Altrincham vs Notts County• FA Cup, England

3.0:1.017:30Today · Moss Lane, Altrincham0.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50B365X4.11PIN21.76PINMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets89Rating22 · 79Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 23:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.50	4.00	1.76	4.0%
Pinnacle	4.13	4.11	1.76	5.4%
Betfair	4.20	4.00	1.73	6.6%
Bet365	4.50	3.75	1.73	6.7%
1xBet	4.22	4.05	1.71	6.9%
Betano	4.30	3.75	1.75	7.1%
Marathonbet	4.25	4.05	1.69	7.4%
William Hill	4.00	3.75	1.73	9.5%
BetVictor	4.33	3.70	1.67	10.0%
SBO	3.86	3.39	1.62	17.1%
Best of all books	4.50	4.11	1.76	3.4%
Average	4.23	3.86	1.72	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AltrinchamNotts County

Last 108Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 50.0100Attack rating00Defence rating100100Form rating020H2H rating800Goals model022Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

Altrincham

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

31 Oct	H	Carlisle	2-4	L
27 Oct	H	Kidderminster Harriers	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Yeovil Town	2-1	W
20 Oct	A	United of Manchester	6-2	W
17 Oct	H	United of Manchester	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Aldershot Town	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Boreham Wood	1-3	L
29 Sep	A	Gateshead	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	AFC Hornchurch	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	AFC Fylde	2-1	W

Notts County

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

31 Oct	A	Mansfield Town	2-0	W
24 Oct	H	Stockport County	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	Sheffield Wednesday	2-0	W
17 Oct	A	Wycombe	0-2	L
13 Oct	H	Nottingham Forest U21	5-1	W
10 Oct	H	Oxford United	1-2	L
22 Sep	H	Grimsby	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Reading	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Bradford	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Huddersfield	1-1	D

Head to head

1Altrincham wins

1draws

5Notts County wins

7 meetings · goals 5:14 · last 7: 1W 1D 5L for Altrincham

28 Mar 2023National League	National League	Altrincham0-2Notts County
1 Oct 2022National League	National League	Notts County3-1Altrincham
7 May 2022National League	National League	Notts County3-0Altrincham
18 Dec 2021FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Notts County2-1Altrincham
25 Sep 2021National League	National League	Altrincham1-0Notts County
1 May 2021National League	National League	Altrincham1-1Notts County
7 Oct 2020National League	National League	Notts County3-1Altrincham

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.23X24%3.85254%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.18 → 4.23 +1.2%X3.90 → 3.85 -1.3%21.71 → 1.72 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.13	5.8%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.12	7.1%
BetVictor	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.68	2.13	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Betano	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.65	2.11	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Altrincham 0%Draw 50%Notts County 50%

The statistical model rates Altrincham at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Notts County at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.23 | 3.85 | 1.72, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Altrincham averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Notts County averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Notts County and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.23	3.85	1.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.05	1.19	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
3.26	1.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
4.43	2.32	2.23

2nd half

1	X	2
4.18	2.64	2.04

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.15	14.7	20.6
HT X	9.71	6.13	4.67
HT 2	36.6	14.2	2.59

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.55	14.5	1.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.8
1.5	1.20	4.15
2.5	1.68	2.13
3.5	2.66	1.42
4.5	4.93	1.15
5.5	9.23	1.05
6.5	17.6	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.90
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.21	3.59
2	1.27	3.20
2.25	1.48	2.48
2.75	1.86	1.87
3	2.11	1.66
3.25	2.40	1.50
3.75	3.10	1.29
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.41	1.14
4.75	6.00	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.44	1.49
+0.5	2.09	1.72
+0.75	1.85	1.88
+1	1.61	2.26
+1.25	1.46	2.53
+1.5	1.37	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.90	1.05
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.75	5.47	1.11
-0.5	4.50	1.19
-0.25	3.66	1.24
0	3.20	1.30
+1.75	1.26	3.50
+2	1.14	4.68
+2.25	1.12	5.15
+2.5	1.11	5.56
+2.75	1.04	7.10
+3	1.02	10.5
+3.5	1.02	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	2.25	1.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	10.0
6.5	1.05	6.42
7.5	1.19	3.95
8.5	1.38	2.73
9.5	1.70	2.04
10.5	2.13	1.63
11.5	2.82	1.36
12.5	3.85	1.19
13.5	5.56	1.08
14.5	7.50	1.05
15.5	10.0	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.04	6.06
7	1.05	5.80
7.25	1.11	4.58
7.75	1.20	3.66
8	1.22	3.48
8.25	1.30	2.99
8.75	1.44	2.52
9	1.51	2.38
9.25	1.60	2.18
9.75	1.78	1.92
10	1.92	1.84
10.25	2.00	1.72
10.75	2.26	1.55
11	2.47	1.48
11.25	2.61	1.41
11.75	3.04	1.29
12	3.46	1.22
12.25	3.63	1.20
12.75	4.36	1.13
13	5.22	1.08
13.25	5.42	1.07

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