Jamaica vs Mexico• CONCACAF Nations League, World

1.5:1.001:0015/11 · Independence Park, Kingston0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.37PINX4.10B36521.57BTNMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets62Rating23 · 77Exp. goals L51.3

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 17:59 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	6.20	4.00	1.57	4.8%
Dafabet	5.80	4.10	1.57	5.3%
Pinnacle	6.37	4.04	1.51	6.7%
Betfair	6.00	4.00	1.53	7.0%
Bet365	5.75	4.10	1.53	7.1%
1xBet	5.89	3.84	1.54	8.0%
Marathonbet	5.95	3.84	1.52	8.6%
William Hill	5.80	3.70	1.55	8.8%
BetVictor	6.00	3.80	1.50	9.6%
SBO	5.03	3.52	1.46	16.8%
Best of all books	6.37	4.10	1.57	3.8%
Average	5.88	3.89	1.53	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JamaicaMexico

Last 108Form pts · last 521.5Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating015H2H rating850Goals model023Overall rating77

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Jamaica

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

6 Oct	A	Honduras	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	El Salvador	2-0	W
29 Sep	H	Honduras	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Guatemala	3-2	W
6 Jun	H	South Africa	1-1	D
30 May	H	Nigeria	0-3	L
27 May	H	India	2-0	W
31 Mar	A	Congo DR	0-1	L
27 Mar	A	New Caledonia	1-0	W
21 Feb	A	Martinique	2-0	W

Mexico

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

7 Oct	H	Chile	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	USA	0-3	L
30 Sep	H	Peru	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Colombia	1-1	D
6 Jul	H	England	2-3	L
1 Jul	H	Ecuador	2-0	W
25 Jun	A	Czechia	3-0	W
19 Jun	H	South Korea	1-0	W
11 Jun	H	South Africa	2-0	W
5 Jun	H	Serbia	5-1	W

Head to head

1Jamaica wins

3draws

6Mexico wins

10 meetings · goals 7:16 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Jamaica

23 Jun 2024Copa America	Copa America	Mexico1-0Jamaica
13 Jul 2023CONCACAF Gold Cup	CONCACAF Gold Cup	Jamaica0-3Mexico
27 Mar 2023CONCACAF Nations League	CONCACAF Nations League	Mexico2-2Jamaica
15 Jun 2022CONCACAF Nations League	CONCACAF Nations League	Jamaica1-1Mexico
28 Jan 2022World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF	World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF	Jamaica1-2Mexico
3 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF	World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF	Mexico2-1Jamaica
24 Jul 2017CONCACAF Gold Cup	CONCACAF Gold Cup	Mexico0-1Jamaica
14 Jul 2017CONCACAF Gold Cup	CONCACAF Gold Cup	Mexico0-0Jamaica
10 Jun 2016Copa America	Copa America	Mexico2-0Jamaica
26 Jul 2015CONCACAF Gold Cup	CONCACAF Gold Cup	Jamaica1-3Mexico

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.88X24%3.89260%1.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.86 → 5.88 +21.0%X3.69 → 3.89 +5.4%21.64 → 1.53 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.06	1.75	5.7%
SBO	1.94	1.82	6.5%
1xBet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.06	1.82	3.5%
Average	1.99	1.78	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.02	1.71	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.69	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.03	1.72	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jamaica 0%Draw 50%Mexico 50%

The statistical model rates Jamaica at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Mexico at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.88 | 3.89 | 1.53, which imply roughly 25.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Jamaica averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mexico averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mexico and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.88	3.89	1.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.37	1.11	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
4.40	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.03	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
5.77	2.18	2.11

2nd half

1	X	2
5.47	2.49	1.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	10.1	17.5	24.4
HT X	12.1	5.57	4.14
HT 2	54.4	16.3	2.29

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.13	10.4	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.54
1.5	1.31	3.24
2.5	1.99	1.78
3.5	3.50	1.27
4.5	7.07	1.07
5.5	14.5	1.03
6.5	28.2	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.68
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.15	4.31
1.75	1.38	2.78
2	1.50	2.43
2.25	1.73	2.00
2.75	2.25	1.56
3	2.76	1.39
3.25	3.10	1.29
3.75	4.31	1.15
4	6.05	1.06
4.25	6.50	1.05
4.75	7.80	1.02
5	10.3	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.95	1.34
+0.5	2.47	1.51
+0.75	2.10	1.66
+1	1.83	1.93
+1.25	1.58	2.23
+1.5	1.46	2.56

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	13.2	1.02
-1	10.7	1.01
-0.75	7.80	1.02
-0.5	5.75	1.14
-0.25	5.00	1.12
0	4.54	1.16
+1.75	1.32	3.09
+2	1.18	4.30
+2.25	1.14	4.63
+2.5	1.13	5.08
+2.75	1.06	6.70
+3	1.04	9.50
+3.5	1.03	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.65	2.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.35	2.82
8.5	1.55	2.24
9	1.73	1.94
9.5	1.99	1.69
10	2.39	1.48

Next CONCACAF Nations League matches

13 Nov	Saint Martin – El Salvador
14 Nov	Montserrat – Nicaragua
14 Nov	Guatemala – Canada
14 Nov	Haiti – USA

All CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and the table

Latest CONCACAF Nations League results

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