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Arlanda vs Järfälla• Ettan - Norra, Sweden

#42.4:1.21-3FT17/10 · Midgardsvallen2.0:2.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55B365X4.77PIN24.881XBMargin at best6.0%Books6Markets73Rating70 · 31Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.524.774.479.1%
BetVictor1.534.334.809.3%
1xBet1.484.454.8810.5%
Bet3651.554.334.2011.4%
Marathonbet1.474.454.7011.8%
William Hill1.504.204.5012.7%
Best of all books1.554.774.886.0%
Average1.514.424.5910.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArlandaJärfälla
Last 10#4Table position#151.78Points per game0.819Form pts · last 542.4Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 52.055Attack rating4563Defence rating3875Form rating25100H2H rating076Goals model2470Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:01 UTC

Arlanda

6W 0D 4L · goals 22:15 · per match 2.2 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHJärfälla1-3L
10 OctAIF Karlstad0-3L
4 OctAVasalund4-1W
27 SepHEnköping2-0W
21 SepHHammarby Talang4-2W
16 SepAGefle IF2-0W
12 SepAKarlberg0-1L
6 SepHUmeå FC1-2L
29 AugAStocksund3-2W
23 AugHFBK Karlstad5-1W

Järfälla

2W 1D 7L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

17 OctAArlanda3-1W
11 OctHUmeå FC1-2L
3 OctAStocksund1-1D
26 SepHAFC Eskilstuna2-4L
20 SepAPiteå1-3L
17 SepHKarlberg5-0W
12 SepAGefle IF1-3L
5 SepHFBK Karlstad0-3L
29 AugHAssyriska FF0-2L
21 AugAStockholm Internazionale0-2L

Head to head

5Arlanda wins
0draws
3Järfälla wins

8 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 8: 5W 0D 3L for Arlanda

23 Jun 2026Svenska CupenSvenska CupenJärfälla0-2Arlanda
13 Jun 2026Ettan - NorraEttan - NorraJärfälla2-3Arlanda
15 Sep 2024Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandJärfälla0-1Arlanda
18 May 2024Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandArlanda3-0Järfälla
7 Oct 2023Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandArlanda2-1Järfälla
25 Jun 2023Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandJärfälla3-0Arlanda
7 Jul 2021Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandJärfälla5-1Arlanda
9 Jun 2021Division 2 - Norra SvealandDivision 2 - Norra SvealandArlanda0-3Järfälla

Ettan - Norra tableNorthupdated 22 Oct 02:00 UTC

In the Ettan - Norra table, Arlanda sit 4th with 48 points from 27 games, while Järfälla are 15th with 22 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Stockholm Internazionale27194464:22+4261
2AFC Eskilstuna27155752:37+1550
3Hammarby Talang27146753:27+2648
4Arlanda27146747:34+1348
5Enköping27153942:41+148
6FBK Karlstad27137744:37+746
7IF Karlstad27128741:27+1444
8Umeå FC271151139:43-438
9Assyriska FF271051245:48-335
10Karlberg27961237:47-1033
11Gefle IF27951333:47-1432
12Sollentuna276101128:37-928
13Vasalund27771339:59-2028
14Piteå27591334:50-1624
15Järfälla27641737:58-2122
16Stocksund27361846:67-2115

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.51X20%4.42220%4.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 03:1017 Oct 12:201 1.51X 4.422 4.59
11.45 → 1.51 +4.1%X4.50 → 4.42 -1.8%25.13 → 4.59 -10.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.402.787.4%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.372.6610.6%
Marathonbet1.372.6610.6%
Best of all books1.502.782.6%
Average1.412.678.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.502.408.3%
1xBet1.482.458.4%
BetVictor1.472.458.8%
Marathonbet1.482.409.2%
Best of all books1.622.452.5%
Average1.512.388.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arlanda 45%Draw 45%Järfälla 10%

The statistical model rated Arlanda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Järfälla at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.42 | 4.59, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Arlanda win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ettan - Norra table: Arlanda are 4th (48 pts, 47-34 goals), Järfälla 15th (22 pts, 37-58).

Over their last five matches, Arlanda averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Järfälla averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Arlanda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.514.424.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.301.14

Draw no bet

12
1.233.78

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.512.38

1st half

1X2
1.982.534.74

2nd half

1X2
1.842.894.47

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1416.136.7
HT X4.627.9311.7
HT 219.016.77.90

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4622.02.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.0
1.51.095.53
2.51.412.67
3.52.081.67
4.53.511.25
5.56.331.07
6.59.501.04
7.514.01.01
8.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.5
1.751.095.30
21.124.80
2.251.283.19
2.751.502.35
31.612.13
3.251.841.85
3.752.301.52
42.761.36
4.253.051.28
4.754.101.16
55.501.08
5.255.901.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.721.39
-1.52.331.52
-1.252.091.65
-11.851.86
-0.751.632.12
-0.51.532.42
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.501.01
-3.256.401.12
-37.131.06
-2.755.371.11
-2.54.221.17
-2.253.861.20
-23.501.24
-0.251.362.85
01.213.77
+0.251.184.17
+0.51.204.40
+0.751.096.14
+11.047.50
+1.51.038.30

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.134.33
7.51.342.85
8.51.642.11
9.52.081.67
10.52.691.38
11.53.761.18
12.55.651.06
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.026.98
71.173.89
81.432.54
91.841.92
102.411.48
113.421.23
125.241.08

Next Ettan - Norra matches

23 OctJärfälla – Hammarby Talang
24 OctGefle IF – FBK Karlstad
24 OctIF Karlstad – Stockholm Internazionale
24 OctSollentuna – Vasalund
25 OctAFC Eskilstuna – Stocksund
25 OctAssyriska FF – Arlanda

All Ettan - Norra fixtures and the table

Latest Ettan - Norra results

18 OctHammarby Talang 2-1 IF Karlstad
18 OctPiteå 1-1 Sollentuna
18 OctVasalund 0-4 AFC Eskilstuna
17 OctFBK Karlstad 3-1 Karlberg
17 OctStockholm Internazionale 1-1 Gefle IF
16 OctStocksund 1-3 Enköping