Charlotte Independence vs Naples• USL League One, USA

#12.2:1.45-1FTToday · American Legion Memorial Stadium1.8:0.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65PINX4.40DAF24.50DAFMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets70Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.67	4.20	4.30	6.9%
Pinnacle	1.65	4.26	4.12	8.4%
Betano	1.65	4.10	4.15	9.1%
Betfair	1.62	4.20	4.00	10.5%
1xBet	1.59	4.10	4.24	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.57	4.10	4.15	12.2%
Bet365	1.62	3.90	4.00	12.4%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	4.00	13.0%
BetVictor	1.53	3.60	3.70	20.2%
Best of all books	1.67	4.26	4.30	6.6%
Average	1.61	4.03	4.07	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Charlotte IndependenceNaples

Last 10#1Table position#82.06Points per game1.4410Form pts · last 5152.2Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.655Attack rating4530Defence rating7040Form rating6050H2H rating5072Goals model2851Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 11:00 UTC

Charlotte Independence

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:17 · per match 2.2 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	Portland Hearts of Pine	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Greenville Triumph	3-0	W
10 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	3-0	W
3 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Fort Wayne	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Richmond Kickers	2-1	W
17 Sep	A	Boise	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Westchester SC	5-4	W
6 Sep	A	Union Omaha	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Portland Hearts of Pine	3-2	W

Naples

6W 2D 2L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

24 Oct	H	Spokane Velocity	1-0	W
21 Oct	A	Sarasota Paradise	3-2	W
11 Oct	A	Corpus Christi	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Richmond Kickers	2-0	W
3 Oct	H	NY Cosmos	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Fort Wayne	2-2	D
11 Sep	A	One Knoxville	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Boise	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Greenville Triumph	0-4	L

Head to head

2Charlotte Independence wins

0draws

2Naples wins

4 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Charlotte Independence

13 Jun 2026USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence4-3Naples
3 Jun 2026USL League One	USL League One	Naples1-5Charlotte Independence
25 Oct 2025USL League One	USL League One	Naples2-0Charlotte Independence
12 Sep 2025USL League One	USL League One	Charlotte Independence0-1Naples

USL League One tableUSL League One: Regular seasonupdated 2 Nov 02:00 UTC

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence sit 1st with 66 points from 32 games, while Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Charlotte Independence	32	20	6	6	74:46	+28	66
2	Union Omaha	32	19	5	8	54:34	+20	62
3	Boise	32	17	7	8	51:41	+10	58
4	Forward Madison	32	16	8	8	54:30	+24	56
5	Spokane Velocity	32	16	6	10	50:44	+6	54
6	One Knoxville	32	15	9	8	52:36	+16	54
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	32	14	5	13	51:45	+6	47
8	Naples	32	14	4	14	39:46	-7	46
9	Fort Wayne	32	12	9	11	47:42	+5	45
10	Westchester SC	32	11	7	14	55:51	+4	40
11	Sarasota Paradise	32	11	7	14	49:51	-2	40
12	Corpus Christi	32	9	10	13	36:51	-15	37
13	Alta	32	8	10	14	40:48	-8	34
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	32	8	10	14	48:58	-10	34
15	Greenville Triumph	32	8	6	18	37:60	-23	30
16	NY Cosmos	32	7	6	19	40:66	-26	27
17	Richmond Kickers	32	7	5	20	37:65	-28	26

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.53X22%4.16219%4.62

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.37	2.80	8.7%
1xBet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.33	2.83	10.5%
BetVictor	1.29	2.38	19.5%
Best of all books	1.40	2.83	6.8%
Average	1.34	2.72	11.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
Betano	1.40	2.65	9.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.62	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
BetVictor	1.30	2.30	20.4%
Best of all books	1.40	2.69	8.6%
Average	1.38	2.58	11.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Charlotte Independence 10%Draw 45%Naples 45%

The statistical model rated Charlotte Independence at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Naples at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.16 | 4.62, which imply roughly 24% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the USL League One table: Charlotte Independence are 1st (66 pts, 74-46 goals), Naples 8th (46 pts, 39-46).

Over their last five matches, Charlotte Independence averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Naples averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Naples.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	4.03	4.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.10	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.54	4.09

2nd half

1	X	2
1.90	2.93	3.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	14.5	31.3
HT X	4.96	7.57	10.2
HT 2	17.6	14.8	6.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	23.0	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.07	5.33
2.5	1.34	2.72
3.5	1.88	1.76
4.5	2.83	1.30
5.5	4.73	1.10

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.0
1.75	1.08	5.65
2	1.10	5.15
2.25	1.22	3.51
2.75	1.42	2.59
3	1.50	2.21
3.25	1.69	1.92
3.75	2.07	1.58
4	2.40	1.43
4.25	2.77	1.37
4.75	3.58	1.21
5	4.65	1.12
5.25	4.95	1.11
6	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.48	1.45
-1.25	2.17	1.52
-1	1.96	1.68
-0.75	1.73	1.91
-0.5	1.56	2.07
-0.25	1.41	2.44

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.55	1.08
-2.5	4.40	1.14
-2.25	4.10	1.16
-2	3.75	1.19
-1.75	2.92	1.31
0	1.27	3.22
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+0.75	1.10	5.10
+1	1.03	7.60
+1.5	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	2.00
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.97	1.79
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06

Latest USL League One results

30 Oct	Forward Madison 2-1 Spokane Velocity
30 Oct	Union Omaha 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
25 Oct	Alta 2-2 Corpus Christi
24 Oct	Fort Wayne 0-2 Boise
24 Oct	Sarasota Paradise 2-2 Westchester SC
24 Oct	Naples 1-0 Spokane Velocity