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Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon• FA Cup, England

15:00Today · Alexandra Stadium, Crewe

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50BTNX3.40DAF23.10B365Margin at best1.7%Books10Markets80Rating36 · 64

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 11:59 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.363.403.104.0%
Pinnacle2.413.303.074.4%
Bet3652.303.303.106.0%
1xBet2.363.342.896.9%
Betano2.323.302.957.3%
Marathonbet2.343.342.887.4%
Betfair2.303.302.908.3%
BetVictor2.253.202.9010.2%
William Hill2.303.002.8811.5%
SBO2.163.022.8115.0%
Best of all books2.413.403.103.2%
Average2.313.252.958.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CreweAFC Wimbledon
Last 107Form pts · last 510Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating036H2H rating640Goals model036Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Nov 00:01 UTC

Crewe

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

31 OctHBarnet1-1D
24 OctAChesterfield1-5L
20 OctAExeter City0-2L
17 OctHRochdale3-2W
10 OctASwindon Town1-0W
6 OctABlackpool2-2D
3 OctHBristol Rovers3-1W
26 SepARotherham1-1D
22 SepHAston Villa U214-1W
19 SepHShrewsbury1-1D

AFC Wimbledon

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

31 OctAStockport County1-2L
27 OctHArsenal U211-2L
24 OctHWycombe1-1D
20 OctHMansfield Town0-3L
17 OctASheffield Wednesday0-5L
10 OctAPlymouth1-2L
6 OctHBarnet0-0D
26 SepACambridge United1-1D
17 SepHMilton Keynes Dons0-0D
12 SepHDoncaster1-0W

Head to head

3Crewe wins
7draws
2AFC Wimbledon wins

12 meetings · goals 19:18 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Crewe

11 Feb 2025League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon3-0Crewe
28 Jan 2025League TwoLeague TwoCrewe1-1AFC Wimbledon
23 Mar 2024League TwoLeague TwoCrewe1-1AFC Wimbledon
16 Sep 2023League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon2-2Crewe
7 Jan 2023League TwoLeague TwoCrewe0-0AFC Wimbledon
25 Oct 2022League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon1-1Crewe
15 Apr 2022League OneLeague OneCrewe3-1AFC Wimbledon
23 Nov 2021League OneLeague OneAFC Wimbledon3-2Crewe
23 Jan 2021League OneLeague OneCrewe1-1AFC Wimbledon
19 Dec 2020League OneLeague OneAFC Wimbledon1-2Crewe

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.32X29%3.24232%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Nov 00:007 Nov 03:101 2.32X 3.242 2.93
12.50 → 2.32 -7.2%X3.26 → 3.24 -0.6%22.65 → 2.93 +10.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.001.844.3%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
Betano2.001.786.2%
SBO2.001.786.2%
1xBet1.951.797.1%
Marathonbet1.951.797.1%
BetVictor1.911.778.9%
Best of all books2.001.844.3%
Average1.981.796.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.105.4%
Bet3651.752.007.1%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.988.0%
Betano1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.741.958.8%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.741.997.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Crewe 0%Draw 50%AFC Wimbledon 50%

The statistical model rates Crewe at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and AFC Wimbledon at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.24 | 2.93, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Crewe averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; AFC Wimbledon averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Wimbledon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Crewe

Coach: Lee Bell

Goalkeeper

  • 13I. Lawlor

Defence

  • 2L. Billington
  • 6L. Offord
  • 3R. Hutchinson

Midfield

  • 8C. Thomas
  • 12Josh Stephenson
  • 17M. Holíček
  • 10J. White

Attack

  • 23C. McNeill
  • 9J. March
  • 14J. Gibson
Substitutes (9)
  • 20Calum Agius
  • 1T. Booth
  • 30S. Dancey
  • –Jones
  • 19O. Lunt
  • 27Patrick Mlynarski
  • 11J. Tabiner
  • 29A. Thibaut
  • 4Kyle Ure

AFC Wimbledon

Coach: J. Jackson

Goalkeeper

  • 39J. Bursik

Defence

  • 6R. Johnson
  • 33I. Ogundere
  • 3S. Seddon

Midfield

  • 5O. Harrison
  • 12A. Smith
  • 7J. Tilley

Attack

  • 23H. Cornick
  • 21M. Hippolyte
  • 29A. Sasu
  • 9J. Stockley
Substitutes (9)
  • 22riley moran
  • 8C. Maycock
  • 20J. McDonnell
  • 19Donnell McNeilly
  • 10Z. Nelson
  • 2S. Sessegnon
  • 15F. Simmonds
  • 17A. Yiadom
  • 34Harry Hedges

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.313.252.95

Double chance

1XX212
1.361.561.30

Draw no bet

12
1.652.12

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.741.99

1st half

1X2
2.922.133.47

2nd half

1X2
2.702.393.16

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7113.630.9
HT X5.555.006.83
HT 226.513.64.75

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.909.502.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.059.15
1.51.293.31
2.51.981.79
3.53.391.28
4.56.761.08
5.513.11.03
6.523.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.40
11.027.70
1.251.154.31
1.751.352.80
21.482.51
2.251.712.04
2.752.231.60
32.721.41
3.253.001.31
3.754.111.17
45.701.08
4.256.051.06
510.51.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.741.41
-0.52.311.60
-0.251.981.78
01.682.11
+0.251.502.50
+0.51.412.90
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.901.02
-1.755.931.09
-1.54.631.15
-1.254.151.19
-13.671.23
+0.751.263.59
+11.135.22
+1.251.105.64
+1.51.096.13
+1.751.027.90
+21.0111.5
+2.51.0211.8

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0115.0
5.51.038.50
6.51.085.61
7.51.223.65
8.51.432.55
9.51.761.96
10.52.241.57
11.53.021.32
12.54.341.15
13.56.401.06
14.58.501.03
15.511.01.01
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.075.45
71.085.20
7.251.144.17
7.751.243.36
81.273.18
8.251.362.77
8.751.502.36
91.572.27
9.251.682.06
9.751.871.83
101.991.77
10.252.121.64
10.752.411.48
112.621.42
11.252.811.35
11.753.301.25
123.821.18
12.254.001.16
12.754.841.10
135.891.05
13.256.091.04

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