Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants• League Cup, South-Africa

17:00Today · Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X5.00BFR210.41XBMargin at best3.1%Books8Markets58Rating70 · 30

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.32	4.85	8.50	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.28	5.00	9.00	9.2%
Dafabet	1.29	4.90	8.40	9.8%
1xBet	1.24	4.90	10.4	10.7%
Betfair	1.25	5.00	9.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.36	4.75	6.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.23	4.90	9.80	11.9%
William Hill	1.25	4.50	9.50	12.7%
Best of all books	1.36	5.00	10.4	3.1%
Average	1.28	4.85	8.82	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Mamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants

Last 1011Form pts · last 510Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model070Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 19:30 UTC

Mamelodi Sundowns

7W 3D 0L · goals 20:7 · per match 2.0 for, 0.7 against

23 Oct	H	Wiliete	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Wiliete	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Richards Bay	4-1	W
10 Oct	A	Orlando Pirates	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Al-Ahli Jeddah	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chippa United	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Siwelele	3-0	W
6 Sep	A	Golden Arrows	2-1	W
2 Sep	H	Milford FC	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Golden Arrows	3-2	W

Marumo Gallants

0W 4D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

17 Oct	A	Sekhukhune United	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Orlando Pirates	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Amazulu	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Polokwane City	2-2	D
25 Aug	H	TS Galaxy	2-3	L
19 Aug	A	Mamelodi Sundowns	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Stellenbosch	1-3	L
11 Aug	H	Kruger United	0-0	D
23 May	H	Stellenbosch	0-0	D
16 May	A	Polokwane City	1-1	D

Head to head

11Mamelodi Sundowns wins

5draws

0Marumo Gallants wins

16 meetings · goals 31:8 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Mamelodi Sundowns

19 Aug 2026Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Mamelodi Sundowns2-0Marumo Gallants
17 Mar 2026Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Mamelodi Sundowns3-1Marumo Gallants
4 Oct 2025League Cup	League Cup	Mamelodi Sundowns0-0Marumo Gallants
17 Sep 2025Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Marumo Gallants1-1Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Feb 2025Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Marumo Gallants1-3Mamelodi Sundowns
10 Nov 2024League Cup	League Cup	Marumo Gallants0-2Mamelodi Sundowns
24 Sep 2024Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Mamelodi Sundowns4-1Marumo Gallants
6 May 2023Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Marumo Gallants0-2Mamelodi Sundowns
2 Mar 2023Cup	Cup	Marumo Gallants1-3Mamelodi Sundowns
19 Oct 2022Premier Soccer League	Premier Soccer League	Mamelodi Sundowns1-0Marumo Gallants

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg171%1.28X19%4.85210%8.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.29 → 1.28 -0.8%X4.70 → 4.85 +3.2%29.00 → 8.82 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.71	2.09	6.3%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.71	2.20	3.9%
Average	1.66	2.11	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
1xBet	2.14	1.62	8.5%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.60	9.2%
Best of all books	2.14	1.75	3.9%
Average	2.07	1.67	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mamelodi Sundowns 50%Draw 50%Marumo Gallants 0%

The statistical model rates Mamelodi Sundowns at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Marumo Gallants at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.28 | 4.85 | 8.82, which imply roughly 78.1% for a Mamelodi Sundowns win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Mamelodi Sundowns averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Marumo Gallants averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mamelodi Sundowns or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.28	4.85	8.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.23	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
1.73	2.44	8.00

2nd half

1	X	2
1.55	2.97	7.81

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.82	19.8	64.0
HT X	3.80	7.04	17.4
HT 2	22.2	21.4	15.8

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.30	12.8	3.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.1
1.5	1.19	4.05
2.5	1.66	2.11
3.5	2.63	1.42
4.5	4.66	1.15
5.5	8.70	1.04
6.5	9.75	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.20
1	1.02	8.65
1.25	1.09	5.35
1.75	1.22	3.51
2	1.29	3.11
2.25	1.48	2.40
2.75	1.85	1.84
3	2.10	1.64
3.25	2.39	1.49
3.75	3.09	1.29
4	4.05	1.17
4.25	4.40	1.14
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.74	1.37
-2	2.45	1.47
-1.75	2.03	1.67
-1.5	1.87	1.86
-1.25	1.61	2.14
-1	1.41	2.63

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	7.20	1.03
-3.5	5.65	1.08
-3.25	5.30	1.09
-3	4.93	1.11
-2.75	3.58	1.21
-2.5	2.97	1.30
-0.75	1.31	3.01
-0.25	1.13	4.55
0	1.02	7.80

Next League Cup matches

27 Oct	Kaizer Chiefs – TS Galaxy
27 Oct	Orlando Pirates – Milford FC
28 Oct	Durban City – Stellenbosch

All League Cup fixtures and the table

Latest League Cup results

25 Oct	Sekhukhune United 3-1 Richards Bay
25 Oct	Kruger United 0-1 Amazulu