	8.42	5.01	4.60
HT 2	38.9	14.5	2.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.55	8.75	1.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.13
1.5	1.31	3.12
2.5	1.99	1.75
3.5	3.37	1.27
4.5	6.65	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.90
1	1.04	7.26
1.25	1.16	4.17
1.75	1.37	2.79
2	1.50	2.41
2.25	1.75	1.99
2.75	2.25	1.56
3	2.75	1.38
3.25	3.07	1.31
3.75	4.21	1.15
4	5.81	1.08
4.25	6.20	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.95	1.35
+0.25	2.21	1.59
+0.5	1.93	1.83
+0.75	1.67	2.09
+1	1.44	2.57
+1.25	1.34	2.94

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.01
-1.25	8.50	1.01
-1	8.48	1.02
-0.75	5.01	1.11
-0.25	3.38	1.26
+1.5	1.25	3.30
+1.75	1.15	4.21
+2	1.07	6.07
+2.25	1.05	6.50
+2.5	1.04	6.90

Next Super League matches

31 Oct	Mash'al – Dinamo Samarqand
31 Oct	Navbahor – Andijan

All Super League fixtures and the table

Latest Super League results

30 Oct	Kokand-1912 0-0 Qizilqum
30 Oct	Xorazm 0-1 Pakhtakor
30 Oct	Sogdiana 1-1 Buxoro
26 Oct	Xorazm 1-2 Navbahor
25 Oct	Dinamo Samarqand 1-1 Andijan
25 Oct	Qizilqum 1-1 Lokomotiv