FBK Karlstad vs Karlberg• Ettan - Norra, Sweden

#61.0:0.83-1FT17/101.4:2.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70B365X4.11PIN24.80BVCMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets73Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.57	4.10	4.80	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.58	4.11	4.59	9.4%
1xBet	1.56	4.00	4.64	10.7%
Bet365	1.70	3.90	3.75	11.1%
William Hill	1.60	3.75	4.40	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.54	4.00	4.55	11.9%
Best of all books	1.70	4.11	4.80	4.0%
Average	1.59	3.98	4.46	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FBK KarlstadKarlberg

Last 10#6Table position#101.70Points per game1.228Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 52.642Attack rating5876Defence rating2455Form rating4550H2H rating5054Goals model4653Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:01 UTC

FBK Karlstad

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	H	Karlberg	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Assyriska FF	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	AFC Eskilstuna	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Umeå FC	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Sollentuna	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	IF Karlstad	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Vasalund	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Järfälla	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Piteå	4-3	W
23 Aug	A	Arlanda	1-5	L

Karlberg

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	H	Vasalund	3-3	D
2 Oct	H	Sollentuna	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	IF Karlstad	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Stockholm Internazionale	0-2	L
17 Sep	A	Järfälla	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Arlanda	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Piteå	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Hammarby Talang	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	AFC Eskilstuna	0-3	L
18 Aug	H	IK brage	2-0	W

Head to head

1FBK Karlstad wins

1draws

1Karlberg wins

3 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for FBK Karlstad

31 May 2026Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	Karlberg1-1FBK Karlstad
21 Sep 2024Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	Karlberg1-2FBK Karlstad
27 Apr 2024Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	FBK Karlstad0-3Karlberg

Ettan - Norra tableNorthupdated 22 Oct 02:00 UTC

In the Ettan - Norra table, FBK Karlstad sit 6th with 46 points from 27 games, while Karlberg are 10th with 33 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	64:22	+42	61
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	15	5	7	52:37	+15	50
3	Hammarby Talang	27	14	6	7	53:27	+26	48
4	Arlanda	27	14	6	7	47:34	+13	48
5	Enköping	27	15	3	9	42:41	+1	48
6	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	44:37	+7	46
7	IF Karlstad	27	12	8	7	41:27	+14	44
8	Umeå FC	27	11	5	11	39:43	-4	38
9	Assyriska FF	27	10	5	12	45:48	-3	35
10	Karlberg	27	9	6	12	37:47	-10	33
11	Gefle IF	27	9	5	13	33:47	-14	32
12	Sollentuna	27	6	10	11	28:37	-9	28
13	Vasalund	27	7	7	13	39:59	-20	28
14	Piteå	27	5	9	13	34:50	-16	24
15	Järfälla	27	6	4	17	37:58	-21	22
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46:67	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.59X23%3.98220%4.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 1.59 -19.7%X3.59 → 3.98 +10.9%23.09 → 4.46 +44.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.35	7.5%
1xBet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Average	1.53	2.33	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
William Hill	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.59	2.20	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FBK Karlstad 35%Draw 35%Karlberg 30%

The statistical model rated FBK Karlstad at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Karlberg at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.98 | 4.46, which imply roughly 62.9% for a FBK Karlstad win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Ettan - Norra table: FBK Karlstad are 6th (46 pts, 44-37 goals), Karlberg 10th (33 pts, 37-47).

Over their last five matches, FBK Karlstad averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Karlberg averaged 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FBK Karlstad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.59	3.98	4.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.19	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.40	4.62

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.76	4.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.36	15.0	35.3
HT X	4.67	6.63	10.5
HT 2	20.1	15.3	7.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	17.0	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.7
1.5	1.14	4.50
2.5	1.53	2.33
3.5	2.35	1.52
4.5	4.02	1.19
5.5	6.97	1.05
6.5	10.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.20	3.70
2.25	1.36	2.77
2.75	1.65	2.06
3	1.85	1.83
3.25	2.08	1.65
3.75	2.67	1.39
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.40	1.05
5.25	6.65	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.44	1.47
-1.25	2.21	1.59
-1	2.01	1.73
-0.75	1.69	2.02
-0.5	1.57	2.28
-0.25	1.39	2.71

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.40	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.62	1.10
-2.5	4.43	1.16
-2.25	4.07	1.18
-2	3.74	1.21
-1.75	2.89	1.35
0	1.24	3.54
+0.25	1.19	4.03
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.09	5.85
+1	1.05	7.63
+1.25	1.07	6.86
+1.5	1.10	8.40
+1.75	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.85	1.90
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03

Next Ettan - Norra matches

23 Oct	Järfälla – Hammarby Talang
24 Oct	Gefle IF – FBK Karlstad
24 Oct	IF Karlstad – Stockholm Internazionale
24 Oct	Sollentuna – Vasalund
25 Oct	AFC Eskilstuna – Stocksund
25 Oct	Assyriska FF – Arlanda

All Ettan - Norra fixtures and the table

Latest Ettan - Norra results

18 Oct	Hammarby Talang 2-1 IF Karlstad
18 Oct	Piteå 1-1 Sollentuna
18 Oct	Vasalund 0-4 AFC Eskilstuna
17 Oct	Stockholm Internazionale 1-1 Gefle IF
17 Oct	Arlanda 1-3 Järfälla
16 Oct	Stocksund 1-3 Enköping