La Luz vs Miramar• Segunda División, Uruguay

#91.4:1.03-0FT25/101.0:0.6#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00WHX3.30BTN23.75BFRMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets45Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 20:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.00	3.35	3.70	6.9%
Pinnacle	2.00	3.22	3.75	7.7%
Betano	2.00	3.25	3.55	8.9%
BetVictor	2.00	3.13	3.70	9.0%
1xBet	1.94	3.14	3.64	10.9%
William Hill	2.00	3.00	3.60	11.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.10	3.70	11.6%
Bet365	1.90	3.25	3.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.92	3.14	3.54	12.2%
Best of all books	2.00	3.35	3.75	6.5%
Average	1.96	3.18	3.63	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

La LuzMiramar

Last 10#9Table position#101.17Points per game0.8310Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.658Attack rating4238Defence rating6350Form rating5088H2H rating1348Goals model5259Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 06:10 UTC

La Luz

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

17 Oct	A	Tacuarembo	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	Plaza Colonia	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	CA River Plate	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Cerrito	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Atenas	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Paysandu	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Sportivo Huracan	1-3	L
29 Aug	A	Uruguay Montevideo	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Oriental	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Colón	1-2	L

Miramar

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:9 · per match 1.6 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	A	Eastern Suburbs	4-1	W
17 Oct	H	Cerrito	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Auckland City	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Atenas	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Ferrymead Bays	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Paysandu	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Auckland FC 2	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Sportivo Huracan	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Napier City Rovers	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Uruguay Montevideo	1-0	W

Head to head

2La Luz wins

1draws

0Miramar wins

3 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for La Luz

26 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar0-1La Luz
29 Jul 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Miramar1-1La Luz
8 May 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	La Luz3-1Miramar

Segunda División table1st Phaseupdated 26 Oct 01:50 UTC

In the Segunda División table, La Luz sit 9th with 7 points from 6 games, while Miramar are 10th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	8:5	+3	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9:2	+7	12
3	Fenix	6	3	2	1	13:7	+6	11
4	Sportivo Huracan	6	2	4	0	9:6	+3	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	8:5	+3	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	7:5	+2	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	8:8	0	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	5:6	-1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	3:7	-4	5
11	Paysandu	6	1	1	4	4:7	-3	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4
14	Tacuarembo	6	0	3	3	5:9	-4	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.96X29%3.18225%3.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.45 → 1.96 -20.0%X3.01 → 3.17 +5.3%22.63 → 3.60 +36.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.31	1.60	5.8%
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
BetVictor	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Betano	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.31	1.62	5.0%
Average	2.22	1.59	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Betano	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Best of all books	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Average	1.95	1.73	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

La Luz 45%Draw 45%Miramar 10%

The statistical model rated La Luz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Miramar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.18 | 3.63, which imply roughly 51% for a La Luz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: La Luz are 9th (7 pts, 5-6 goals), Miramar 10th (5 pts, 3-7).

Over their last five matches, La Luz averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Miramar averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : La Luz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.18	3.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.73	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.96	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	2.00	4.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.36	2.26	4.02

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.18	15.8	41.0
HT X	4.81	4.54	7.88
HT 2	26.8	15.8	6.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	7.75	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.18
1.5	1.39	2.75
2.5	2.22	1.59
3.5	4.21	1.18
4.5	8.25	1.05
5.5	23.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.40
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.49	2.40
2	1.67	2.06
2.25	1.94	1.76
2.75	2.58	1.42
3	3.39	1.25
3.25	3.78	1.19
3.75	4.90	1.14
4	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.95	1.34
-0.75	2.28	1.56
-0.5	1.96	1.79
-0.25	1.69	2.04
0	1.42	2.64
+0.25	1.31	3.10

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	6.80	1.10
-2	7.53	1.05
-1.75	4.40	1.20
-1.5	3.78	1.21
-1.25	3.34	1.27
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.14	4.63
+1	1.05	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.85	1.85

Next Segunda División matches

26 Oct

Paysandu – Colón

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

25 Oct	Cerrito 2-2 Rentistas
25 Oct	Atenas 4-0 Fenix
25 Oct	Sportivo Huracan 3-2 Oriental
24 Oct	Plaza Colonia 1-1 Tacuarembo
24 Oct	CA River Plate 1-2 Uruguay Montevideo
18 Oct	Oriental 1-1 Uruguay Montevideo