Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison• USL League One, USA

#13.0:1.42-1FTToday · American Legion Memorial Stadium1.2:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28PINX3.70DAF22.80BTNMargin at best6.6%Books9Markets46Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.24	3.70	2.80	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.30	3.53	2.72	8.6%
Betano	2.25	3.55	2.77	8.7%
1xBet	2.20	3.52	2.70	10.9%
Betfair	2.20	3.60	2.63	11.3%
Bet365	2.10	3.60	2.75	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.18	3.52	2.64	12.2%
William Hill	2.25	3.25	2.62	13.4%
BetVictor	2.05	3.20	2.50	20.0%
Best of all books	2.30	3.70	2.80	6.2%
Average	2.20	3.50	2.68	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison

Last 10#1Table position#42.06Points per game1.7512Form pts · last 583.0Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 50.871Attack rating2936Defence rating6460Form rating4050H2H rating5064Goals model3655Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 18:10 UTC

Charlotte Independence

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:16 · per match 2.4 for, 1.6 against

2 Nov	H	Naples	5-1	W
24 Oct	A	Portland Hearts of Pine	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Greenville Triumph	3-0	W
10 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Boise	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Westchester SC	5-4	W
6 Sep	A	Union Omaha	0-2	L

Forward Madison

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

30 Oct	H	Spokane Velocity	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	Union Omaha	0-0	D
17 Oct	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Westchester SC	2-3	L
3 Oct	A	Fort Wayne	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Spokane Velocity	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Alta	3-0	W
16 Sep	A	Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Sarasota Paradise	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Corpus Christi	2-0	W

Head to head

4Charlotte Independence wins

6draws

4Forward Madison wins

14 meetings · goals 20:17 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Charlotte Independence

23 Aug 2026USL League One	USL League One	Forward Madison1-1Charlotte Independence
23 May 2026USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence3-1Forward Madison
17 Jul 2025USL League One	USL League One	Forward Madison1-1Charlotte Independence
11 Apr 2025USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence1-1Forward Madison
2 Nov 2024USL League One	USL League One	Forward Madison2-0Charlotte Independence
4 Oct 2024USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence2-4Forward Madison
11 Sep 2024USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Forward Madison2-1Charlotte Independence
15 Aug 2024USL League One	USL League One	Forward Madison0-0Charlotte Independence
11 May 2024USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Charlotte Independence1-2Forward Madison
23 Sep 2023USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence2-0Forward Madison

USL League One tableUSL League One: Regular seasonupdated 8 Nov 05:50 UTC

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence sit 1st with 66 points from 32 games, while Forward Madison are 4th with 56 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	74:46	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	54:34	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	51:41	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	54:30	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	50:44	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	52:36	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	51:45	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	39:46	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	47:42	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	55:51	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	49:51	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	36:51	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	40:48	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	48:58	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	37:60	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40:66	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	37:65	-28	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.20X26%3.50234%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.20 → 2.20 0.0%X3.57 → 3.50 -2.0%22.72 → 2.67 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.34	7.3%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
BetVictor	1.43	2.00	19.9%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.50	2.28	10.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
Betano	1.44	2.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
BetVictor	1.33	2.20	20.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.41	2.52	10.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Charlotte Independence 45%Draw 45%Forward Madison 10%

The statistical model rated Charlotte Independence at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Forward Madison at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.68, which imply roughly 45.5% for a Charlotte Independence win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Charlotte Independence are 1st (66 pts, 74-46 goals), Forward Madison 4th (56 pts, 54-30).

Over their last five matches, Charlotte Independence averaged 3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Forward Madison averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Charlotte Independence or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.20	3.50	2.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.55	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.64	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.41	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.31	3.12

2nd half

1	X	2
2.51	2.66	2.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.46	13.0	24.5
HT X	5.80	6.28	6.80
HT 2	21.8	13.6	4.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.79	16.3	2.02

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.13	4.26
2.5	1.50	2.28
3.5	2.19	1.54
4.5	3.50	1.20
5.5	5.76	1.06

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.50
1.75	1.15	4.30
2	1.18	3.88
2.25	1.35	2.83
2.75	1.60	2.04
3	1.77	1.84
3.25	1.98	1.65
3.75	2.59	1.42
4	3.08	1.28
4.25	3.35	1.25
4.75	4.50	1.13
5	5.95	1.07
5.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.47	1.40
-0.5	2.11	1.53
-0.25	1.91	1.73
0	1.68	1.99
+0.25	1.49	2.25
+0.5	1.43	2.66

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.60	1.03
-2	6.90	1.04
-1.75	4.90	1.11
-1.5	3.90	1.18
-1.25	3.50	1.22
-1	3.25	1.27
+0.75	1.30	3.11
+1	1.15	4.25
+1.25	1.13	4.66
+1.5	1.10	5.00
+1.75	1.05	6.40
+2.5	1.01	9.90

Latest USL League One results

8 Nov	Boise 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 Nov	Boise 2-0 One Knoxville
2 Nov	Charlotte Independence 5-1 Naples
30 Oct	Forward Madison 2-1 Spokane Velocity
30 Oct	Union Omaha 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
25 Oct	Alta 2-2 Corpus Christi