Alga vs Ilbirs• Premier League, Kyrgyzstan

#21.8:1.66-0FT17/101.2:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.391XBX4.561XB25.871XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets13Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.39	4.56	5.87	10.9%
Best of all books	1.39	4.56	5.87	10.9%
Average	1.39	4.56	5.87	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlgaIlbirs

Last 10#2Table position#122.07Points per game1.0710Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.060Attack rating4038Defence rating6256Form rating4438H2H rating6277Goals model2353Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:50 UTC

Alga

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

13 Oct	H	Muras United	3-2	W
8 Oct	H	Asiagoal	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	Kara-Balta	0-0	D
7 Sep	A	Asia Talas	2-1	W
1 Sep	A	Neftchi	1-3	L
24 Aug	A	Bishkek City	3-1	W
11 Aug	A	Toktogul	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Bars	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Abdish-Ata	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Dordoi Bishkek	2-1	W

Ilbirs

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

8 Oct	H	Bars	0-3	L
17 Sep	A	Asiagoal	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Bishkek City	1-1	D
19 Aug	A	Muras United	1-1	D
15 Aug	H	Dordoi Bishkek	3-0	W
11 Aug	H	Asia Talas	1-1	D
7 Aug	A	Talant	2-0	W
1 Aug	H	OshMU Aldier	4-0	W
25 Jul	A	Ozgon	1-5	L
10 Jul	H	Ozgon	0-1	L

Head to head

14Alga wins

6draws

6Ilbirs wins

26 meetings · goals 45:28 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Alga

3 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs2-2Alga
23 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-1Alga
2 Jul 2025Premier League	Premier League	Alga2-1Ilbirs
24 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-0Alga
21 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Alga1-2Ilbirs
30 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-1Alga
17 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-5Alga
11 Aug 2023Premier League	Premier League	Alga0-3Ilbirs
2 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-3Alga
6 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Ilbirs1-2Alga

Premier League tableRegular Seasonupdated 26 Oct 10:30 UTC

In the Premier League table, Alga sit 2nd with 56 points from 27 games, while Ilbirs are 12th with 29 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bars	27	18	4	5	72:36	+36	58
2	Alga	27	16	8	3	54:28	+26	56
3	Ozgon	26	17	3	6	56:33	+23	54
4	Muras United	26	15	8	3	53:24	+29	53
5	Asia Talas	27	15	7	5	59:40	+19	52
6	Alay	27	11	8	8	34:34	0	41
7	Bishkek City	27	9	9	9	35:34	+1	36
8	Neftchi	27	11	3	13	38:44	-6	36
9	Talant	27	8	9	10	35:29	+6	33
10	Toktogul	26	9	4	13	30:40	-10	31
11	Dordoi Bishkek	26	8	5	13	39:39	0	29
12	Ilbirs	27	6	11	10	30:45	-15	29
13	OshMU Aldier	27	7	7	13	35:54	-19	28
14	Asiagoal	27	5	9	13	35:46	-11	24
15	Abdish-Ata	27	4	6	17	21:50	-29	18
16	Kara-Balta	27	1	7	19	20:70	-50	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X20%4.56215%5.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.39	9.4%
Best of all books	1.48	2.39	9.4%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.63	2.08	9.4%
Best of all books	1.63	2.08	9.4%
Average	1.63	2.08	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alga 35%Draw 35%Ilbirs 30%

The statistical model rated Alga at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Ilbirs at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.56 | 5.87, which imply roughly 71.9% for a Alga win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Alga are 2nd (56 pts, 54-28 goals), Ilbirs 12th (29 pts, 30-45).

Over their last five matches, Alga averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Ilbirs averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Alga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.56	5.87

Double chance

X2	12
2.52	1.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.63	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.63	5.57

2nd half

1	X	2
1.76	2.78	5.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.48	2.39
3	1.81	1.85
3.5	2.34	1.50
4	3.52	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.22	1.56
-1	1.70	1.98

Next Premier League matches

27 Oct

Muras United – Abdish-Ata

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

15 Oct	Toktogul 2-0 Abdish-Ata
9 Oct	Asia Talas 2-0 Toktogul