Gagra8th23 pts
Spaeri9th22 pts
Gagra8th23 pts
Spaeri9th22 ptsIn the Erovnuli Liga table, Gagra sit 8th with 23 points from 20 games, while Spaeri are 9th with 22 points from 20 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Gagra at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Spaeri at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 3.31 | 2.46, which imply roughly 39.8% for a Gagra win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Erovnuli Liga table: Gagra are 8th (23 pts, 20-26 goals), Spaeri 9th (22 pts, 26-27).
Over their last five matches, Gagra averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Spaeri averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Gagra or draw.
Gagra vs Spaeri — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rustavi | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 38 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Tbilisi | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 |  Saburtalo | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 |
| 4 |  Torpedo Kutaisi | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Batumi | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 |  Samgurali | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 |  Dila | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26 |
| 8 |  Gagra | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23 |
| 9 |  Spaeri | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 |
| 10 |  Meshakhte | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.51
X
3.31
2
2.46
Double chance
1X
1.43
X2
1.42
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.72
No
1.94
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.94
Under 2.5
1.77
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.14
Over 1.75
1.34
Under 1.75
2.78
Over 2
1.44
Under 2
2.42
Over 2.25
1.69
Under 2.25
1.98
Over 2.75
2.17
Under 2.75
1.55
Over 3.5
3.34
Under 3.5
1.24
Under 0.5
9.20
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.50
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
7.80
Over 1.25
1.15
Under 1.25
4.30
Over 3
2.66
Under 3
1.37
Over 4.5
6.50
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 3.25
2.97
Under 3.25
1.30
Over 3.75
4.15
Under 3.75
1.16
Over 4
5.75
Under 4
1.07
Over 4.25
6.15
Under 4.25
1.06
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.83
2
1.81
Asian handicap
Home 2
1.01
Away 2
1.01
1st half
1
3.15
X
2.08
2
3.09
First team to score
Home
2.01
No Goal
9.10
Away
1.96