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Chorley vs Worcester City• FA Cup, England

2.5:0.51-1FT17/10 · The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium, Chorley1.8:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BVCX4.20BVC25.25BVCMargin at best7.4%Books4Markets58Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 15:44 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.554.205.257.4%
1xBet1.553.864.9510.6%
Bet3651.533.805.0011.7%
Marathonbet1.533.864.8511.9%
Best of all books1.554.205.257.4%
Average1.543.935.0110.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChorleyWorcester City
Last 1013Form pts · last 552.5Goals for · last 51.80.5Goals against · last 50.842Attack rating5875Defence rating2538Form rating630H2H rating00Goals model052Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

Chorley

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

17 OctHWorcester City1-1D
10 OctHAFC Telford United2-1W
3 OctABarton Town Old Boys4-1W
26 SepHSpalding United2-1W
19 SepARylands1-0W
12 SepAKing's Lynn Town0-2L
8 SepHDarlington 18835-2W
5 SepAOxford City0-4L
31 AugHBrackley Town2-2D
29 AugAMerthyr Town1-1D

Worcester City

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAChorley1-1D
13 OctHStourbridge1-3L
10 OctARushall Olympic0-1L
3 OctAKettering Town3-1W
29 SepARacing Club Warwick2-2D
26 SepHLeek Town0-2L
22 SepHBanbury United0-0D
18 SepHStratford Town2-1W
12 SepANeedham Market0-2L
8 SepHKnowle W1-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Chorley and Worcester City on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X23%3.93218%5.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.622.256.2%
BetVictor1.602.256.9%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.179.0%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.602.217.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.642.108.6%
Marathonbet1.642.079.3%
Best of all books1.652.108.2%
Average1.642.098.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chorley 35%Draw 35%Worcester City 30%

The statistical model rated Chorley at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Worcester City at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 3.93 | 5.01, which imply roughly 64.9% for a Chorley win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Chorley averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Worcester City averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chorley or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

ChorleyWorcester City
0Red Cards0
7Corner Kicks6
7Shots on Goal9
3Yellow Cards0
0Free Kicks0
3Shots off Goal10
46%Ball Possession54%
0Blocked Shots0
10Total Shots19

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.543.935.01

Double chance

1XX212
1.102.191.17

Draw no bet

12
1.223.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.09

1st half

1X2
2.062.335.03

2nd half

1X2
1.862.774.72

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2615.339.0
HT X4.396.4711.2
HT 221.016.38.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4813.92.76

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0112.5
1.51.164.30
2.51.602.21
3.52.461.45
4.54.331.16
5.58.001.03
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.10
1.251.085.70
1.751.193.79
21.243.34
2.251.422.53
2.751.731.94
31.921.72
3.252.181.56
3.752.841.34
43.581.21
4.253.911.18
4.755.201.10
57.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.881.32
-1.52.431.44
-1.252.151.56
-11.901.80
-0.751.671.98
-0.251.362.69
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.401.01
-37.801.02
-2.755.551.08
-2.54.401.14
-2.254.101.16
-23.741.19
01.203.70
+0.251.164.14
+0.751.075.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.432.53
91.562.20
9.51.821.85
102.091.63
10.52.391.48
112.991.32

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