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Bourne Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting• FA Trophy, England

2.3:0.80-2FTToday1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.151XBX6.00B36521.33BTNMargin at best4.1%Books9Markets58Rating75 · 26Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 13:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet8.005.401.317.4%
Betano7.405.001.338.7%
William Hill7.505.001.3010.3%
1xBet8.155.451.2510.6%
Pinnacle6.815.421.2910.7%
Bet3655.756.001.3011.0%
Marathonbet7.805.451.2411.8%
Betfair8.005.001.2512.5%
BetVictor6.504.101.2519.8%
Best of all books8.156.001.334.1%
Average7.325.201.2811.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bourne TownBromsgrove Sporting
Last 1010Form pts · last 5132.3Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 50.082Attack rating180Defence rating10067Form rating330H2H rating00Goals model10075Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 10:50 UTC

Bourne Town

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

24 OctHBanbury United1-0W
26 SepAAlvechurch2-1W
12 SepHHanley Town3-2W
8 SepABoldmere St. Michaels1-2L
5 SepHBoldmere St. Michaels1-1D
29 AugANewcastle Town3-0W
25 AprABelper Town3-4L
18 AprHBoldmere St. Michaels2-3L
11 AprHCarlton Town1-2L
6 AprACorby Town1-0W

Bromsgrove Sporting

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

10 NovALeamington3-2W
7 NovHLeiston3-2W
31 OctALeighton Town5-1W
27 OctHStratford Town2-2D
24 OctAAnstey Nomads1-0W
17 OctHBanbury United1-1D
13 OctHKettering Town2-1W
10 OctAReal Bedford1-1D
3 OctABury1-2L
29 SepHLeamington1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bourne Town and Bromsgrove Sporting on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.32X17%5.20270%1.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Nov 10:5014 Nov 13:501 7.32X 5.202 1.28
17.25 → 7.32 +1.0%X5.16 → 5.20 +0.8%21.28 → 1.28 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Pinnacle1.442.558.7%
Betano1.472.429.3%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
BetVictor1.382.1020.1%
Best of all books1.502.555.9%
Average1.442.4310.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.751.958.4%
Betano1.781.908.8%
Marathonbet1.751.929.2%
BetVictor1.601.7519.6%
Best of all books1.782.006.2%
Average1.721.9010.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bourne Town 35%Draw 35%Bromsgrove Sporting 30%

The statistical model rated Bourne Town at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Bromsgrove Sporting at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.32 | 5.20 | 1.28, which imply roughly 13.7% for a Bourne Town win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Bourne Town averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Bromsgrove Sporting averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bourne Town and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
7.325.201.28

Double chance

1XX212
3.241.061.11

Draw no bet

12
4.731.10

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.90

1st half

1X2
6.812.671.69

2nd half

1X2
6.393.111.58

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 113.220.319.4
HT X16.68.584.13
HT 253.019.61.76

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.4221.01.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0115.0
1.51.114.63
2.51.442.43
3.52.101.58
4.53.331.21
5.55.731.06
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.751.124.75
21.144.30
2.251.282.83
2.751.512.18
31.671.95
3.251.881.72
3.752.361.44
42.831.30
4.253.251.26
4.754.401.14
55.901.07
5.256.201.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.491.39
+1.252.051.59
+1.51.841.81
+1.751.631.98
+21.442.33
+2.251.382.69
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.758.981.01
-0.256.051.06
06.301.06
+0.254.201.15
+0.752.931.32
+2.51.312.92
+2.751.213.59
+31.114.80
+3.251.105.20
+3.51.085.50
+3.751.047.10
+4.51.0210.5

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