Spain U21 vs Romania U21• UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, World

5.0:0.47-1FT06/10 · Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza1.4:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.06WHX12.7PIN234.0WHMargin at best5.1%Books7Markets87Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.07	11.5	21.9	6.7%
William Hill	1.07	9.50	34.0	6.9%
Bet365	1.08	10.0	23.0	6.9%
Betfair	1.06	11.0	23.0	7.8%
1xBet	1.04	10.5	32.0	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.04	10.5	32.0	8.8%
SBO	1.06	7.05	14.9	15.2%
Best of all books	1.08	11.5	32.0	4.4%
Average	1.06	10.0	25.8	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Spain U21Romania U21

Last 1012Form pts · last 595.0Goals for · last 51.40.4Goals against · last 50.878Attack rating2267Defence rating3357Form rating43100H2H rating080Goals model2074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 17:41 UTC

Spain U21

9W 0D 1L · goals 44:5 · per match 4.4 for, 0.5 against

1 Oct	A	San Marino U21	13-0	W
25 Sep	A	Finland U21	1-2	L
31 Mar	H	Kosovo U21	2-0	W
27 Mar	A	Cyprus U21	7-0	W
18 Nov	A	Romania U21	2-0	W
14 Nov	H	San Marino U21	7-0	W
14 Oct	H	Finland U21	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Norway U21	4-1	W
9 Sep	A	Kosovo U21	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Cyprus U21	3-0	W

Romania U21

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:7 · per match 1.1 for, 0.7 against

30 Sep	H	Finland U21	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Cyprus U21	3-0	W
31 Mar	H	San Marino U21	3-0	W
27 Mar	A	Kosovo U21	1-0	W
18 Nov	H	Spain U21	0-2	L
14 Nov	A	Finland U21	0-2	L
14 Oct	H	Cyprus U21	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Serbia U21	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	San Marino U21	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Kosovo U21	0-0	D

Head to head

3Spain U21 wins

0draws

0Romania U21 wins

3 meetings · goals 7:1 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Spain U21

18 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	Romania U210-2Spain U21
14 Jun 2025UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Spain U212-1Romania U21
21 Jun 2023UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Romania U210-3Spain U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification tableGroup Cupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France U21	9	7	2	0	27:7	+20	23
2	Switzerland U21	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17
3	Iceland U21	9	4	3	2	20:11	+9	15
4	Faroe Islands U21	9	4	0	5	8:15	-7	12
5	Luxembourg U21	9	2	1	6	10:22	-12	7
6	Estonia U21	9	0	2	7	9:25	-16	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg188%1.05X9%10.823%28.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.06 → 1.05 -0.9%X10.0 → 10.8 +7.7%225.8 → 28.7 +11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.29	3.80	3.8%
Bet365	1.28	3.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	1.24	3.63	8.2%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.29	3.80	3.8%
Average	1.26	3.50	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.49	1.48	7.7%
Marathonbet	2.49	1.46	8.7%
William Hill	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Best of all books	2.50	1.53	5.4%
Average	2.43	1.50	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spain U21 45%Draw 45%Romania U21 10%

The statistical model rated Spain U21 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Romania U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.05 | 10.80 | 28.87, which imply roughly 95.2% for a Spain U21 win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Spain U21 averaged 5 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Romania U21 averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Spain U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.06	10.0	25.8

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	7.70	1.02

Draw no bet

1	2
1.01	14.5

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.43	1.50

1st half

1	X	2
1.31	3.53	14.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.12	26.5	6.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.0
1.5	1.05	7.60
2.5	1.26	3.50
3.5	1.73	2.03
4.5	2.58	1.43
5.5	4.34	1.18
6.5	7.33	1.08
7.5	11.7	1.02
8.5	15.0	1.01
9.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.05	6.70
2	1.06	6.20
2.25	1.15	4.20
2.75	1.30	2.98
3	1.40	2.63
3.25	1.55	2.30
3.75	1.87	1.84
4	2.09	1.63
4.25	2.32	1.50
4.75	2.92	1.31
5	3.58	1.21
5.25	3.94	1.17
6	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	2.56	1.44
-3.25	2.30	1.54
-3	2.05	1.67
-2.75	1.85	1.89
-2.5	1.68	2.10
-2.25	1.52	2.36

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	7.40	1.03
-5	6.70	1.06
-4.75	5.20	1.12
-4.5	4.15	1.18
-4.25	3.87	1.20
-4	3.57	1.23
-3.75	2.97	1.34
-2	1.35	2.89
-1.75	1.29	3.19
-1.5	1.27	3.34
-1.25	1.16	4.43
-1	1.07	6.57
-0.75	1.07	6.37
-0.25	1.01	10.2
0	1.01	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.13
7.5	1.14	4.26
8.5	1.33	2.88
9.5	1.61	2.16
10.5	2.00	1.73
11.5	2.54	1.43
12.5	3.44	1.23
13.5	4.97	1.09

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.03	6.58
8	1.18	3.84
9	1.42	2.58
10	1.79	1.97
11	2.29	1.54
12	3.13	1.28
13	4.60	1.11
14	7.21	1.01

Latest UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification results

6 Oct	Republic of Ireland U21 3-1 England U21
6 Oct	Cyprus U21 2-0 San Marino U21
6 Oct	Turkey U21 0-0 Hungary U21
6 Oct	Kosovo U21 4-4 Finland U21
6 Oct	Lithuania U21 0-1 Croatia U21
6 Oct	France U21 7-1 Switzerland U21