Ilbirs vs Toktogul• Premier League, Kyrgyzstan

#120.2:2.812:30Today1.2:2.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.281XBX3.601XB22.451XBMargin at best12.5%Books1Markets8Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Nov 00:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.28	3.60	2.45	12.5%
Best of all books	2.28	3.60	2.45	12.5%
Average	2.28	3.60	2.45	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IlbirsToktogul

Last 10#12Table position#111.04Points per game1.111Form pts · last 530.2Goals for · last 51.22.8Goals against · last 52.214Attack rating8644Defence rating5625Form rating750H2H rating10069Goals model3138Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Nov 04:00 UTC

Ilbirs

2W 4D 4L · goals 8:17 · per match 0.8 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	A	Neftchi	0-3	L
23 Oct	H	Kara-Balta	1-1	D
17 Oct	A	Alga	0-6	L
8 Oct	H	Bars	0-3	L
1 Oct	A	Abdish-Ata	0-1	L
17 Sep	A	Asiagoal	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Bishkek City	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Muras United	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Dordoi Bishkek	3-0	W
11 Aug	H	Asia Talas	1-1	D

Toktogul

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

31 Oct	H	Dordoi Bishkek	2-3	L
27 Oct	A	Bars	0-3	L
19 Oct	A	Neftchi	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Abdish-Ata	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Asia Talas	0-2	L
4 Sep	H	Talant	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Kara-Balta	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	OshMU Aldier	2-1	W
18 Aug	H	Asiagoal	3-2	W
11 Aug	H	Alga	1-0	W

Head to head

0Ilbirs wins

0draws

1Toktogul wins

1 meeting · goals 2:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Ilbirs

6 Mar 2026Premier League

Premier League

Toktogul3-2Ilbirs

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 3 Nov 04:00 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ilbirs sit 12th with 29 points from 28 games, while Toktogul are 11th with 31 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alga	29	18	8	3	58:28	+30	62
2	Bars	28	19	4	5	75:36	+39	61
3	Asia Talas	29	17	7	5	64:42	+22	58
4	Ozgon	28	18	3	7	58:34	+24	57
5	Muras United	28	16	8	4	54:26	+28	56
6	Alay	29	12	8	9	39:37	+2	44
7	Neftchi	29	13	3	13	44:45	-1	42
8	Bishkek City	29	9	10	10	35:36	-1	37
9	Talant	29	9	9	11	39:33	+6	36
10	Dordoi Bishkek	28	9	6	13	42:41	+1	33
11	Toktogul	28	9	4	15	32:46	-14	31
12	Ilbirs	28	6	11	11	30:48	-18	29
13	OshMU Aldier	29	7	7	15	35:58	-23	28
14	Asiagoal	28	5	9	14	35:48	-13	24
15	Abdish-Ata	29	5	6	18	23:51	-28	21
16	Kara-Balta	28	1	7	20	20:74	-54	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.28X25%3.60236%2.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Best of all books	1.63	2.09	9.2%
Average	1.63	2.09	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.54	2.25	9.4%
Best of all books	1.54	2.25	9.4%
Average	1.54	2.25	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ilbirs 10%Draw 45%Toktogul 45%

The statistical model rates Ilbirs at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Toktogul at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.60 | 2.45, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ilbirs are 12th (29 pts, 30-48 goals), Toktogul 11th (31 pts, 32-46).

Over their last five matches, Ilbirs averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Toktogul averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Toktogul.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.60	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.46	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.34	2.94

2nd half

1	X	2
2.73	2.46	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.63	2.09
3	2.11	1.62

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.77	1.90

Latest Premier League results

2 Nov	Abdish-Ata 2-0 Bishkek City
27 Oct	Muras United 1-0 Abdish-Ata
17 Oct	Alga 6-0 Ilbirs
15 Oct	Toktogul 2-0 Abdish-Ata
9 Oct	Asia Talas 2-0 Toktogul