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Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC• K League 1, South-Korea

#52.6:1.23-2FT18/10 · Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon1.8:1.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42B365X5.10PIN27.50BVCMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets87Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.405.247.533.8%
1xBet1.404.707.007.0%
Marathonbet1.394.707.007.5%
BetVictor1.364.807.507.7%
Bet3651.424.506.258.6%
William Hill1.364.756.5010.0%
Best of all books1.425.247.532.8%
Average1.394.786.967.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
Last 10#5Table position#121.44Points per game0.5611Form pts · last 552.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.859Attack rating4160Defence rating4065Form rating3562H2H rating3880Goals model2066Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Daejeon Citizen

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

18 OctHGwangju FC3-2W
13 OctASHANGHAI SIPG1-1D
9 OctHJeonbuk Motors2-1W
20 SepAIncheon United1-1D
15 SepHKyoto Sanga1-0W
12 SepHPohang Steelers2-2D
9 SepHFC Anyang3-2W
5 SepABucheon FC 19955-0W
30 AugAJeju United FC1-3L
26 AugHUlsan Hyundai FC2-1W

Gwangju FC

2W 4D 4L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

18 OctADaejeon Citizen2-3L
11 OctHUlsan Hyundai FC4-3W
20 SepAJeonbuk Motors2-2D
13 SepHFC Anyang1-1D
9 SepHJeju United FC0-1L
6 SepAGimcheon Sangmu FC2-2D
30 AugHFC Seoul2-5L
26 AugAGangwon FC2-2D
23 AugHIncheon United0-1L
19 AugAUlsan Citizen1-0W

Head to head

8Daejeon Citizen wins
10draws
7Gwangju FC wins

25 meetings · goals 28:24 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Daejeon Citizen

2 Aug 2026K League 1K League 1Daejeon Citizen2-0Gwangju FC
2 May 2026K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC0-5Daejeon Citizen
17 Aug 2025K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC2-0Daejeon Citizen
22 Jun 2025K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC2-2Daejeon Citizen
29 Mar 2025K League 1K League 1Daejeon Citizen1-1Gwangju FC
2 Nov 2024K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC0-0Daejeon Citizen
1 Sep 2024K League 1K League 1Daejeon Citizen2-0Gwangju FC
22 Jun 2024K League 1K League 1Daejeon Citizen2-1Gwangju FC
6 May 2024K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC2-1Daejeon Citizen
4 Aug 2023K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC3-0Daejeon Citizen

K League 1 tableK-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the K League 1 table, Daejeon Citizen sit 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while Gwangju FC are 12th with 18 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Seoul32206660:28+3266
2Ulsan Hyundai FC321551250:45+550
3Jeonbuk Motors321211942:32+1047
4Gangwon FC321114739:29+1047
5Daejeon Citizen3212101051:40+1146
6Jeju United FC3212101038:34+446
7Incheon United3211101140:34+643
8FC Anyang3210121039:47-842
9Pohang Steelers321181328:37-941
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC32519832:39-734
11Bucheon FC 1995327111432:44-1232
12Gwangju FC322121827:69-4218

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.38X19%4.78213%7.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0116 Oct 08:401 1.39X 4.732 7.00
11.38 → 1.39 +0.7%X4.79 → 4.73 -1.3%26.93 → 7.00 +1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.582.473.8%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.562.337.0%
Marathonbet1.562.337.0%
BetVictor1.562.238.9%
Best of all books1.582.473.8%
Average1.572.346.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.751.977.9%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.751.948.7%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.751.978.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Daejeon Citizen 50%Draw 50%Gwangju FC 0%

The statistical model rated Daejeon Citizen at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gwangju FC at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.78 | 7.17, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Daejeon Citizen win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the K League 1 table: Daejeon Citizen are 5th (46 pts, 51-40 goals), Gwangju FC 12th (18 pts, 27-69).

