Mamelodi Sundowns vs
Golden Arrows• League Cup, South-Africa
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 3 Nov 13:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.37 | 4.25 | 7.80 | 9.3% |
| Dafabet | 1.34 | 4.40 | 7.80 | 10.2% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.60 | 8.50 | 10.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.55 | 8.55 | 10.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 11.2% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 4.55 | 8.10 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.37 | 4.75 | 8.55 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.33 | 4.55 | 7.54 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 19:01 UTC
Mamelodi Sundowns
7W 3D 0L · goals 20:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.6 against
| 31 Oct | H | Durban City | 4-1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Marumo Gallants | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Wiliete | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Oct | A | Wiliete | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Richards Bay | 4-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Orlando Pirates | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Chippa United | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | Siwelele | 3-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Golden Arrows | 2-1 | W |
Golden Arrows
3W 3D 4L · goals 10:8 · per match 1.0 for, 0.8 against
| 31 Oct | A | Amazulu | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Chippa United | 4-0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Milford FC | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Kaizer Chiefs | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Siwelele | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2-3 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Stellenbosch | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Mamelodi Sundowns | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | TS Galaxy | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
27 meetings · goals 51:15 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Mamelodi Sundowns
| 6 Sep 2026Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Golden Arrows1-2Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 30 Aug 20268 Cup | 8 Cup | Golden Arrows2-3Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 23 Aug 20268 Cup | 8 Cup | Mamelodi Sundowns0-1Golden Arrows |
| 4 Mar 2026Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns2-1Golden Arrows |
| 24 Sep 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Golden Arrows1-0Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 5 Mar 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Golden Arrows1-1Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 2 Feb 2025Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns4-0Golden Arrows |
| 19 Oct 2024League Cup | League Cup | Mamelodi Sundowns5-0Golden Arrows |
| 8 May 2024Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Golden Arrows0-0Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 15 Aug 2023Premier Soccer League | Premier Soccer League | Mamelodi Sundowns4-0Golden Arrows |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betano | 1.98 | 1.75 | 7.6% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 1.76 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 1.76 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.98 | 1.85 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.94 | 1.77 | 7.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.63 | 1.44 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 1.55 | 8.4% |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 1.55 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 1.53 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 2.35 | 1.50 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.63 | 1.55 | 2.5% |
| Average | 2.36 | 1.51 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mamelodi Sundowns at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Golden Arrows at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 4.55 | 7.54, which imply roughly 75.2% for a Mamelodi Sundowns win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Golden Arrows averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | 4.55 | 7.54 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 2.93 | 1.14 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.13 | 5.10 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.36 | 1.51 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 2.29 | 7.49 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 2.61 | 7.26 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.88 | 21.4 | 70.8 |
| HT X | 3.78 | 6.08 | 15.7 |
| HT 2 | 25.8 | 22.4 | 14.6 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 10.8 | 3.86 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.45 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.94 | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 3.41 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 6.73 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 14.0 | 1.02 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.13 | 4.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.84 |
| 2 | 1.44 | 2.43 |
| 2.25 | 1.68 | 2.00 |
| 2.75 | 2.18 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 3.25 | 3.06 | 1.29 |
| 3.75 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| 4.25 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
| 4.75 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.41 | 1.48 |
| -1.5 | 2.07 | 1.65 |
| -1.25 | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| -1 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
| -0.75 | 1.42 | 2.59 |
| -0.5 | 1.40 | 2.85 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.60 | 1.01 |
| -3.25 | 7.53 | 1.05 |
| -3 | 7.13 | 1.06 |
| -2.75 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| -2.5 | 3.82 | 1.20 |
| -2.25 | 3.43 | 1.25 |
| -2 | 3.04 | 1.31 |
| -0.25 | 1.20 | 3.81 |
| 0 | 1.09 | 6.08 |
| +0.25 | 1.07 | 6.65 |
| +0.5 | 1.12 | 6.00 |