IF Karlstad vs Karlberg• Ettan - Norra, Sweden

#61.2:1.61-1FT27/09 · Sola Arena, Karlstad0.2:2.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX4.06PIN25.25BVCMargin at best6.2%Books5Markets56Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.62	4.05	4.40	9.1%
1xBet	1.58	3.88	4.64	10.6%
Bet365	1.60	3.90	4.33	11.2%
Betfair	1.55	4.00	4.60	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.56	3.88	4.55	11.9%
Best of all books	1.62	4.05	4.64	8.0%
Average	1.58	3.94	4.50	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IF KarlstadKarlberg

Last 10#6Table position#101.69Points per game1.277Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.21.6Goals against · last 52.086Attack rating1456Defence rating4443Form rating5793H2H rating769Goals model3169Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

IF Karlstad

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	Arlanda	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Piteå	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Karlberg	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Enköping	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	FBK Karlstad	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Stocksund	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	AFC Eskilstuna	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gefle IF	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Sollentuna	1-2	L
18 Aug	H	Sandviken	0-2	L

Karlberg

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	H	Vasalund	3-3	D
2 Oct	H	Sollentuna	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	IF Karlstad	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Stockholm Internazionale	0-2	L
17 Sep	A	Järfälla	0-5	L
12 Sep	H	Arlanda	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Piteå	0-3	L
31 Aug	A	Hammarby Talang	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	AFC Eskilstuna	0-3	L
18 Aug	H	IK brage	2-0	W

Head to head

4IF Karlstad wins

1draws

0Karlberg wins

5 meetings · goals 10:5 · last 5: 4W 1D 0L for IF Karlstad

9 May 2026Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	Karlberg0-0IF Karlstad
13 Sep 2025Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	IF Karlstad1-0Karlberg
4 May 2025Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	Karlberg2-3IF Karlstad
9 Nov 2024Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	Karlberg2-4IF Karlstad
8 May 2024Ettan - Norra	Ettan - Norra	IF Karlstad2-1Karlberg

Ettan - Norra tableNorthupdated 17 Oct 15:51 UTC

In the Ettan - Norra table, IF Karlstad sit 6th with 44 points from 26 games, while Karlberg are 10th with 33 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stockholm Internazionale	26	19	3	4	63:21	+42	60
2	Arlanda	26	14	6	6	46:31	+15	48
3	Enköping	27	15	3	9	42:41	+1	48
4	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	48:37	+11	47
5	Hammarby Talang	26	13	6	7	51:26	+25	45
6	IF Karlstad	26	12	8	6	40:25	+15	44
7	FBK Karlstad	26	12	7	7	41:36	+5	43
8	Assyriska FF	26	10	5	11	44:45	-1	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	36:42	-6	35
10	Karlberg	26	9	6	11	36:44	-8	33
11	Gefle IF	26	9	4	13	32:46	-14	31
12	Vasalund	26	7	7	12	39:55	-16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	6	9	11	27:36	-9	27
14	Piteå	26	5	8	13	33:49	-16	23
15	Järfälla	26	5	4	17	34:57	-23	19
16	Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46:67	-21	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X23%3.85219%4.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.55 -1.9%X3.94 → 3.83 -2.8%24.50 → 4.83 +7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Betano	1.55	2.15	11.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.20	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Betano	1.60	2.07	10.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.16	6.2%
Average	1.62	2.11	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

IF Karlstad 45%Draw 45%Karlberg 10%

The statistical model rated IF Karlstad at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Karlberg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.85 | 4.79, which imply roughly 64.5% for a IF Karlstad win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ettan - Norra table: IF Karlstad are 6th (44 pts, 40-25 goals), Karlberg 10th (33 pts, 36-44).

Over their last five matches, IF Karlstad averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Karlberg averaged 0.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : IF Karlstad or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.94	4.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.28	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.36	4.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	15.3	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.4
1.5	1.16	4.24
2.5	1.58	2.20
3.5	2.40	1.47
4.5	4.05	1.18
5.5	6.98	1.05
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.55
1.25	1.07	5.86
1.75	1.18	3.88
2	1.23	3.42
2.25	1.40	2.61
2.75	1.68	1.96
3	1.90	1.75
3.25	2.15	1.58
3.75	2.74	1.35
4	3.48	1.22
4.25	3.80	1.19
4.75	5.05	1.10
5	6.80	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.49	1.45
-1.25	2.17	1.62
-1	1.94	1.78
-0.75	1.74	1.95
-0.5	1.62	2.25
-0.25	1.41	2.62

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.70	1.01
-3.25	6.23	1.08
-3	7.40	1.05
-2.75	5.84	1.09
-2.5	4.62	1.15
-2.25	4.25	1.17
-2	3.90	1.20
-1.75	2.98	1.33
0	1.24	3.50
+0.25	1.20	3.97
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.09	5.76
+1	1.01	8.50