Lithuania U21 vs Croatia U21• UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, World

0.6:2.20-1FT06/10 · LSC sporto kompleksas Druskininkai, Druskininkai2.4:0.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

112.0MARX6.42PIN21.22B365Margin at best5.9%Books7Markets78Rating13 · 87Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	11.9	6.00	1.21	7.7%
Pinnacle	10.3	6.26	1.21	8.3%
Marathonbet	12.0	6.00	1.20	8.3%
Bet365	10.0	5.25	1.25	9.0%
Betfair	11.0	5.50	1.20	10.6%
William Hill	11.0	5.00	1.20	12.4%
SBO	7.91	4.94	1.20	16.2%
Best of all books	12.0	6.26	1.25	4.3%
Average	10.6	5.56	1.21	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lithuania U21Croatia U21

Last 101Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 52.42.2Goals against · last 50.420Attack rating8015Defence rating858Form rating920H2H rating10014Goals model8613Overall rating87

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

Lithuania U21

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:21 · per match 0.6 for, 2.1 against

1 Oct	A	Hungary U21	1-2	L
27 Mar	A	Ukraine U21	1-1	D
18 Nov	H	Turkey U21	1-2	L
13 Nov	A	Croatia U21	0-4	L
14 Oct	A	Netherlands U21	0-2	L
10 Oct	A	Turkey U21	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Hungary U21	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Ukraine U21	0-4	L
15 Oct	A	Czech Republic U21	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Iceland U21	2-0	W

Croatia U21

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:6 · per match 1.9 for, 0.6 against

2 Oct	A	Ukraine U21	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Hungary U21	3-1	W
6 Jun	H	Republic of Ireland U21	2-2	D
3 Jun	H	Qatar U23	2-0	W
30 May	H	Greece U21	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Turkey U21	3-0	W
18 Nov	A	Hungary U21	2-0	W
13 Nov	H	Lithuania U21	4-0	W
14 Oct	H	Ukraine U21	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Turkey U21	1-1	D

Head to head

0Lithuania U21 wins

0draws

3Croatia U21 wins

3 meetings · goals 1:14 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Lithuania U21

13 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification	Croatia U214-0Lithuania U21
17 Nov 2020UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Croatia U217-0Lithuania U21
14 Nov 2019UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Lithuania U211-3Croatia U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification tableGroup Cupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France U21	9	7	2	0	27:7	+20	23
2	Switzerland U21	9	5	2	2	16:10	+6	17
3	Iceland U21	9	4	3	2	20:11	+9	15
4	Faroe Islands U21	9	4	0	5	8:15	-7	12
5	Luxembourg U21	9	2	1	6	10:22	-12	7
6	Estonia U21	9	0	2	7	9:25	-16	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg19%10.4X16%5.57275%1.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

110.6 → 10.9 +3.0%X5.56 → 5.68 +2.2%21.21 → 1.21 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.53	2.39	7.2%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.55	2.9%
Average	1.51	2.40	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.05	1.69	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lithuania U21 0%Draw 50%Croatia U21 50%

The statistical model rated Lithuania U21 at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Croatia U21 at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 10.37 | 5.57 | 1.22, which imply roughly 18% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Lithuania U21 averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Croatia U21 averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Croatia U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
10.6	5.56	1.21

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.95	1.03	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
8.67	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
8.70	2.68	1.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
4.15	16.5	1.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.14	4.85
2.5	1.51	2.40
3.5	2.33	1.56
4.5	3.96	1.20
5.5	7.15	1.06
6.5	12.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.75	1.14	4.33
2	1.18	3.90
2.25	1.33	2.83
2.75	1.61	2.13
3	1.83	1.87
3.25	2.05	1.69
3.75	2.57	1.40
4	3.10	1.28
4.25	3.42	1.23
4.75	4.60	1.13
5	6.20	1.06
5.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1.25	2.45	1.49
+1.5	2.10	1.67
+1.75	1.88	1.86
+2	1.65	2.10
+2.25	1.51	2.37
+2.5	1.41	2.68

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	9.00	1.01
+0.25	5.20	1.12
+0.5	3.70	1.26
+0.75	3.55	1.25
+1	3.15	1.31
+2.75	1.30	3.16
+3	1.19	3.95
+3.25	1.17	4.30
+3.5	1.14	4.78
+3.75	1.09	5.88
+4	1.02	7.90
+4.5	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.97	1.79
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06

Latest UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification results

6 Oct	Republic of Ireland U21 3-1 England U21
6 Oct	Cyprus U21 2-0 San Marino U21
6 Oct	Spain U21 7-1 Romania U21
6 Oct	Turkey U21 0-0 Hungary U21
6 Oct	Kosovo U21 4-4 Finland U21
6 Oct	France U21 7-1 Switzerland U21