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Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town• FA Cup, England

15:00Today · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.50BTNX5.02PIN26.18PINMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets91Rating61 · 40

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.504.806.004.2%
Pinnacle1.455.026.185.1%
Bet3651.484.506.006.5%
Betano1.504.505.606.7%
1xBet1.474.555.877.0%
Marathonbet1.464.555.857.6%
BetVictor1.444.336.009.2%
Betfair1.444.605.509.4%
William Hill1.444.405.5010.4%
SBO1.424.015.1314.9%
Best of all books1.505.026.182.8%
Average1.464.535.767.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Last 1012Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model061Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 01:30 UTC

Milton Keynes Dons

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:13 · per match 2.6 for, 1.3 against

31 OctHDoncaster6-1W
27 OctHBromley4-1W
24 OctAStevenage1-0W
20 OctABlackpool0-2L
17 OctHLuton2-1W
10 OctHReading1-5L
6 OctHBrentford U217-1W
22 SepHCrawley Town4-1W
17 SepAAFC Wimbledon0-0D
12 SepHPeterborough1-1D

Swindon Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

31 OctHRotherham2-1W
24 OctABristol Rovers0-0D
20 OctABarnet3-1W
17 OctHWalsall1-1D
10 OctHCrewe0-1L
3 OctARochdale0-1L
26 SepHAccrington ST1-1D
22 SepHNewport County0-2L
19 SepASalford City0-1L
15 SepHCrystal Palace U211-2L

Head to head

12Milton Keynes Dons wins
4draws
3Swindon Town wins

19 meetings · goals 37:21 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Milton Keynes Dons

14 Mar 2026League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town1-2Milton Keynes Dons
26 Dec 2025League TwoLeague TwoMilton Keynes Dons1-0Swindon Town
11 Nov 2025EFL TrophyEFL TrophyMilton Keynes Dons0-4Swindon Town
3 May 2025League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town0-0Milton Keynes Dons
9 Nov 2024League TwoLeague TwoMilton Keynes Dons3-1Swindon Town
17 Feb 2024League TwoLeague TwoSwindon Town1-2Milton Keynes Dons
28 Oct 2023League TwoLeague TwoMilton Keynes Dons3-2Swindon Town
24 Apr 2021League OneLeague OneMilton Keynes Dons5-0Swindon Town
29 Dec 2020League OneLeague OneSwindon Town1-4Milton Keynes Dons
9 Feb 2019League TwoLeague TwoMilton Keynes Dons2-3Swindon Town

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.46X20%4.53216%5.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 01:307 Nov 14:101 1.46X 4.532 5.76
11.47 → 1.46 -0.7%X4.46 → 4.53 +1.6%25.60 → 5.76 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.512.575.1%
Bet3651.572.385.7%
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Betano1.572.356.2%
1xBet1.542.387.0%
Marathonbet1.542.387.0%
BetVictor1.502.457.5%
Best of all books1.572.572.6%
Average1.532.446.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.662.098.1%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
Marathonbet1.662.068.8%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.672.087.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Milton Keynes Dons 45%Draw 45%Swindon Town 10%

The statistical model rates Milton Keynes Dons at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Swindon Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.46 | 4.53 | 5.76, which imply roughly 68.5% for a Milton Keynes Dons win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Milton Keynes Dons averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Swindon Town averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Milton Keynes Dons or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Coach: P. Warne

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. MacGillivray

Defence

  • 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
  • 21M. Ekpiteta
  • 5C. Goode
  • 32J. Sanders

Midfield

  • 24R. Wintle
  • 7D. Crowley
  • 8A. Gilbey

Attack

  • 17S. Silvera
  • 10A. Collins
  • 9S. Nombe
Substitutes (9)
  • 4D. Barlaser
  • 15C. Bramall
  • 22I. Fullah
  • 2G. Jones
  • 28J. Matete
  • 35C. Nelson
  • 13C. Paterson
  • 51S. Stacey
  • 26B. Wiles

Swindon Town

3-4-3

Coach: Ian Holloway

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Ripley

Defence

  • 26D. Butler
  • 2M. Clark
  • 5S. Negru

Midfield

  • 6J. Ball
  • 33Joel McGregor
  • 27A. Munda
  • 19J. Snowdon
  • 25J. Thomson
  • 24M. Virtue-Thick

Attack

  • 23A. Drinan
Substitutes (8)
  • 28O. Palmer
  • 7T. Nichols
  • 39L. Millard
  • 21K. Majekodunmi
  • 29A. Hackford
  • 38Lucas Griffiths-Brown
  • 22J. Pearman
  • 12Lewis Moore Ward

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.464.535.76

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.581.17

Draw no bet

12
1.174.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.08

1st half

1X2
1.912.525.53

2nd half

1X2
1.772.895.12

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1115.744.6
HT X4.417.2212.7
HT 219.116.510.1

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4217.52.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0214.4
1.51.154.93
2.51.532.44
3.52.311.55
4.54.011.21
5.57.501.06
6.514.81.02
7.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0210.0
1.251.066.25
1.751.164.14
21.203.75
2.251.362.78
2.751.632.14
31.851.88
3.252.041.67
3.752.631.38
43.201.26
4.253.501.22
4.754.751.12
56.301.06

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.551.46
-1.52.211.60
-1.251.951.78
-11.732.07
-0.751.542.35
-0.51.462.71
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.231.05
-36.601.07
-2.754.771.14
-2.53.791.21
-2.253.531.25
-23.201.30
-0.251.303.25
01.154.48
+0.251.135.03
+0.51.135.90
+0.751.046.90
+11.0110.5
+1.51.0211.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0110.0
6.51.047.09
7.51.144.47
8.51.313.05
9.51.572.24
10.51.951.77
11.52.491.46
12.53.411.25
13.55.121.10
14.57.111.04
15.59.001.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.89
71.026.95
7.251.075.35
7.751.144.23
81.164.02
8.251.233.38
8.751.342.82
91.392.67
9.251.482.40
9.751.652.10
101.751.99
10.251.841.86
10.752.061.68
112.251.58
11.252.341.51
11.752.691.38
123.001.30
12.253.161.27
12.753.741.19
134.371.13
13.254.561.12
13.755.531.06
146.791.02
14.257.001.02

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