Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen• K League 1, South-Korea

#101.2:1.005:00Tomorrow · Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring2.2:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.81PINX3.72PIN22.06DAFMargin at best1.7%Books9Markets81Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Oct 16:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.65	3.60	2.06	3.7%
Pinnacle	3.81	3.72	1.94	4.7%
Betano	3.55	3.50	2.00	6.7%
1xBet	3.60	3.45	1.99	7.0%
Marathonbet	3.60	3.45	1.97	7.5%
BetVictor	3.60	3.50	1.95	7.6%
Betfair	3.50	3.70	1.91	8.0%
William Hill	3.40	3.30	2.00	9.7%
Bet365	3.60	3.40	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	3.81	3.72	2.06	1.7%
Average	3.59	3.51	1.97	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen

Last 10#10Table position#51.06Points per game1.446Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 52.21.0Goals against · last 51.635Attack rating6562Defence rating3835Form rating6538H2H rating6232Goals model6840Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

1W 6D 3L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	FC Seoul	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	FC Anyang	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Bucheon FC 1995	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Gangwon FC	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Pohang Steelers	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Gwangju FC	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Ulsan Hyundai FC	1-3	L
25 Aug	H	Jeonbuk Motors	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Jeju United FC	0-0	D
19 Aug	A	Gimpo Citizen	1-2	L

Daejeon Citizen

6W 3D 1L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

18 Oct	H	Gwangju FC	3-2	W
13 Oct	A	SHANGHAI SIPG	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Jeonbuk Motors	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Incheon United	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Kyoto Sanga	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Pohang Steelers	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	FC Anyang	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	Bucheon FC 1995	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	Jeju United FC	1-3	L
26 Aug	H	Ulsan Hyundai FC	2-1	W

Head to head

5Gimcheon Sangmu FC wins

5draws

5Daejeon Citizen wins

15 meetings · goals 19:22 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Gimcheon Sangmu FC

25 Jul 2026K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC3-2Daejeon Citizen
14 Mar 2026K League 1	K League 1	Daejeon Citizen1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
30 Nov 2025K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-3Daejeon Citizen
31 Aug 2025K League 1	K League 1	Daejeon Citizen2-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 Jun 2025K League 1	K League 1	Daejeon Citizen0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
19 Apr 2025K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-2Daejeon Citizen
25 Aug 2024K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-2Daejeon Citizen
25 Jun 2024K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC2-0Daejeon Citizen
30 Apr 2024K League 1	K League 1	Daejeon Citizen0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
29 Oct 2022K League 1	K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-4Daejeon Citizen

K League 1 tableK-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the K League 1 table, Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th with 34 points from 32 games, while Daejeon Citizen are 5th with 46 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	32	20	6	6	60:28	+32	66
2	Ulsan Hyundai FC	32	15	5	12	50:45	+5	50
3	Jeonbuk Motors	32	12	11	9	42:32	+10	47
4	Gangwon FC	32	11	14	7	39:29	+10	47
5	Daejeon Citizen	32	12	10	10	51:40	+11	46
6	Jeju United FC	32	12	10	10	38:34	+4	46
7	Incheon United	32	11	10	11	40:34	+6	43
8	FC Anyang	32	10	12	10	39:47	-8	42
9	Pohang Steelers	32	11	8	13	28:37	-9	41
10	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	32	5	19	8	32:39	-7	34
11	Bucheon FC 1995	32	7	11	14	32:44	-12	32
12	Gwangju FC	32	2	12	18	27:69	-42	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.59X27%3.50247%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.49 → 3.59 +2.9%X3.40 → 3.50 +2.9%22.01 → 1.97 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.04	4.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.83	1.95	5.9%
1xBet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
BetVictor	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.83	2.04	3.7%
Average	1.80	1.96	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.68	2.09	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 10%Draw 45%Daejeon Citizen 45%

The statistical model rates Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Daejeon Citizen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.59 | 3.50 | 1.97, which imply roughly 28.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K League 1 table: Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th (34 pts, 32-39 goals), Daejeon Citizen 5th (46 pts, 51-40).

Over their last five matches, Gimcheon Sangmu FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Daejeon Citizen averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Daejeon Citizen.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.59	3.51	1.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.78	1.28	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.57	1.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
4.01	2.21	2.56

2nd half

1	X	2
3.65	2.52	2.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.98	14.4	23.2
HT X	8.04	5.34	5.00
HT 2	33.2	13.9	3.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	10.5	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.1
1.5	1.24	3.72
2.5	1.80	1.96
3.5	2.94	1.36
4.5	5.53	1.12
5.5	10.6	1.03
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.13	4.71
1.75	1.29	3.10
2	1.37	2.73
2.25	1.58	2.25
2.75	2.00	1.75
3	2.34	1.54
3.25	2.62	1.43
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
5	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.08	1.34
0	2.67	1.44
+0.25	2.10	1.68
+0.5	1.84	1.94
+0.75	1.61	2.20
+1	1.40	2.76

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.75	8.98	1.01
-1.5	7.30	1.04
-1.25	6.77	1.05
-1	6.57	1.07
-0.75	4.34	1.17
-0.5	3.66	1.27
+1.25	1.32	3.11
+1.5	1.27	3.40
+1.75	1.17	4.30
+2	1.08	6.13
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.05	6.83
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.94
6.5	1.15	4.18
7.5	1.36	2.83
8.5	1.67	2.09
9.5	2.10	1.66
10.5	2.80	1.36
11.5	3.93	1.19
12.5	5.87	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	7.02
6	1.02	6.72
6.25	1.08	5.10
6.75	1.16	3.98
7	1.18	3.77
7.25	1.27	3.16
7.75	1.40	2.63
8	1.47	2.50
8.25	1.56	2.24
8.75	1.75	1.96
9	1.89	1.88
9.25	1.98	1.74
9.75	2.25	1.56
10	2.46	1.49
10.25	2.61	1.41
10.75	3.06	1.29
11	3.52	1.21
11.25	3.70	1.19
11.75	4.49	1.12
12	5.45	1.07
12.25	5.66	1.06

Next K League 1 matches

24 Oct	Incheon United – Jeju United FC
24 Oct	FC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors
24 Oct	Bucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC
24 Oct	Ulsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers
24 Oct	FC Seoul – Gangwon FC

All K League 1 fixtures and the table

Latest K League 1 results

18 Oct	FC Seoul 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 Oct	Pohang Steelers 0-0 FC Anyang
18 Oct	Gangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United
18 Oct	Daejeon Citizen 3-2 Gwangju FC
18 Oct	Jeonbuk Motors 3-2 Jeju United FC
17 Oct	Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995