Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise• USL League One, USA

#81.4:0.823:30Today · Ruoff Mortgage Stadium3.2:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX3.77PIN23.98PINMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets50Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	3.77	3.98	9.1%
1xBet	1.72	3.64	3.95	10.9%
Bet365	1.73	3.70	3.75	11.5%
William Hill	1.80	3.40	3.70	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.64	3.85	12.3%
BetVictor	1.65	3.25	3.50	19.9%
Best of all books	1.80	3.77	3.98	7.2%
Average	1.72	3.57	3.79	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fort WayneSarasota Paradise

Last 10#8Table position#111.50Points per game1.249Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 53.20.8Goals against · last 51.430Attack rating7064Defence rating3647Form rating5350H2H rating5062Goals model3851Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Fort Wayne

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	A	Union Omaha	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Corpus Christi	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Forward Madison	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Charlotte Independence	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Naples	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	One Knoxville	2-3	L
12 Sep	A	Greenville Triumph	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	NY Cosmos	2-4	L
2 Sep	H	Richmond Kickers	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Portland Hearts of Pine	4-1	W

Sarasota Paradise

5W 3D 2L · goals 24:15 · per match 2.4 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	H	Richmond Kickers	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Charlotte Independence	2-3	L
26 Sep	A	Portland Hearts of Pine	4-1	W
19 Sep	H	Greenville Triumph	6-0	W
12 Sep	A	Forward Madison	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Spokane Velocity	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	NY Cosmos	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Union Omaha	1-1	D
19 Aug	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	3-2	W
15 Aug	A	Charlotte Independence	1-3	L

Head to head

0Fort Wayne wins

1draws

0Sarasota Paradise wins

1 meeting · goals 2:2 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Fort Wayne

14 Mar 2026USL League One

USL League One

Sarasota Paradise2-2Fort Wayne

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the USL League One table, Fort Wayne sit 8th with 45 points from 30 games, while Sarasota Paradise are 11th with 36 points from 29.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	30	19	6	5	70:42	+28	63
2	Union Omaha	30	19	4	7	53:32	+21	61
3	Forward Madison	30	15	7	8	52:30	+22	52
4	Boise	30	15	7	8	47:40	+7	52
5	One Knoxville	31	14	9	8	49:36	+13	51
6	Spokane Velocity	29	15	5	9	46:40	+6	50
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	30	12	9	9	46:37	+9	45
9	Naples	30	12	4	14	35:44	-9	40
10	Westchester SC	30	10	6	14	51:48	+3	36
11	Sarasota Paradise	29	10	6	13	42:45	-3	36
12	Corpus Christi	30	9	9	12	33:44	-11	36
13	Alta	30	8	9	13	37:44	-7	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	30	7	10	13	44:55	-11	31
15	Greenville Triumph	30	7	6	17	36:57	-21	27
16	NY Cosmos	29	7	4	18	36:59	-23	25
17	Richmond Kickers	30	6	5	19	32:63	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.72X25%3.57223%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.96 → 1.72 -12.2%X3.48 → 3.57 +2.6%23.21 → 3.79 +18.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.28	7.6%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
BetVictor	1.49	1.89	20.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.28	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.14	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Average	1.52	2.17	11.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fort Wayne 45%Draw 45%Sarasota Paradise 10%

The statistical model rates Fort Wayne at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sarasota Paradise at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.57 | 3.79, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Fort Wayne win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Fort Wayne are 8th (45 pts, 46-37 goals), Sarasota Paradise 11th (36 pts, 42-45).

Over their last five matches, Fort Wayne averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Sarasota Paradise averaged 3.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fort Wayne or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.57	3.79

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.88	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	2.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.28	4.09

2nd half

1	X	2
2.09	2.63	3.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.62	15.3	33.0
HT X	4.77	6.13	8.97
HT 2	21.7	15.7	6.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	14.3	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.9
1.5	1.14	3.93
2.5	1.57	2.14
3.5	2.35	1.44
4.5	3.93	1.14
5.5	6.80	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.25	1.06	6.00
1.75	1.18	3.90
2	1.23	3.49
2.25	1.39	2.52
2.75	1.68	1.93
3	1.89	1.71
3.25	2.11	1.56
3.75	2.83	1.35
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.92	1.18
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.87	1.34
-1.25	2.49	1.40
-1	2.21	1.52
-0.75	1.90	1.74
-0.5	1.65	1.92
-0.25	1.49	2.25

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.10	1.04
-2.5	5.50	1.08
-2.25	5.15	1.10
-2	4.80	1.12
-1.75	3.50	1.22
0	1.30	2.84
+0.25	1.27	3.29
+0.5	1.34	3.04
+0.75	1.11	4.90
+1	1.03	7.50
+1.25	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.01	8.40