Armenia U21 vs Italy U21• UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, World

0.6:2.80-1FT01/10 · FFA Academy Stadium, Yerevan3.6:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

126.0B365X12.5MAR21.06B365Margin at best6.2%Books6Markets74Rating12 · 88Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	26.0	12.0	1.06	6.5%
Pinnacle	19.4	11.4	1.07	7.4%
William Hill	26.0	12.0	1.05	7.4%
Betfair	23.0	12.0	1.05	7.9%
1xBet	24.0	11.0	1.05	8.5%
Marathonbet	25.0	12.5	1.03	9.1%
Best of all books	26.0	12.5	1.07	5.3%
Average	23.9	11.8	1.05	7.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Armenia U21Italy U21

Last 100Form pts · last 5150.6Goals for · last 53.62.8Goals against · last 50.814Attack rating8622Defence rating780Form rating1000H2H rating1003Goals model9712Overall rating88

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Oct 15:41 UTC

Armenia U21

0W 0D 10L · goals 4:25 · per match 0.4 for, 2.5 against

1 Oct	H	Italy U21	0-1	L
31 Mar	H	North Macedonia U21	0-2	L
27 Mar	A	Poland U21	1-4	L
18 Nov	H	Sweden U21	0-1	L
14 Nov	H	Montenegro U21	1-2	L
14 Oct	A	Italy U21	1-5	L
10 Oct	A	North Macedonia U21	1-2	L
9 Sep	H	Poland U21	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	Sweden U21	0-3	L
15 Oct	A	Albania U21	0-1	L

Italy U21

9W 0D 1L · goals 27:5 · per match 2.7 for, 0.5 against

1 Oct	A	Armenia U21	1-0	W
8 Jun	H	Albania U21	1-0	W
31 Mar	A	Sweden U21	4-0	W
26 Mar	H	North Macedonia U21	4-0	W
18 Nov	A	Montenegro U21	4-1	W
14 Nov	A	Poland U21	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Armenia U21	5-1	W
10 Oct	H	Sweden U21	4-0	W
9 Sep	A	North Macedonia U21	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Montenegro U21	2-1	W

Head to head

0Armenia U21 wins

0draws

3Italy U21 wins

3 meetings · goals 1:12 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Armenia U21

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	Italy U215-1Armenia U21
19 Nov 2019UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Italy U216-0Armenia U21
14 Oct 2019UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Armenia U210-1Italy U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification tableGroup Cupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France U21	9	7	2	0	27:7	+20	23
2	Switzerland U21	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17
3	Iceland U21	9	4	3	2	20:11	+9	15
4	Faroe Islands U21	9	4	0	5	8:15	-7	12
5	Luxembourg U21	9	2	1	6	10:22	-12	7
6	Estonia U21	9	0	2	7	9:25	-16	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg13%27.3X7%13.3290%1.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

123.9 → 23.6 -1.3%X11.8 → 12.0 +1.4%21.05 → 1.05 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.20	4.33	6.4%
Bet365	1.17	4.50	7.7%
Pinnacle	1.19	4.12	8.3%
1xBet	1.20	3.98	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.17	3.96	10.7%
Best of all books	1.20	4.50	5.6%
Average	1.19	4.18	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
1xBet	2.16	1.62	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.61	8.6%
William Hill	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Best of all books	2.62	1.70	-3.0%
Average	2.21	1.61	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Armenia U21 0%Draw 50%Italy U21 50%

The statistical model rated Armenia U21 at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Italy U21 at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 27.26 | 13.26 | 1.04, which imply roughly 7.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Armenia U21 averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Italy U21 averaged 3.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Italy U21 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
23.9	11.8	1.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
7.90	1.01	1.03

Draw no bet

1	2
18.0	1.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.21	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
14.1	3.88	1.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
6.15	48.0	1.08

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	29.0
1.5	1.04	8.82
2.5	1.19	4.18
3.5	1.56	2.30
4.5	2.28	1.59
5.5	3.60	1.25
6.5	6.17	1.09
7.5	9.75	1.05
8.5	12.0	1.01
9.5	17.0	–

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.04	8.10
2	1.02	7.90
2.25	1.14	4.90
2.75	1.21	3.54
3	1.25	3.28
3.25	1.42	2.65
3.75	1.65	2.04
4	1.84	1.86
4.25	2.06	1.69
4.75	2.50	1.44
5	2.99	1.30
5.25	3.27	1.27
5.75	4.18	1.15
6	5.40	1.09
6.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+2.25	2.57	1.44
+2.5	2.19	1.59
+2.75	2.03	1.71
+3	1.84	1.91
+3.25	1.65	2.11
+3.5	1.53	2.34

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	23.0	1.01
+1	6.80	1.05
+1.25	4.90	1.14
+1.5	3.68	1.22
+1.75	3.47	1.25
+2	3.16	1.30
+3.75	1.42	2.63
+4	1.32	3.01
+4.25	1.28	3.28
+4.5	1.23	3.59
+4.75	1.17	4.32
+5	1.10	5.62
+5.25	1.15	5.50
+5.5	1.05	6.50
+6	1.06	6.90
+6.5	1.04	8.00