Dukagjini vs Llapi• Superliga, Kosovo

#60.6:1.016:00Today0.4:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52BTNX3.90B36526.771XBMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets50Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 14:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.50	3.75	6.00	10.0%
Betano	1.52	3.60	5.80	10.8%
1xBet	1.47	3.56	6.77	10.9%
Bet365	1.45	3.90	6.00	11.3%
William Hill	1.50	3.50	6.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.46	3.56	6.40	12.2%
Betfair	1.44	3.80	6.00	12.4%
BetVictor	1.40	3.30	5.50	19.9%
Best of all books	1.52	3.90	6.77	6.2%
Average	1.47	3.62	6.06	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DukagjiniLlapi

Last 10#6Table position#91.50Points per game0.426Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4050Defence rating5075Form rating2571H2H rating2975Goals model2566Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

Dukagjini

3W 5D 2L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	H	Gjilani	1-1	D
25 Oct	A	Feronikeli	0-3	L
19 Oct	H	Drenica Skënderaj	1-1	D
14 Oct	H	Vushtrria	1-0	W
11 Oct	A	Prishtina	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Drita	1-2	L
14 Sep	A	Ballkani	0-0	D
10 Sep	H	Malisheva	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Llapi	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Gjilani	2-2	D

Llapi

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

31 Oct	H	Prishtina	0-1	L
23 Oct	A	Gjilani	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Drita	1-2	L
14 Oct	A	Feronikeli	0-0	D
9 Oct	H	Ballkani	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Shkendija	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Drenica Skënderaj	0-4	L
14 Sep	H	Malisheva	0-4	L
8 Sep	A	Vushtrria	4-0	W
5 Sep	H	Dukagjini	1-2	L

Head to head

8Dukagjini wins

9draws

8Llapi wins

25 meetings · goals 25:28 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Dukagjini

5 Sep 2026Superliga	Superliga	Llapi1-2Dukagjini
10 May 2026Superliga	Superliga	Llapi0-0Dukagjini
15 Mar 2026Superliga	Superliga	Dukagjini1-2Llapi
30 Nov 2025Superliga	Superliga	Llapi0-1Dukagjini
25 Sep 2025Superliga	Superliga	Dukagjini3-1Llapi
25 May 2025Superliga	Superliga	Llapi3-1Dukagjini
6 Apr 2025Superliga	Superliga	Dukagjini3-1Llapi
20 Dec 2024Superliga	Superliga	Llapi0-0Dukagjini
20 Oct 2024Superliga	Superliga	Dukagjini1-0Llapi
14 Apr 2024Superliga	Superliga	Dukagjini1-1Llapi

Superliga tableSuperligaupdated 5 Nov 18:31 UTC

In the Superliga table, Dukagjini sit 6th with 18 points from 12 games, while Llapi are 9th with 5 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Prishtina	12	9	2	1	23:9	+14	29
2	Malisheva	12	8	3	1	25:8	+17	27
3	Drita	12	7	2	3	18:10	+8	23
4	Ballkani	12	6	1	5	17:10	+7	19
5	Gjilani	12	5	4	3	16:11	+5	19
6	Dukagjini	12	4	6	2	11:10	+1	18
7	Feronikeli	12	3	3	6	10:16	-6	12
8	Drenica Skënderaj	12	2	5	5	12:19	-7	11
9	Llapi	12	1	2	9	10:26	-16	5
10	Vushtrria	12	1	0	11	6:29	-23	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.47X25%3.62215%6.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.42 → 1.47 +3.5%X4.11 → 3.62 -11.9%26.30 → 6.06 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Pinnacle	2.10	1.66	7.9%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Betano	1.93	1.72	10.0%
BetVictor	1.87	1.50	20.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.73	3.3%
Average	2.03	1.65	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.58	9.8%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.15	1.65	7.1%
Average	2.10	1.58	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dukagjini 45%Draw 45%Llapi 10%

The statistical model rates Dukagjini at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Llapi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 3.62 | 6.06, which imply roughly 68% for a Dukagjini win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Superliga table: Dukagjini are 6th (18 pts, 11-10 goals), Llapi 9th (5 pts, 10-26).

Over their last five matches, Dukagjini averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Llapi averaged 0.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Dukagjini or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	3.62	6.06

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.35	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	3.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.12	6.29

2nd half

1	X	2
1.86	2.44	5.85

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.27	16.1	49.8
HT X	3.98	5.43	11.6
HT 2	22.5	16.5	10.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	9.35	3.34

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.43
1.5	1.32	2.98
2.5	2.03	1.65
3.5	3.65	1.21
4.5	7.50	1.07
5.5	18.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.41	2.57
2	1.54	2.23
2.25	1.78	1.80
2.75	2.36	1.49
3	2.94	1.32
3.25	3.10	1.29
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.95	1.31
-1.5	2.47	1.45
-1.25	2.17	1.58
-1	1.81	1.81
-0.75	1.63	2.09
-0.5	1.50	2.37

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.55	1.02
-2.5	4.80	1.12
-2.25	4.40	1.14
-2	3.98	1.17
-0.25	1.31	2.96
0	1.12	4.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.80	2.00
8.5	2.01	1.74

Latest Superliga results

4 Nov	Drita 1-2 Prishtina
1 Nov	Dukagjini 1-1 Gjilani
1 Nov	Malisheva 0-0 Feronikeli
31 Oct	Drita 3-1 Vushtrria
31 Oct	Llapi 0-1 Prishtina
30 Oct	Ballkani 4-0 Drenica Skënderaj