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Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC• K League 1, South-Korea

#121.4:2.24-3FT11/10 · Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju1.4:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.96PINX4.32PIN21.68DAFMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets82Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 02:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.964.321.663.6%
Dafabet4.704.301.684.1%
1xBet4.744.201.617.0%
Betfair4.504.001.677.1%
BetVictor4.754.101.627.2%
Betano4.754.051.627.5%
Marathonbet4.804.201.597.5%
William Hill4.604.001.628.5%
Bet3654.334.001.629.8%
SBO4.203.661.5814.4%
Best of all books4.964.321.682.8%
Average4.634.081.637.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
Last 10#12Table position#20.56Points per game1.565Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5027Defence rating7323Form rating7750H2H rating5027Goals model7336Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Gwangju FC

2W 4D 4L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

18 OctADaejeon Citizen2-3L
11 OctHUlsan Hyundai FC4-3W
20 SepAJeonbuk Motors2-2D
13 SepHFC Anyang1-1D
9 SepHJeju United FC0-1L
6 SepAGimcheon Sangmu FC2-2D
30 AugHFC Seoul2-5L
26 AugAGangwon FC2-2D
23 AugHIncheon United0-1L
19 AugAUlsan Citizen1-0W

Ulsan Hyundai FC

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHBucheon FC 19952-1W
11 OctAGwangju FC3-4L
19 SepAFC Anyang1-2L
12 SepHIncheon United2-1W
8 SepHFC Seoul1-0W
5 SepAJeju United FC0-0D
29 AugHGimcheon Sangmu FC3-1W
26 AugADaejeon Citizen1-2L
22 AugAJeonbuk Motors0-1L
16 AugHGangwon FC2-3L

Head to head

6Gwangju FC wins
6draws
13Ulsan Hyundai FC wins

25 meetings · goals 20:35 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Gwangju FC

5 Jul 2026K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC1-1Ulsan Hyundai FC
19 Apr 2026K League 1K League 1Ulsan Hyundai FC5-1Gwangju FC
22 Nov 2025K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC2-0Ulsan Hyundai FC
18 Oct 2025K League 1K League 1Ulsan Hyundai FC2-0Gwangju FC
2 Jul 2025FA CupFA CupGwangju FC1-0Ulsan Hyundai FC
28 May 2025K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC1-1Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 May 2025K League 1K League 1Ulsan Hyundai FC3-0Gwangju FC
28 Aug 2024FA CupFA CupUlsan Hyundai FC2-2Gwangju FC
25 Aug 2024K League 1K League 1Gwangju FC0-1Ulsan Hyundai FC
21 Aug 2024FA CupFA CupGwangju FC0-1Ulsan Hyundai FC

K League 1 tableK-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the K League 1 table, Gwangju FC sit 12th with 18 points from 32 games, while Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd with 50 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Seoul32206660:28+3266
2Ulsan Hyundai FC321551250:45+550
3Jeonbuk Motors321211942:32+1047
4Gangwon FC321114739:29+1047
5Daejeon Citizen3212101051:40+1146
6Jeju United FC3212101038:34+446
7Incheon United3211101140:34+643
8FC Anyang3210121039:47-842
9Pohang Steelers321181328:37-941
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC32519832:39-734
11Bucheon FC 1995327111432:44-1232
12Gwangju FC322121827:69-4218

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.78X23%4.12258%1.60

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 04:001 4.63X 4.082 1.63
14.36 → 4.63 +6.2%X3.98 → 4.08 +2.5%21.66 → 1.63 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.602.433.7%
Betano1.602.325.6%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.562.337.0%
Marathonbet1.562.337.0%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.572.218.9%
Best of all books1.602.433.7%
Average1.582.326.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Betano1.622.187.6%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.592.218.1%
Marathonbet1.592.188.8%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.602.207.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gwangju FC 10%Draw 45%Ulsan Hyundai FC 45%

The statistical model rated Gwangju FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulsan Hyundai FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.78 | 4.12 | 1.60, which imply roughly 24.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K League 1 table: Gwangju FC are 12th (18 pts, 27-69 goals), Ulsan Hyundai FC 2nd (50 pts, 50-45).

