Molinos El Pirata vs Union Comercio• Segunda División, Peru

#40.6:1.21-0FT26/101.8:1.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.00B365X3.30BFR22.28DAFMargin at best7.5%Books9Markets45Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 12:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.95	3.30	2.28	8.1%
1xBet	2.94	3.25	2.17	10.9%
Betano	2.95	3.20	2.18	11.0%
Bet365	3.00	3.20	2.15	11.1%
Betfair	2.80	3.30	2.20	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.25	2.15	12.2%
William Hill	2.90	3.00	2.25	12.3%
Pinnacle	2.95	3.28	2.08	12.5%
BetVictor	2.80	2.90	2.00	20.2%
Best of all books	3.00	3.30	2.28	7.5%
Average	2.91	3.19	2.16	12.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Molinos El PirataUnion Comercio

Last 10#4Table position#11.56Points per game2.007Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.225Attack rating7550Defence rating5050Form rating5020H2H rating8038Goals model6235Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 10:40 UTC

Molinos El Pirata

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Minas	0-4	L
12 Oct	H	Minas	1-0	W
6 Oct	H	Ayacucho FC	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Union Comercio	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	Deportivo Llacuabamba	0-0	D
7 Sep	H	Carlos A. Mannucci	2-4	L
23 Aug	A	Academia Cantolao	1-1	D
17 Aug	H	Union Comercio	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Cesar Vallejo	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	San Marcos	3-0	W

Union Comercio

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

18 Oct	A	Ayacucho FC	1-1	D
12 Oct	H	Ayacucho FC	5-0	W
6 Oct	A	Minas	1-4	L
27 Sep	H	Molinos El Pirata	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Deportiva Agropecuaria	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	U. San Martin	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Deportivo Llacuabamba	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Carlos A. Mannucci	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Molinos El Pirata	2-1	W
7 Aug	H	Academia Cantolao	4-0	W

Head to head

2Molinos El Pirata wins

0draws

8Union Comercio wins

10 meetings · goals 7:22 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for Molinos El Pirata

27 Sep 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio2-0Molinos El Pirata
17 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Molinos El Pirata1-2Union Comercio
3 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio1-2Molinos El Pirata
24 Jul 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio4-1Molinos El Pirata
23 Apr 2022Segunda División	Segunda División	Molinos El Pirata0-2Union Comercio
10 Aug 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio4-2Molinos El Pirata
26 May 2021Segunda División	Segunda División	Molinos El Pirata0-3Union Comercio
18 Dec 2020Segunda División	Segunda División	Union Comercio0-1Molinos El Pirata
17 Aug 2019Primera División	Primera División	Molinos El Pirata0-2Union Comercio
4 Mar 2019Primera División	Primera División	Union Comercio2-0Molinos El Pirata

Segunda División tableSegunda Divisiónupdated 13 Nov 02:30 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Molinos El Pirata sit 4th with 25 points from 16 games, while Union Comercio are 1st with 32 points from 16.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Union Comercio	16	9	5	2	19:5	+14	32
2	Carlos A. Mannucci	16	9	3	4	22:12	+10	30
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	16	8	4	4	23:10	+13	28
4	Molinos El Pirata	16	7	4	5	25:20	+5	25
5	U. San Martin	16	7	3	6	26:17	+9	24
6	Deportiva Agropecuaria	15	5	6	4	14:12	+2	21
7	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	14:13	+1	19
8	Academia Cantolao	16	3	5	8	19:30	-11	14
9	San Marcos	14	0	0	14	1:44	-43	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.91X28%3.19241%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.61 → 2.91 +11.5%X3.16 → 3.19 +0.9%22.36 → 2.16 -8.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.77	7.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Betano	1.90	1.75	9.8%
BetVictor	1.73	1.61	19.9%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.90	1.75	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.70	1.92	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Molinos El Pirata 10%Draw 45%Union Comercio 45%

The statistical model rated Molinos El Pirata at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Comercio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.91 | 3.19 | 2.16, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Molinos El Pirata are 4th (25 pts, 25-20 goals), Union Comercio 1st (32 pts, 19-5).

Over their last five matches, Molinos El Pirata averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Union Comercio averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Union Comercio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.91	3.19	2.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.32	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.09	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
3.55	2.10	2.80

2nd half

1	X	2
3.28	2.37	2.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.67	14.0	24.3
HT X	6.67	4.78	5.57
HT 2	30.0	14.3	3.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	8.80	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.65
1.5	1.28	3.26
2.5	1.90	1.75
3.5	3.27	1.27
4.5	6.55	1.08
5.5	14.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.19	4.10
1.75	1.34	2.79
2	1.45	2.43
2.25	1.68	1.99
2.75	2.17	1.58
3	2.63	1.38
3.25	2.94	1.32
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.45	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.88	1.37
-0.25	2.47	1.46
0	2.06	1.62
+0.25	1.79	1.83
+0.5	1.62	2.15
+0.75	1.44	2.53

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	5.92	1.09
-1.25	5.03	1.15
-1	4.95	1.13
-0.75	3.35	1.26
+1	1.27	3.30
+1.25	1.23	3.65
+1.5	1.17	4.22
+1.75	1.15	5.50
+2	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82

Next Segunda División matches

14 Nov

Deportiva Agropecuaria – Carlos A. Mannucci

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

31 Oct	Carlos A. Mannucci 2-2 Bentín Tacna Heroica
31 Oct	Comerciantes 1-2 Deportivo Llacuabamba
25 Oct	Bentín Tacna Heroica 1-0 Alianza Universidad
18 Oct	Ayacucho FC 1-1 Union Comercio
17 Oct	Santos 1-1 Academia Cantolao
17 Oct	Alianza Universidad 1-1 Carlos A. Mannucci