Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence• USL League One, USA

#151.4:3.023:00Today · Paladin Stadium2.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.46PINX3.70B36522.42PINMargin at best9.0%Books6Markets47Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.46	3.68	2.42	9.1%
Bet365	2.40	3.70	2.35	11.2%
1xBet	2.40	3.54	2.36	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.40	3.54	2.36	12.3%
William Hill	2.40	3.30	2.40	13.6%
BetVictor	2.25	3.30	2.20	20.2%
Best of all books	2.46	3.70	2.42	9.0%
Average	2.39	3.51	2.35	13.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Greenville TriumphCharlotte Independence

Last 10#15Table position#10.90Points per game2.104Form pts · last 5111.4Goals for · last 52.03.0Goals against · last 51.041Attack rating5925Defence rating7527Form rating7340H2H rating6039Goals model6136Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Greenville Triumph

2W 1D 7L · goals 14:24 · per match 1.4 for, 2.4 against

14 Oct	H	Spokane Velocity	4-3	W
11 Oct	A	Alta	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Boise	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Union Omaha	1-3	L
19 Sep	A	Sarasota Paradise	0-6	L
16 Sep	H	Corpus Christi	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Naples	4-0	W
23 Aug	A	Spokane Velocity	1-2	L

Charlotte Independence

6W 3D 1L · goals 24:14 · per match 2.4 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Boise	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Westchester SC	5-4	W
6 Sep	A	Union Omaha	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	3-2	W
28 Aug	H	Alta	5-0	W
23 Aug	A	Forward Madison	1-1	D

Head to head

8Greenville Triumph wins

0draws

10Charlotte Independence wins

18 meetings · goals 23:23 · last 10: 3W 0D 7L for Greenville Triumph

8 Aug 2026USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence1-0Greenville Triumph
24 Jun 2026USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Charlotte Independence1-0Greenville Triumph
9 Aug 2025USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence4-5Greenville Triumph
15 Jun 2025USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence1-0Greenville Triumph
5 Apr 2025USL League One	USL League One	Greenville Triumph1-0Charlotte Independence
30 Aug 2024USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Greenville Triumph0-1Charlotte Independence
10 Aug 2024USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Charlotte Independence2-1Greenville Triumph
19 Jun 2024USL League One	USL League One	Greenville Triumph2-0Charlotte Independence
12 Apr 2024USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence1-0Greenville Triumph
20 Oct 2023USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence3-2Greenville Triumph

USL League One tableUSL League Oneupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the USL League One table, Greenville Triumph sit 15th with 27 points from 30 games, while Charlotte Independence are 1st with 63 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	30	19	6	5	70:42	+28	63
2	Union Omaha	30	19	4	7	53:32	+21	61
3	Forward Madison	30	15	7	8	52:30	+22	52
4	Boise	30	15	7	8	47:40	+7	52
5	One Knoxville	31	14	9	8	49:36	+13	51
6	Spokane Velocity	29	15	5	9	46:40	+6	50
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	+7	46
8	Fort Wayne	30	12	9	9	46:37	+9	45
9	Naples	30	12	4	14	35:44	-9	40
10	Westchester SC	30	10	6	14	51:48	+3	36
11	Sarasota Paradise	29	10	6	13	42:45	-3	36
12	Corpus Christi	30	9	9	12	33:44	-11	36
13	Alta	30	8	9	13	37:44	-7	33
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	30	7	10	13	44:55	-11	31
15	Greenville Triumph	30	7	6	17	36:57	-21	27
16	NY Cosmos	29	7	4	18	36:59	-23	25
17	Richmond Kickers	30	6	5	19	32:63	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.39X25%3.51238%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.46 → 2.39 -2.8%X3.54 → 3.51 -0.8%22.37 → 2.35 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.54	7.4%
1xBet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
BetVictor	1.30	2.30	20.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.74	3.2%
Average	1.39	2.56	10.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.33	2.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.88	9.9%
BetVictor	1.25	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	1.33	3.00	8.5%
Average	1.31	2.83	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Greenville Triumph 10%Draw 45%Charlotte Independence 45%

The statistical model rates Greenville Triumph at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Charlotte Independence at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 3.51 | 2.35, which imply roughly 28.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Greenville Triumph are 15th (27 pts, 36-57 goals), Charlotte Independence 1st (63 pts, 70-42).

Over their last five matches, Greenville Triumph averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Charlotte Independence averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Charlotte Independence and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.39	3.51	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.46	1.45	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.31	2.83

1st half

1	X	2
2.78	2.41	2.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.80	2.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.81	13.0	21.7
HT X	6.43	6.80	6.40
HT 2	21.7	13.7	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	20.5	1.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.0
1.5	1.07	5.07
2.5	1.39	2.56
3.5	1.88	1.74
4.5	2.86	1.27
5.5	4.73	1.09

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.75	1.09	5.25
2	1.11	4.85
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.42	2.41
3	1.52	2.17
3.25	1.71	1.90
3.75	2.09	1.58
4	2.49	1.44
4.25	2.75	1.37
4.75	3.50	1.22
5	4.55	1.13
5.25	4.85	1.11
6	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.25	1.45
-0.25	2.06	1.59
0	1.83	1.81
+0.25	1.68	1.98
+0.5	1.47	2.22
+0.75	1.37	2.73

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.00	1.02
-2	7.40	1.03
-1.75	5.30	1.09
-1.5	4.25	1.15
-1.25	3.90	1.18
-1	3.50	1.22
-0.75	2.78	1.36
+1	1.25	3.37
+1.25	1.18	3.84
+1.5	1.16	4.15
+1.75	1.10	5.20
+2	1.03	7.20
+2.5	1.02	7.80