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Port Vale vs Scunthorpe• FA Cup, England

0.0:0.01-0LiveToday · Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent3.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.59DAFX4.30DAF25.75B365Margin at best3.5%Books10Markets89Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.584.405.603.9%
Pinnacle1.564.325.605.1%
Bet3651.554.205.506.5%
1xBet1.574.155.217.0%
Betano1.574.205.107.1%
Marathonbet1.554.155.307.5%
Betfair1.534.205.009.2%
BetVictor1.533.905.2510.0%
William Hill1.533.905.0011.0%
SBO1.523.654.6714.6%
Best of all books1.584.405.603.9%
Average1.554.115.228.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Port ValeScunthorpe
Last 1010Form pts · last 540.0Goals for · last 53.00.0Goals against · last 51.00Attack rating100100Defence rating00Form rating10060H2H rating400Goals model055Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

Port Vale

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

31 OctHRochdale4-2W
27 OctHManchester City U215-0W
24 OctAYork0-2L
20 OctAGillingham1-1D
17 OctHChesterfield1-0W
10 OctHGrimsby1-0W
6 OctHMansfield Town2-0W
22 SepAChesterfield1-1D
19 SepAWalsall0-2L
12 SepHExeter City1-0W

Scunthorpe

2W 2D 6L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

3 NovHWolves U212-2D
31 OctABoston United1-2L
27 OctATamworth1-4L
24 OctHWoking2-3L
17 OctABoston United3-1W
13 OctHDerby County U212-2D
10 OctAAFC Fylde0-2L
29 SepABarrow0-3L
26 SepHHartlepool4-1W
19 SepAAFC Hornchurch0-1L

Head to head

4Port Vale wins
4draws
5Scunthorpe wins

13 meetings · goals 16:17 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Port Vale

29 Jan 2022League TwoLeague TwoPort Vale1-0Scunthorpe
25 Sep 2021League TwoLeague TwoScunthorpe0-1Port Vale
26 Jan 2021League TwoLeague TwoScunthorpe2-0Port Vale
17 Nov 2020League TwoLeague TwoPort Vale0-1Scunthorpe
5 Sep 2020League CupLeague CupScunthorpe1-2Port Vale
29 Feb 2020League TwoLeague TwoPort Vale2-2Scunthorpe
23 Nov 2019League TwoLeague TwoScunthorpe2-1Port Vale
28 Jan 2017League OneLeague OneScunthorpe3-2Port Vale
27 Aug 2016League OneLeague OnePort Vale3-1Scunthorpe
30 Apr 2016League OneLeague OneScunthorpe1-0Port Vale

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.55X23%4.11218%5.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 00:306 Nov 07:001 1.55X 4.092 5.21
11.55 → 1.55 0.0%X4.09 → 4.09 0.0%25.07 → 5.21 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.125.3%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
Betano1.722.105.8%
Betfair1.652.206.1%
1xBet1.672.136.8%
Marathonbet1.672.136.8%
BetVictor1.672.107.5%
Best of all books1.732.203.3%
Average1.692.136.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.055.9%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.712.028.0%
Betano1.781.938.0%
Marathonbet1.711.998.7%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.741.997.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Port Vale 45%Draw 45%Scunthorpe 10%

The statistical model rates Port Vale at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Scunthorpe at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 4.11 | 5.22, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Port Vale win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Port Vale averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Scunthorpe averaged 3 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Port Vale

3-5-2

Coach: J. Brady

Goalkeeper

  • 20M. Maroši

Defence

  • 25C. Humphreys
  • 4J. Moon
  • 5C. Hall

Midfield

  • 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  • 38R. Walters
  • 7G. Byers
  • 33G. Hall
  • 3J. Headley

Attack

  • 11O. Hernández
  • 24K. Figueroa
Substitutes (9)
  • 36M. Watters
  • 27M. Asamoah
  • 42Charlie Bussel
  • 15L. Gordon
  • 2K. John
  • 14O. Lynch
  • 12A. McGowan
  • 22L. Montsma
  • 1J. Smith

Scunthorpe

4-2-3-1

Coach: Jacob Butterfield

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Jones

Defence

  • 2Oliver Rose
  • 4Seri Jéan Leroy-Belehouan
  • 5W. Evans
  • 33T. Denton

Midfield

  • 21J. Starbuck
  • 17D. Batty
  • 14P. Jones
  • 8A. Beestin
  • 10L. Brennan

Attack

  • 9James Norwood
Substitutes (9)
  • 19J. Richards
  • 12H. Parker
  • 7D. Howe
  • 31J. Gale
  • 15S. Ashbee
  • 25M. Campbell
  • 30R. Clayton
  • 24H Shipstone
  • 16T. Sellars-Fleming

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.554.115.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.331.20

Draw no bet

12
1.214.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.99

1st half

1X2
2.042.355.24

2nd half

1X2
1.882.714.84

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3115.543.4
HT X4.426.4311.4
HT 220.616.08.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4714.12.83

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.7
1.51.204.05
2.51.692.13
3.52.671.42
4.54.951.15
5.59.271.04
6.517.81.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.70
1.251.085.60
1.751.213.59
21.273.20
2.251.492.47
2.751.861.88
32.131.65
3.252.391.51
3.753.101.29
44.001.17
4.254.351.15
4.755.901.07
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.471.49
-1.252.201.61
-11.931.84
-0.751.672.08
-0.51.552.42
-0.251.372.85
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.371.04
-38.501.01
-2.755.931.09
-2.54.551.15
-2.254.251.17
-23.901.21
-1.752.981.35
01.204.07
+0.251.154.45
+0.51.155.50
+0.751.076.60
+11.029.50
+1.51.0210.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0115.0
5.51.038.50
6.51.085.57
7.51.233.59
8.51.452.53
9.51.791.92
10.52.271.56
11.53.061.31
12.54.361.15
13.56.451.05
14.58.501.03
15.511.01.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.39
71.085.14
7.251.154.12
7.751.243.34
81.273.15
8.251.362.75
8.751.512.35
91.582.26
9.251.692.04
9.751.881.82
102.011.74
10.252.131.63
10.752.431.47
112.691.38
11.252.841.34
11.753.341.24
123.871.17
12.254.051.16
12.754.911.09
135.981.05
13.256.181.04

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