Fenix vs Cerrito• Segunda División, Uruguay

#30.8:1.61-1FT31/10 · Parque Capurro, Montevideo1.6:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.17PINX3.30BTN23.35DAFMargin at best6.2%Books9Markets46Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 16:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.14	3.30	3.35	6.9%
Pinnacle	2.17	3.19	3.22	8.5%
Betano	2.07	3.30	3.25	9.4%
BetVictor	2.10	3.25	3.20	9.6%
1xBet	2.07	3.14	3.24	11.0%
Bet365	2.10	3.20	3.10	11.1%
Betfair	2.05	3.20	3.20	11.3%
William Hill	2.15	3.10	3.00	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.05	3.14	3.16	12.3%
Best of all books	2.17	3.30	3.35	6.2%
Average	2.10	3.20	3.19	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FenixCerrito

Last 10#3Table position#81.83Points per game1.504Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6747Defence rating5336Form rating6485H2H rating1563Goals model3755Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 23:30 UTC

Fenix

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	A	Atenas	0-4	L
17 Oct	H	Paysandu	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Sportivo Huracan	0-0	D
4 Oct	H	Uruguay Montevideo	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Oriental	2-3	L
23 Sep	A	Boston River	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Colón	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	CA River Plate	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Rentistas	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	Colón	3-3	D

Cerrito

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Rentistas	2-2	D
17 Oct	A	Miramar	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	Tacuarembo	2-1	W
7 Oct	H	Wanderers	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Plaza Colonia	3-1	W
27 Sep	H	La Luz	1-2	L
23 Sep	A	Wanderers	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	CA River Plate	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Atenas	0-0	D
10 Sep	A	Cerro	2-0	W

Head to head

5Fenix wins

3draws

1Cerrito wins

9 meetings · goals 20:12 · last 9: 5W 3D 1L for Fenix

2 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito1-1Fenix
12 Apr 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Fenix4-1Cerrito
22 Sep 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Cerrito2-2Fenix
29 Jun 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Fenix3-2Cerrito
15 Sep 2022Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerrito0-2Fenix
10 Apr 2022Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Fenix2-0Cerrito
17 Oct 2021Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerrito2-4Fenix
18 Jun 2021Primera División - Apertura	Primera División - Apertura	Fenix1-3Cerrito
12 May 2012Primera División - Clausura	Primera División - Clausura	Cerrito1-1Fenix

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 1 Nov 02:30 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Fenix sit 3rd with 11 points from 6 games, while Cerrito are 8th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X28%3.20228%3.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 2.10 +5.0%X3.23 → 3.20 -0.9%23.45 → 3.19 -7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.79	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Best of all books	2.01	1.80	5.3%
Average	1.97	1.76	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Betano	1.78	1.88	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.75	1.93	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fenix 45%Draw 45%Cerrito 10%

The statistical model rated Fenix at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Cerrito at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.19, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Fenix win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Fenix are 3rd (11 pts, 13-7 goals), Cerrito 8th (9 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Fenix averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Cerrito averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fenix or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.20	3.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.64	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.07	3.89

2nd half

1	X	2
2.46	2.37	3.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.25	14.5	35.3
HT X	5.17	5.00	7.50
HT 2	25.0	15.8	5.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.74	8.80	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.08
1.5	1.29	3.12
2.5	1.97	1.76
3.5	3.38	1.25
4.5	6.57	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.25
1.75	1.35	2.82
2	1.47	2.42
2.25	1.71	1.99
2.75	2.20	1.57
3	2.68	1.39
3.25	3.01	1.31
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.90	1.07
4.25	6.00	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.13	1.31
-0.75	2.44	1.47
-0.5	2.08	1.68
-0.25	1.82	1.89
0	1.52	2.34
+0.25	1.38	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	7.73	1.05
-1.75	4.50	1.19
-1.5	3.97	1.19
-1.25	3.44	1.26
+0.5	1.32	3.22
+0.75	1.18	4.12
+1	1.08	6.17
+1.25	1.12	5.85
+1.5	1.05	7.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.85

Next Segunda División matches

1 Nov	Oriental – Paysandu
1 Nov	Colón – Atenas
1 Nov	Miramar – Plaza Colonia

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

31 Oct	Rentistas 2-0 La Luz
31 Oct	Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 Sportivo Huracan
26 Oct	Paysandu 3-2 Colón
25 Oct	La Luz 3-0 Miramar
25 Oct	Cerrito 2-2 Rentistas
25 Oct	Atenas 4-0 Fenix