Sarasota Paradise11th21 pts
Naples15th17 pts
Sarasota Paradise11th21 pts
Naples15th17 ptsIn the USL League One table, Sarasota Paradise sit 11th with 21 points from 19 games, while Naples are 15th with 17 points from 18 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sarasota Paradise at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Naples at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.28 | 3.17, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Sarasota Paradise win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the USL League One table: Sarasota Paradise are 11th (21 pts, 19-29 goals), Naples 15th (17 pts, 19-30).
Over their last five matches, Sarasota Paradise averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Naples averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Sarasota Paradise or draw.
Sarasota Paradise vs Naples — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 35 |
| 2 |  Charlotte Independence | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 |
| 3 |  One Knoxville | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 |  Boise | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
| 7 |  Alta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Corpus Christi | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 12 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 13 |  Westchester SC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 14 |  Greenville Triumph | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 15 |  Naples | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 |
| 17 |  NY Cosmos | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.05
X
3.28
2
3.17
Double chance
1X
1.28
X2
1.65
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.68
No
1.95
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.15
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.82
Over 3.5
3.00
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 1.75
1.32
Under 1.75
2.96
Over 2
1.40
Under 2
2.48
Over 2.25
1.62
Under 2.25
2.03
Over 2.75
2.05
Under 2.75
1.59
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
7.71
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.78
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.20
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.55
Over 3
2.42
Under 3
1.42
Over 4.5
5.36
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 3.25
2.85
Under 3.25
1.34
Over 3.75
3.88
Under 3.75
1.18
Over 4
5.30
Under 4
1.09
Over 4.25
5.70
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.50
2
2.28
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.63
X
2.10
2
3.75
First team to score
Home
1.74
Away
2.27