Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv• Pro Cup, Bulgaria

0-1LiveToday · Ticha, Varna

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.18BTNX3.30B36523.40DAFMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets57Rating63 · 38

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 13:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.16	3.20	3.40	7.0%
Betano	2.18	3.20	3.35	7.0%
Pinnacle	2.14	3.06	3.37	9.1%
1xBet	2.02	3.15	3.37	10.9%
Bet365	2.05	3.30	3.10	11.3%
Betfair	2.05	3.25	3.10	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.15	3.28	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.10	3.20	12.3%
SBO	2.00	2.91	2.98	17.9%
Best of all books	2.18	3.30	3.40	5.6%
Average	2.07	3.15	3.24	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv

Last 107Form pts · last 580Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating062H2H rating380Goals model063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 17:31 UTC

Cherno More Varna

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	A	Marek	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Levski Sofia	0-2	L
4 Oct	A	Ludogorets	0-5	L
26 Sep	H	Dunav Ruse	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Arda Kardzhali	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	Lokomotiv Sofia	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	CSKA Sofia	1-3	L
21 Aug	H	Dunav Ruse	3-1	W
14 Aug	A	CSKA 1948	1-4	L

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

16 Oct	A	Yantra 2019	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	1-1	D
2 Oct	H	Arda Kardzhali	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	CSKA Sofia	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Botev Plovdiv	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Cherno More Varna	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	CSKA 1948	0-2	L
24 Aug	H	Arda Kardzhali	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Dunav Ruse	1-2	L
7 Aug	A	Levski Sofia	0-2	L

Head to head

9Cherno More Varna wins

6draws

8Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins

23 meetings · goals 26:22 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Cherno More Varna

6 Sep 2026First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Cherno More Varna
12 May 2026First League	First League	Cherno More Varna2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26 Apr 2026First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv0-1Cherno More Varna
15 Feb 2026First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1Cherno More Varna
23 Aug 2025First League	First League	Cherno More Varna1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8 Feb 2025First League	First League	Cherno More Varna1-2Lokomotiv Plovdiv
19 Aug 2024First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-2Cherno More Varna
28 Apr 2024First League	First League	Cherno More Varna1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8 Apr 2024First League	First League	Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Cherno More Varna
7 Oct 2023First League	First League	Cherno More Varna2-2Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.07X29%3.15228%3.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.07 -1.4%X3.30 → 3.15 -4.5%23.00 → 3.24 +8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.18	1.67	5.8%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.09	1.70	6.7%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Best of all books	2.25	1.70	3.3%
Average	2.15	1.64	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	1.87	1.83	8.1%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.87	1.80	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.77	10.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.91	2.4%
Average	1.91	1.80	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cherno More Varna 50%Draw 50%Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0%

The statistical model rates Cherno More Varna at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.15 | 3.24, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Cherno More Varna win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Cherno More Varna averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Lokomotiv Plovdiv averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cherno More Varna or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.07	3.15	3.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.63	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.91	1.80

1st half

1	X	2
2.75	1.98	4.00

2nd half

1	X	2
2.48	2.29	3.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.43	14.4	38.3
HT X	4.97	4.50	7.31
HT 2	27.8	14.6	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	8.00	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	8.10
1.5	1.36	2.89
2.5	2.15	1.64
3.5	4.09	1.19
4.5	8.20	1.06
5.5	14.2	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.21	3.71
1.75	1.43	2.54
2	1.60	2.20
2.25	1.85	1.86
2.75	2.44	1.46
3	3.10	1.29
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.49	1.13
4	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.21	1.29
-0.75	2.42	1.48
-0.5	2.11	1.70
-0.25	1.80	1.93
0	1.51	2.41
+0.25	1.37	2.82

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.95	1.03
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.75	5.21	1.13
-1.5	4.13	1.18
-1.25	3.56	1.24
+0.5	1.31	3.30
+0.75	1.18	4.23
+1	1.07	6.77
+1.25	1.09	6.44
+1.5	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	7.03
5.5	1.19	3.93
6.5	1.44	2.61
7.5	1.80	1.92
8.5	2.39	1.52
9.5	3.30	1.27
10.5	4.89	1.10

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	6.37
6	1.23	3.44
7	1.56	2.25
8	2.06	1.68
9	2.89	1.33
10	4.46	1.12

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