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Scotland U21 vs Azerbaijan U21• UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification, World

1.2:1.25-2FT30/09 · Rugby Park, Kilmarnock1.0:1.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.18B365X7.901XB214.3MARMargin at best4.4%Books6Markets63Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.186.1014.68.0%
Pinnacle1.206.0412.28.1%
Marathonbet1.176.1014.88.6%
Bet3651.185.7513.09.8%
Betfair1.156.5013.010.0%
William Hill1.185.0013.012.4%
Best of all books1.206.5014.85.5%
Average1.185.9213.49.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Scotland U21Azerbaijan U21
Last 1010Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.655Attack rating4557Defence rating4357Form rating4350H2H rating5098Goals model261Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 17:41 UTC

Scotland U21

4W 2D 4L · goals 25:15 · per match 2.5 for, 1.5 against

30 SepHAzerbaijan U215-2W
31 MarAPortugal U210-3L
27 MarHCzech Republic U210-0D
18 NovHBulgaria U211-0W
15 NovAGibraltar U212-0W
14 OctAAzerbaijan U213-3D
9 OctHGibraltar U2112-0W
9 SepHPortugal U210-2L
5 SepACzech Republic U210-2L
15 OctAKazakhstan U212-3L

Azerbaijan U21

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:22 · per match 1.2 for, 2.2 against

30 SepAScotland U212-5L
25 SepHCzech Republic U211-1D
9 JunHKyrgyz Republic U201-3L
6 JunHBahrain U203-0W
31 MarABulgaria U210-0D
27 MarHPortugal U210-4L
18 NovAGibraltar U211-0W
14 OctHScotland U213-3D
10 OctACzech Republic U210-5L
9 SepHBulgaria U211-1D

Head to head

0Scotland U21 wins
1draws
0Azerbaijan U21 wins

1 meeting · goals 3:3 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Scotland U21

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - QualificationUEFA U21 Championship - QualificationAzerbaijan U213-3Scotland U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification tableGroup Cupdated 6 Oct 17:51 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1France U21972027:7+2023
2Switzerland U21952216:10+617
3Iceland U21943220:11+915
4Faroe Islands U2194058:15-712
5Luxembourg U21921610:22-127
6Estonia U2190279:25-162

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.16X14%6.5527%12.6

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Sep 09:2130 Sep 18:311 1.16X 6.552 12.6
11.18 → 1.16 -1.7%X5.92 → 6.55 +10.6%213.4 → 12.6 -6.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.402.886.2%
Pinnacle1.412.757.3%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
1xBet1.392.5910.6%
Marathonbet1.392.5910.6%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.412.698.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.011.727.9%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
Marathonbet2.011.708.6%
William Hill1.851.809.6%
Best of all books2.011.805.3%
Average1.941.758.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Scotland U21 45%Draw 45%Azerbaijan U21 10%

The statistical model rated Scotland U21 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Azerbaijan U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.16 | 6.55 | 12.63, which imply roughly 86.2% for a Scotland U21 win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Scotland U21 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Azerbaijan U21 averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Scotland U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.185.9213.4

Double chance

1XX212
1.053.881.10

Draw no bet

12
1.0310.2

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.941.76

1st half

1X2
1.552.829.51

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2118.04.35

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0115.5
1.51.105.73
2.51.412.69
3.52.051.73
4.53.281.28
5.55.961.09
6.510.51.04
7.515.01.01
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.5
1.751.115.00
21.134.55
2.251.263.20
2.751.492.38
31.612.13
3.251.831.88
3.752.291.56
42.681.37
4.252.921.31
4.753.901.18
55.101.10
5.255.451.08
68.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.752.671.41
-2.52.351.53
-2.252.091.67
-21.881.87
-1.751.672.06
-1.51.552.28
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.57.201.03
-46.631.07
-3.754.861.13
-3.54.031.19
-3.253.521.24
-33.331.27
-1.251.402.69
-11.253.49
-0.751.203.86
-0.51.204.40
-0.251.096.68
01.078.58
+0.251.145.75
+0.51.126.00

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