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Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers• K League 1, South-Korea

#70.8:1.03-0FT09/10 · Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon0.8:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.53PINX3.20DAF23.11PINMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets72Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L51.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 04:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.413.133.343.4%
Dafabet2.403.153.303.7%
1xBet2.333.043.226.9%
Betano2.323.003.257.2%
Marathonbet2.313.043.207.4%
Bet3652.303.103.108.0%
BetVictor2.303.003.208.1%
William Hill2.302.903.258.7%
Betfair2.303.003.109.1%
SBO2.132.863.0215.0%
Best of all books2.413.153.343.2%
Average2.313.023.207.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
Last 10#7Table position#91.34Points per game1.286Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5050Defence rating5045Form rating5515H2H rating8555Goals model4540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

Incheon United

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

18 OctAGangwon FC1-1D
9 OctHPohang Steelers3-0W
27 SepAGangwon FC0-0D
20 SepHDaejeon Citizen1-1D
12 SepAUlsan Hyundai FC1-2L
8 SepHBucheon FC 19952-1W
5 SepAFC Seoul0-1L
30 AugHJeonbuk Motors1-1D
26 AugAFC Anyang1-2L
23 AugAGwangju FC1-0W

Pohang Steelers

2W 4D 4L · goals 7:14 · per match 0.7 for, 1.4 against

18 OctHFC Anyang0-0D
13 OctHJohor Darul Takzim FC0-2L
9 OctAIncheon United0-3L
20 SepHFC Seoul2-1W
15 SepABeijing Guoan1-3L
12 SepADaejeon Citizen2-2D
9 SepHGimcheon Sangmu FC0-0D
5 SepAJeonbuk Motors0-2L
30 AugAGangwon FC0-0D
25 AugAJeju United FC2-1W

Head to head

5Incheon United wins
9draws
16Pohang Steelers wins

30 meetings · goals 23:45 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Incheon United

12 May 2026K League 1K League 1Incheon United0-1Pohang Steelers
15 Mar 2026K League 1K League 1Pohang Steelers1-1Incheon United
27 Sep 2024K League 1K League 1Pohang Steelers1-0Incheon United
23 Jun 2024K League 1K League 1Incheon United1-3Pohang Steelers
28 Apr 2024K League 1K League 1Pohang Steelers0-0Incheon United
20 Oct 2023K League 1K League 1Pohang Steelers1-1Incheon United
2 Sep 2023K League 1K League 1Incheon United0-2Pohang Steelers
25 Jun 2023K League 1K League 1Incheon United0-1Pohang Steelers
30 Apr 2023K League 1K League 1Pohang Steelers0-2Incheon United
16 Oct 2022K League 1K League 1Incheon United1-1Pohang Steelers

K League 1 tableK-Leagueupdated 23 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the K League 1 table, Incheon United sit 7th with 43 points from 32 games, while Pohang Steelers are 9th with 41 points from 32.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Seoul32206660:28+3266
2Ulsan Hyundai FC321551250:45+550
3Jeonbuk Motors321211942:32+1047
4Gangwon FC321114739:29+1047
5Daejeon Citizen3212101051:40+1146
6Jeju United FC3212101038:34+446
7Incheon United3211101140:34+643
8FC Anyang3210121039:47-842
9Pohang Steelers321181328:37-941
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC32519832:39-734
11Bucheon FC 1995327111432:44-1232
12Gwangju FC322121827:69-4218

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.40X30%3.07231%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 07:301 2.40X 3.072 3.00
12.23 → 2.40 +7.6%X3.10 → 3.07 -1.0%23.23 → 3.00 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.531.563.6%
Betano2.451.536.2%
Betfair2.451.536.2%
Bet3652.401.537.0%
1xBet2.421.527.1%
Marathonbet2.421.527.1%
BetVictor2.311.529.1%
Best of all books2.531.563.6%
Average2.431.536.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.011.727.9%
Betano2.021.708.3%
Marathonbet2.011.708.6%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.101.803.2%
Average2.031.717.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Incheon United 10%Draw 45%Pohang Steelers 45%

The statistical model rated Incheon United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pohang Steelers at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.07 | 3.00, which imply roughly 32.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K League 1 table: Incheon United are 7th (43 pts, 40-34 goals), Pohang Steelers 9th (41 pts, 28-37).