Over their last five matches, Gwangju FC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Ulsan Hyundai FC averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ulsan Hyundai FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Gwangju FC

4-4-2

Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee

Goalkeeper

  • 23Kim Dong-Hwa

Defence

  • 22Kwon Sung-Yun
  • 39Min Sang-Gi
  • 4T. van Grunsven
  • 3Lee Min-Gi

Midfield

  • 40Shin Chang-Moo
  • 10Choi Kyoung-Rok
  • 14Yu Je-Ho
  • 9Ha Seung-Un

Attack

  • 50A. Ba Loua
  • 18J. Iredale
Substitutes (9)
  • 6Ahn Young-Kyu
  • 11H. Friðjónsson
  • 8Ju Se-Jong
  • 70Kim Woo-jin
  • 1Kim Kyeong-Min
  • 37Lee Yong-Jick
  • 88Moon Min-seo
  • 33Park Won-Jae
  • 17João Pedro

Ulsan Hyundai FC

4-2-3-1

Coach: Kim Hyun-Seok

Goalkeeper

  • 21Jo Hyeon-Woo

Defence

  • 96Choi Seok-Hyun
  • 15Jung Seung-Hyun
  • 19Kim Young-Gwon
  • 26Cho Hyun-Taek

Midfield

  • 6D. Bojanić
  • 55T. Oude Kotte
  • 33Jang Si-Young
  • 10Lee Dong-Gyeong
  • 11Erick Farias

Attack

  • 99Yago Cariello
Substitutes (9)
  • 72Back In-Woo
  • 1Choi Ju-ho
  • 17Kang Sang-Woo
  • 14Lee Jin-Hyun
  • 24Lee Gyu-Sung
  • 28Lee Jae-Ik
  • 8Lee Hui-Gyun
  • 66M. Trojak
  • 2Yoon Jong-Gyu

Match Statistics

Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
4Shots off Goal2
2Corner Kicks1
0Free Kicks0
7Shots on Goal10
41%Ball Possession59%
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
0Blocked Shots0
11Total Shots12

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.634.081.63

Double chance

1XX212
2.191.171.20

Draw no bet

12
3.541.26

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.20

1st half

1X2
4.712.422.11

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6217.81.50

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.3
1.51.164.74
2.51.582.32
3.52.421.50
4.54.411.18
5.58.171.05
6.515.31.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.056.65
1.751.154.21
21.203.75
2.251.392.78
2.751.712.07
31.921.82
3.252.151.62
3.752.741.35
43.501.22
4.253.841.18
4.755.251.09
57.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.661.42
+0.52.261.62
+0.751.991.76
+11.732.06
+1.251.542.33
+1.51.442.64
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.071.02
-18.551.03
-0.755.921.09
-0.54.251.21
-0.254.091.20
03.621.25
+1.751.323.16
+21.194.08
+2.251.164.46
+2.51.135.03
+2.751.086.30
+3.51.029.53

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.046.69
6.51.184.00
7.51.412.67
8.51.742.00
9.52.211.59
10.52.921.34
11.54.051.16
12.56.101.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.77
61.036.47
6.251.094.93
6.751.173.87
71.203.66
7.251.283.08
7.751.422.57
81.552.34
8.251.592.20
8.751.781.92
91.981.78
9.252.011.71
9.752.301.53
102.511.46
10.252.671.39
10.753.151.27
113.641.20
11.253.821.18
11.754.651.11
125.671.06
12.255.881.05

Next K League 1 matches

24 OctIncheon United – Jeju United FC
24 OctFC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors
24 OctBucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC
24 OctGimcheon Sangmu FC – Daejeon Citizen
24 OctUlsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers
24 OctFC Seoul – Gangwon FC

All K League 1 fixtures and the table

Latest K League 1 results

18 OctFC Seoul 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 OctPohang Steelers 0-0 FC Anyang
18 OctGangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United
18 OctDaejeon Citizen 3-2 Gwangju FC
18 OctJeonbuk Motors 3-2 Jeju United FC
17 OctUlsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995