Leek Town vs
Morecambe• FA Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 13:14 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 4.30 | 1.66 | 6.8% |
| Betano | 4.10 | 4.05 | 1.67 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 4.18 | 4.35 | 1.57 | 10.6% |
| Pinnacle | 3.51 | 4.63 | 1.65 | 10.7% |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 11.7% |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.62 | 11.8% |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.40 | 1.47 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 4.35 | 1.55 | 11.9% |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.53 | 19.8% |
| Best of all books | 4.75 | 4.63 | 1.67 | 2.5% |
| Average | 4.07 | 4.20 | 1.59 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 06:00 UTC
Leek Town
5W 2D 3L · goals 23:21 · per match 2.3 for, 2.1 against
| 7 Nov | H | Ilkeston Town | 3-2 | W |
| 3 Nov | A | Guiseley AFC | 1-4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Curzon Ashton | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Bury | 3-5 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Bootle | 4-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Lancaster City | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Ashton United | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Oct | H | Rylands | 3-3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Worcester City | 2-0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Hyde United | 2-1 | W |
Morecambe
5W 2D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against
| 10 Nov | H | Hereford | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Nov | A | Hednesford Town | 2-6 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Scarborough Athletic | 2-0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Darlington 1883 | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Merthyr Town | 3-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Worksop Town | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Oct | H | Darlington 1883 | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Oxford City | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Southport | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Leek Town and Morecambe on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.62 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 2.55 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 1.45 | 2.50 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 2.56 | 10.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.37 | 2.13 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.45 | 2.62 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.42 | 2.49 | 10.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.47 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 1.50 | 2.37 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.42 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.15 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.47 | 7.2% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.37 | 10.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Leek Town at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Morecambe at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.07 | 4.20 | 1.59, which imply roughly 24.6% for a Leek Town win versus the model's 33%.
Over their last five matches, Leek Town averaged 3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Morecambe averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: No predictions available.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.07 | 4.20 | 1.59 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.03 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.25 | 2.54 | 2.05 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 2.84 | 1.92 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 6.65 | 15.6 | 18.4 |
| HT X | 10.2 | 7.65 | 4.82 |
| HT 2 | 33.5 | 15.3 | 2.32 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | 22.0 | 1.50 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 16.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.10 | 4.84 |
| 2.5 | 1.42 | 2.49 |
| 3.5 | 2.07 | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 3.32 | 1.22 |
| 5.5 | 5.78 | 1.06 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 12.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.10 | 5.07 |
| 2 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| 2.25 | 1.27 | 3.15 |
| 2.75 | 1.50 | 2.21 |
| 3 | 1.65 | 1.98 |
| 3.25 | 1.86 | 1.74 |
| 3.75 | 2.34 | 1.44 |
| 4 | 2.80 | 1.31 |
| 4.25 | 3.29 | 1.25 |
| 4.75 | 4.46 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 6.10 | 1.06 |
| 5.25 | 6.48 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.41 | 1.41 |
| +0.5 | 2.03 | 1.56 |
| +0.75 | 1.90 | 1.72 |
| +1 | 1.69 | 1.98 |
| +1.25 | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.40 | 2.44 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 8.20 | 1.02 |
| -0.75 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| -0.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 0 | 3.09 | 1.29 |
| +1.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| +2 | 1.16 | 4.10 |
| +2.25 | 1.13 | 4.50 |
| +2.5 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| +2.75 | 1.06 | 6.35 |
| +3 | 1.06 | 8.00 |
| +3.5 | 1.04 | 7.95 |