Over their last five matches, Incheon United averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pohang Steelers averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pohang Steelers and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Incheon United

Coach: Jong-hwan Yoon

Goalkeeper

  • 1Kim Dong-Heon

Defence

  • 2Juan Fernández
  • 4Kim Geon-Hui
  • 17Kim Seong-Min
  • 32Lee Ju-Yong

Midfield

  • 39Kim Myung-Sun
  • 26Min-hyuk Lee
  • 5Lee Myung-Joo

Attack

  • 9S. Mugoša
  • 70Leandro Ribeiro
  • 72Lee Chung-Yong
Substitutes (9)
  • 13Choi Seung-Gu
  • 99M. Ferrier
  • 11Gerso
  • 10Lee Dong-Ryul
  • 3Lee Sang-Gi
  • 21Lee Tae-Hui
  • 20Park Kyung-Sub
  • 77Park Seung-Ho
  • 15Seo Jae-Min

Pohang Steelers

Coach: Tae-ha Park

Goalkeeper

  • 21Hwang In-Jae

Defence

  • 2Eo Jeong-Won
  • 4Jeon Min-Gwang
  • 20Park Chan-Yong

Midfield

  • 11Juninho Rocha
  • 16Kim Dong-Jin
  • 40Ki Sung-Yueng
  • 31K. Nishiya
  • 17Shin Kwang-Hoon

Attack

  • 77Wanderson
  • 25Jorge Luiz
Substitutes (9)
  • 10J. Tranziska
  • 14Lee Chang-Woo
  • 3Ye-Sung Kim
  • 8Kim Seung-Ho
  • 13Kang Min-Jun
  • 37Jung Han-Min
  • 5Jin Si-woo
  • 29Hong Seong-Min
  • 9An Jae-Jun

Match Statistics

Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
0Yellow Cards2
0Free Kicks0
6Shots on Goal2
2Corner Kicks11
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%
3Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
9Total Shots7

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.313.023.20

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.581.35

Draw no bet

12
1.612.23

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.031.71

1st half

1X2
3.031.933.96

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.867.052.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.087.15
1.51.452.59
2.52.431.53
3.54.791.16
4.59.881.04
5.518.81.01
6.550.5–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.066.30
11.085.55
1.251.253.28
1.751.582.26
21.811.94
2.252.121.68
2.752.831.35
33.781.20
3.254.201.16
3.755.951.07
49.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.771.40
-0.52.321.59
-0.251.971.80
01.632.22
+0.251.442.66
+0.51.373.16
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.31.02
-29.001.02
-1.756.561.07
-1.54.931.13
-1.254.441.17
-13.911.22
+0.751.214.06
+11.076.27
+1.251.067.00
+1.51.047.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.027.30
5.51.154.36
6.51.362.84
7.51.702.05
8.52.181.62
9.52.881.36
10.54.161.15
11.56.551.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
4.751.026.96
51.017.27
5.251.085.10
5.751.144.23
61.163.98
6.251.253.28
6.751.382.68
71.462.53
7.251.562.25
7.751.761.95
81.941.83
8.252.001.72
8.752.301.53
92.541.46
9.252.711.38
9.753.221.26
103.781.18
10.253.971.16
10.754.891.09
116.081.04
11.256.321.03

Next K League 1 matches

24 OctIncheon United – Jeju United FC
24 OctFC Anyang – Jeonbuk Motors
24 OctBucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC
24 OctGimcheon Sangmu FC – Daejeon Citizen
24 OctUlsan Hyundai FC – Pohang Steelers
24 OctFC Seoul – Gangwon FC

All K League 1 fixtures and the table

Latest K League 1 results

18 OctFC Seoul 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
18 OctPohang Steelers 0-0 FC Anyang
18 OctGangwon FC 1-1 Incheon United
18 OctDaejeon Citizen 3-2 Gwangju FC
18 OctJeonbuk Motors 3-2 Jeju United FC
17 OctUlsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995