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Montserrat vs Nicaragua• CONCACAF Nations League, World

2.8:0.300:00Tomorrow · Estadio Cibao FC, Santiago de Los1.0:3.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

111.0DAFX6.00DAF21.33PINMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets75Rating68 · 33Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 22:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet11.06.001.283.9%
1xBet9.755.101.288.0%
Betano9.505.301.278.1%
Marathonbet9.705.101.278.7%
Bet3658.505.001.308.7%
BetVictor9.505.251.259.6%
William Hill9.504.501.309.7%
Pinnacle6.575.041.3310.2%
Betfair8.505.001.2511.8%
SBO8.304.941.2214.3%
Best of all books11.06.001.330.9%
Average9.085.121.279.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MontserratNicaragua
Last 1012Form pts · last 502.8Goals for · last 51.00.3Goals against · last 53.573Attack rating2793Defence rating7100Form rating00H2H rating10095Goals model568Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Montserrat

6W 0D 4L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

6 OctHTurks and Caicos Islands4-1W
1 OctABritish Virgin Islands2-0W
26 SepHBritish Virgin Islands3-0W
23 SepATurks and Caicos Islands2-0W
11 JunAGuyana0-3L
4 JunHBelize1-0W
18 NovAEl Salvador0-1L
14 NovHSt. Vincent / Grenadines1-2L
13 OctHBonaire0-1L
10 OctABonaire1-0W

Nicaragua

1W 1D 8L · goals 8:27 · per match 0.8 for, 2.7 against

5 OctHDominican Republic1-2L
2 OctHCosta Rica0-3L
28 SepACuraçao1-6L
25 SepADominican Republic2-3L
5 JunAParaguay0-4L
29 MayASouth Africa0-0D
27 MarARussia1-3L
19 NovAHaiti0-2L
14 NovHHonduras2-0W
14 OctACosta Rica1-4L

Head to head

0Montserrat wins
0draws
3Nicaragua wins

3 meetings · goals 1:10 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Montserrat

6 Jun 2024World Cup - Qualification CONCACAFWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAFNicaragua4-1Montserrat
17 Oct 2023CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueNicaragua3-0Montserrat
13 Oct 2023CONCACAF Nations LeagueCONCACAF Nations LeagueMontserrat0-3Nicaragua

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%9.08X18%5.12272%1.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12 Nov 00:0013 Nov 23:001 9.08X 5.122 1.27
110.7 → 9.08 -14.7%X5.48 → 5.12 -6.6%21.22 → 1.27 +4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Betano1.622.207.2%
1xBet1.592.257.3%
Marathonbet1.592.257.3%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.592.179.0%
Pinnacle1.562.229.1%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.592.237.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.121.657.8%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.971.757.9%
Marathonbet1.971.738.6%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.121.754.3%
Average2.011.718.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Montserrat 45%Draw 45%Nicaragua 10%

The statistical model rates Montserrat at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nicaragua at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.08 | 5.12 | 1.27, which imply roughly 11% for a Montserrat win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Montserrat averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Nicaragua averaged 1 scored and 3.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Montserrat and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Montserrat

4-4-2

Coach: Gabriel Calderón

Goalkeeper

  • 1trent rodgers carter

Defence

  • 20lucas kirnon
  • 5Darion Furlong
  • 14Adrian Samuel Fenton
  • 3Lenni Rae Cirino
  • 2Raffaele Cirino

Midfield

  • 8B. Comley
  • 18James dyer
  • 7B. Barzey

Attack

  • 17Ashley Frank Boatswain
  • 22Kymani Daley Smith
Substitutes (11)
  • 9josiah dyer
  • 21Tyrone Baker
  • 16Jernade Meade
  • 15Princewell Madu
  • 13Erwin Liburd
  • 23kymani nelson
  • 4Josiah Persaud
  • 12dominic richmond
  • 19vashim roache
  • 11Seigel rodney
  • 10Kaleem Simon

Nicaragua

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Real

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Mayorga

Defence

  • 5J. Cano
  • 19J. Pérez
  • 2J. Quijano

Midfield

  • 3Joab Gutierrez
  • 14J. Coronel
  • 11J. Barrera
  • 17O. Salinas
  • 10B. Hernández

Attack

  • 20W. Talavera
  • 7A. Smith
Substitutes (7)
  • 4S. R. Harris Gregory
  • 16R. Cole
  • 12A. López
  • 13José Martínez López
  • 15Efraín Mejía
  • 9J. Moreno
  • 21C. Reyes

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
9.085.121.27

Double chance

1XX212
3.481.041.12

Draw no bet

12
7.231.08

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.011.72

1st half

1X2
7.562.571.70

2nd half

1X2
7.253.011.57

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 114.920.120.5
HT X17.97.283.85
HT 262.920.71.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.6514.41.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.5
1.51.164.41
2.51.592.23
3.52.451.47
4.54.441.16
5.58.401.04
6.515.91.02
7.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.80
1.251.066.20
1.751.173.97
21.223.52
2.251.422.59
2.751.721.99
31.961.75
3.252.181.59
3.752.731.38
43.581.21
4.253.981.17
4.755.401.09
57.551.03
5.257.151.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.621.42
+1.252.151.62
+1.51.931.81
+1.751.672.08
+21.502.39
+2.251.392.70
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.59.501.06
-0.256.571.07
06.971.06
+0.254.231.18
+0.53.131.34
+0.752.861.36
+2.51.372.85
+2.751.223.71
+31.125.03
+3.251.115.44
+3.51.095.83
+3.751.037.50
+41.019.65
+4.51.019.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.253.42
7.51.502.37
8.51.891.80
9.52.511.45
10.53.461.24
5 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.392.59
7.751.562.20
8.251.781.93
8.752.021.69
9.252.341.50

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