Over their last five matches, Daejeon Citizen averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Gwangju FC averaged 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Daejeon Citizen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Daejeon Citizen

4-2-3-1

Coach: Hwang Sun-Hong

Goalkeeper

  • 1Lee Chang-Geun

Defence

  • 33Kim Moon-Hwan
  • 4Jo Seong-Kwon
  • 98A. Krivotsyuk
  • 16Lee Myung-Jae

Midfield

  • 30Kim Bong-Soo
  • 6Kang Yun-Sung
  • 11Um Won-Sang
  • 7M. Ishida
  • 17G. Ludwigson

Attack

  • 10Joo Min-Kyu
Substitutes (9)
  • 9Diogo de Oliveira
  • 27Jeong Jae-Hee
  • 13Kim Jin-Ya
  • 14Kim Jun-Bum
  • 31Kim Min-Soo
  • 20Lee Hyun-Sik
  • 26Lee Jung-Taek
  • 41Park Byung-chan
  • 19Seo Jin-Su

Gwangju FC

4-4-2

Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

Goalkeeper

  • 23Kim Dong-Hwa

Defence

  • 22Kwon Sung-Yun
  • 4T. van Grunsven
  • 39Min Sang-Gi
  • 3Lee Min-Gi

Midfield

  • 40Shin Chang-Moo
  • 10Choi Kyoung-Rok
  • 14Yu Je-Ho
  • 9Ha Seung-Un

Attack

  • 50A. Ba Loua
  • 18J. Iredale
Substitutes (9)
  • 70Kim Woo-jin
  • 88Moon Min-seo
  • 33Park Won-Jae
  • 37Lee Yong-Jick
  • 1Kim Kyeong-Min
  • 8Ju Se-Jong
  • 17João Pedro
  • 6Ahn Young-Kyu
  • 21Kim Jong-Suk

Match Statistics

Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
60%Ball Possession40%
0Red Cards0
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
0Free Kicks0
5Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
16Total Shots11

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.394.786.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.092.841.16

Draw no bet

12
1.145.33

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.97

1st half

1X2
1.842.566.55

2nd half

1X2
1.692.935.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.9817.348.0
HT X4.217.3715.3
HT 221.018.712.2

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3717.33.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0215.3
1.51.154.76
2.51.572.34
3.52.371.52
4.54.261.19
5.58.251.04
6.517.01.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.066.30
1.751.174.11
21.213.65
2.251.402.74
2.751.692.09
31.881.83
3.252.121.64
3.752.701.36
43.421.23
4.253.741.19
4.755.051.10
56.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.891.37
-1.752.381.54
-1.52.081.72
-1.251.831.92
-11.582.25
-0.751.452.56
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.751.04
-3.256.401.05
-36.031.08
-2.754.321.16
-2.53.481.25
-2.253.211.31
-0.51.403.00
-0.251.253.65
01.115.33
+0.251.105.80
+0.51.126.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.056.22
6.51.183.81
7.51.402.60
8.51.751.99
9.52.231.58
10.52.971.31
11.54.291.15
12.56.821.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.046.11
61.055.82
6.251.124.51
6.751.213.56
71.243.36
7.251.332.87
7.751.482.42
81.542.33
8.251.662.08
8.751.871.83
92.011.76
9.252.121.63
9.752.441.47
102.691.40
10.252.871.33
10.753.421.23
114.001.16
11.254.201.14
11.755.151.08
126.371.03
12.256.601.03

Next K League 1 matches

24 OctIncheon United – Jeju United FC
24 OctFC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors
24 OctBucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC
24 OctGimcheon Sangmu FC – Daejeon Citizen
24 OctUlsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers
24 OctFC Seoul – Gangwon FC

All K League 1 fixtures and the table

Latest K League 1 results

18 OctFC Seoul 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 OctPohang Steelers 0-0 FC Anyang
18 OctGangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United
18 OctJeonbuk Motors 3-2 Jeju United FC
17 OctUlsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995
11 OctGwangju FC 4-3 Ulsan Hyundai FC